1. Is the economic recovery real? 3 stats to watch
“What everyone wants to know is if the economy is truly better. Is this recovery “for real”?”
2. Declining FHA Mortgage Volume Mirrors Market, HUD’s Castro Says
“U.S. Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julian Castro said a decline in lending backed by the Federal Housing Administration reflects a broader drop in the mortgage market and isn’t specific to the government insurer.”
3. Virginia drops JPMorgan from mortgage securities fraud lawsuit
“Virginia Attorney General Mark R. Herring (D) on Monday dropped JPMorgan Chase from a mortgage securities lawsuit against the country’s biggest banks, after learning that his predecessor Ken Cuccinelli (R) had already struck a confidential settlement with the bank.”
4. JPMorgan Mortgage-Unit Garry Cipponeri Said to Leave Bank
“Garry Cipponeri, the head of capital markets for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM:US)’s U.S. mortgage unit, is leaving the bank to start a new company, according to two people with knowledge of the move.”
5. Dudley Says Fed Needs U.S. Economy to Run ‘A Little Hot’
“Inflation running below the Federal Reserve’s target argues for “patience” on interest-rate increases and may require letting the economy run “a little hot,” New York Fed President William C. Dudley said.”
6. Fannie, Freddie to Evaluate Alternative Credit-Scoring Models
“The government-sponsored mortgage giants, facing pressure to end their reliance on old credit-scoring models from Fair Isaac Corp., are working with their regulator to study newer alternatives.”
7. Ginnie Mae launches 5 new initiatives to increase mortgage lending
“While homeownership is the cornerstone of the America dream, the new U.S. Department of Housing And Urban Development Secretary, Julián Castro, noted that due to market conditions, this isn’t as possible as it used to be.”
“Last week the Federal Reserve decided to curtail its purchases of securities after October bringing to an end its long experiment with quantitative easing (QE), presumably because it is more bullish on the economy. But the Fed also said it will continue to hold interest rates at zero indefinitely suggesting it is still bearish on the economy. The Fed’s economic forecast was in fact marked down to less than 3 percent for the next several years. Perhaps the best term to describe the Fed’s attitude is schizophrenic.”
9. Plosser, hawkish chief of Philadelphia Fed, to retire in March
“(Reuters) – Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Plosser, one of the sharpest internal critics of the central bank’s loose monetary policy, will retire next year, in a departure that could ease pressure to raise interest rates more quickly.”
10. Fannie Mae: Purchase Mortgage Demand Expected to Decline over Next Three Months
“Fannie Mae, Washington, D.C., said large lenders’ expectations that underwriting standards will ease over the next three months coincide with overall lenders’ expected pullback in the demand for single-family purchase mortgages.”
11. CBRE: Office; Industrial Closings Up Sharply
“Office and industrial loan closings jumped sharply during first-half 2014 as the lending recovery broadened beyond the multifamily sector, reported CBRE, Los Angeles.”
12. Dealmaker: Hunt Provides $8.2M to Refi Apartments
“Hunt Mortgage Group, New York, provided a $5.5 million full-term interest-only Fannie Mae loan to refinance Terrace Garden Apartments in San Leandro, Calif.”
13. Future of military housing in question
“The future of military housing is in question due to budget cuts significantly reducing defense spending.”
14. Here’s why MBA strongly opposes public CFPB complaint database
“The Mortgage Bankers Association strongly opposes making public the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s consumer complaint narrative database, an open letter from the MBA to the CFPB says.”
15. Are there troubling trends in the new 2013 HMDA data?
“There’s a troubling pattern of low- and moderate-income communities and communities of color being dialed out of housing opportunities, the National Community Reinvestment Coalition said Tuesday.”
16. Half of Americans expect home prices to continue growing
“More than half of Americans think home prices will continue to rise over the next 12 months, a new Bankrate.com report says.”
17. CFPB collecting data on 600 million credit accounts despite privacy, security risks
“A Government Accountability Office comprehensive study released by the ranking member of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee confirms that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is collecting financial data on up to 600 million consumer credit card accounts, without sufficient security and privacy protections to ensure there is no risk of improper collection, use, or release of consumer financial data.”
18. Turnaround: Millennials driving housing momentum?
“Millennials are now the key driver behind housing confidence, which is quite the anomaly given millennials’ hesitance toward the housing market over the past year.”
19. Servicers remain nimble with technology made to order
“With a number of Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) requirements already established, and countless proposed rules likely to be implemented in the coming months, mortgage servicers are looking for a way to ensure operations continue without a gap in compliance.”
20. Renters now better at paying their bills
“Rental applicants’ credit risks continue to improve, which not only helps renters’ costs but property manager costs as well.”
21. Housing to Top Capital Spending in Next U.S. Growth Leg: Economy
“Bruce Hottle’s $10,000 computer systems upgrade in February at his Pennsylvania concrete plant may be his last investment for another two years.”
22. Would you pay double to live on the water?
“We all know coastal living is expensive, but just how much more would it cost you to live as close to the water as possible in San Diego?’
“The summer selling season has now come to an official close. Not that it had much substance behind it. The sales volume has been wickedly low for all the hoopla being bandied about how great the housing market is doing. Much of the momentum from investor demand has started to wane significantly. At a certain point, the well does run dry and many investors were buying to turn units into rentals so local area incomes absolutely matter especially when prices increase so quickly that they put a damper on cap rates. Many flippers are looking for the next lemming to purchase their pig with lipstick. Crap shacks are selling for $700,000 and we are starting to see that some sellers are hitting a brick wall. Stepping back and looking at the bigger picture however, we find that we have slowly become a nation of renters since the housing bubble first popped back in 2007. Wild financing glossed over the fact that the middle class in the US has been steadily declining. Now that you have to actually show some real income, the numbers don’t look so great especially when you look at mortgage application volume. Census figures also show that we are definitely in a trend of adding more rental households versus people owning their homes. Until the trend reverses, we are seeing many areas become renter hubs.”
24. Near-Term Growth Outlook Remains Intact as Economy Continues to Accelerate
“WASHINGTON, DC – A recent rebound in business investment has bolstered expectations for solid economic growth during the remainder of 2014, according to Fannie Mae’s (FNMA/OTC) Economic & Strategic Research (ESR) Group. The robust headline growth in the second quarter was upgraded from 4.0 to 4.2 percent in the government’s second estimate, with contributions from nearly all major GDP components. In addition, recent data through June showed upward revisions on net, suggesting that second quarter growth likely will be revised higher.”
25. Institutional Investors Invade the Residential Rental Market
“In the August 2014 issue of the Housing News Report, we took a look at how Wall Street institutional investors are impacting the real estate market. Here’s short excerpt:
Back in 2008, some of Wall Street’s most venerable investment banks — Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch — played an important role in the rise and fall of irresponsible subprime borrowing and lending, financing non-bank mortgage lenders — including Countrywide Financial, New Century Financial and Ameriquest Mortgage — that eagerly sold their toxic mortgages to borrowers through non-licensed loan brokers.”
26. Home Construction Returns to Inland Empire
“When the housing market imploded in 2006, it derailed housing developments nationwide, but nowhere was home building more affected by the downturn than the inland areas of Riverside and San Bernardino counties, Calif. After the bursting of the real estate bubble, housing developments stalled in Riverside, Chino, Temecula, Ontario, Banning, Coachella, Lake Elsinore, Murrieta, Rancho Cucamonga, San Jacinto and Redlands.”