Real Estate News 2.21.14

Spotlight on economy: More home sales blues?
“Severely cold weather in January stopped many construction projects from breaking ground and slowed work on existing sites. The cold snap probably kept more house hunters indoors instead of making the rounds at open houses.”

$187B bailout now profitable. Surprised?
“U.S. taxpayers have recouped all of the $187 billion they gave mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in one of the most expensive bailouts of the financial crisis.”

Housing: Top 10 most affordable small cities
“Latest from the Housing Opportunity Index from the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo.”

Tech workers squeezing out renters in San Francisco, Seattle
“Low- and middle-income residents of San Francisco, Oakland, Seattle and other metro areas, are getting pushed out of their homes as an influx of deep pocketed tech workers drive up rents.”

Regulators fear more bad mortgage practices
“You may have gotten a mortgage through the local branch of one of the megabanks, but did you know there’s a good chance your bank turned around and sold the rights to service your loan to somebody else?”

Wall Street Landlords Buy Bad Loans for Cheaper Homes
“Wall Street-backed landlords are showing a greater appetite for bad mortgages as a source for cheap property as the supply of foreclosed homes declines while housing prices continue to climb.”

MBA CEO David Stevens: CFPB’s Antonakes ‘went just a bit too far’
“Steven Antonakes, deputy director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, walked away from a silent, shocked audience after his speech Wednesday morning at the Mortgage Bankers Association’s National Mortgage Servicing Conference & Expo in Orlando.”

Foreclosure Starts Fall to 2006 Level as Home Prices Rise
“The rate of new foreclosures in the U.S. dropped to the lowest level in eight years as rising property prices erased negative equity and allowed more delinquent homeowners to sell without losing money.”

Another ‘Subprime’ Adventure? Behind Wells Fargo’s Move To Ease Mortgage Lending
“Wells Fargo & Co. announced this month it would reduce minimum credit scores for certain mortgages eligible for government backing, prompting some declarations that subprime mortgages were making a comeback.”

Is Homeownership a Fleeting American Dream?
“Opinion: People of color are also disproportionately impacted by an overly restrictive housing market; between 2007 and 2012, loans to African Americans and Latinos have fallen by 73 percent and 66 percent respectively.”

Leading data signal ‘resilient’ economy in 2014
“WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The economy will likely “remain resilient” in the first half of 2014, with underlying conditions improving, the Conference Board said Thursday as it reported monthly growth and stable trends for its gauge of leading economic indicators.”

Apartment Sector Healthy, But Fundamentals Moderate
“The multifamily sector continues to perform well four-plus years after its recovery began, two analysts reported.”

NFIP reformists fire warning shot at Congress
“It may be just a rumor of war they’re hearing, but Taxpayers for Common Sense and SmarterSafer.org are firing a warning shot across the Capitol about plans they say are in the works for yet another vote on the Biggert-Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012.”

Wingspan CEO: 3 keys to success for servicers
“Dallas-based Wingspan Portfolio Advisors finished this past year with several key profile acquisitions that significantly increased the company’s size and revenue, but that’s not where the storybook ends.”

Asia investors bullish about private real estate
“Private real estate investors headquartered in Asia look set to be very active in the asset class over the next 12 months, according to an investor survey by Preqin, a leading alternative asset data and intelligence analysis firm.”

The real estate 1% and the S&P 500 are secretly connected
“Analyst Sam Khater at CoreLogic (CLGX) walks through a look comparing ultra high-end home sales versus homes sales on the lower end of the pricing segment.”

Apollo charts new course for loan strategy in 2014
“Apollo Residential Mortgage is preparing to provide loans to third parties that are purchasing residential properties with plans to resell the properties, and will then probably finance purchases by next buyers, CEO Michael Commaroto said on a conference call today.”

Student loans pinching home sales? Real Estate Open House
“This is the inaugural Front Porch open house, a weekly roundup of real estate news and information for home buyers and sellers. I’ll be checking the comments throughout the day Friday, so leave your real estate questions or links to real estate news stories I missed.”

How to hunt for the right real estate agent before hunting for a home
“If you’re planning to purchase a home in the Washington area this spring, you may face competition from other buyers for the still-limited inventory in the market.”

Serfdom nation: First time where a six year period of household formation of renters outpaced that of homeowners. Purchase applications back to levels last seen 20 years ago.
“I think it is safe to say that investor activity in the housing market has changed the face of real estate buying.  Back when the crisis hit in 2007, some analysts were cheerleading the hedge fund crowd as a tiny blip in the market.  It is hard to call it a blip when 30 to 40 percent of all purchases are going to investors for close to half a decade.  A recent analysis from RealtyTrac found that the estimated monthly home payment for a regular three bedroom home (costs include mortgage, insurance, taxes, maintenance, and subtracting the income tax benefit) rose an average of 21 percent from a year ago in 325 US counties.  What about household incomes?  That is another story.  So it is no surprise that we are largely becoming a nation of renters.  It is also no shocker that young households are largely unable to begin household formation via buying a home.  Many are living with parents well into “young” adulthood.  For the first time in history, we had a six year stretch where we added more renter households than that of actual homeowners.”

Fewer Prospective Homeowners to Clash Over Homes
“Home buying competition rose over the month of January but was down from last January, according to national real estate brokerage Redfin, which took the year-over-year decline as a sign that low inventory and rising prices are thwarting demand in the housing market.”

Best areas to invest in multi-family units

Question:

Hi Tony,
Your presentation at SDCIA on Tuesday was great! Thank you for sharing your insight.
I have a question. I am currently in the process of building my real estate investment biz (I am using your free starter kit to help me). My plan is to form an entity, (my atty recommnds C corp) and start acquiring 4 to 8 unit apartment buildings to build residual positive cash flow. My next phase will be to invest in Fix and Flips.

My question is; In what area should I start acquiring apartment buildings?

I currently have my eye on San Diego, Las Vegas, Pheonix, Orlando and Tampa based on research that suggests that these are strong rental markets.

Would you advise against any of these areas and are there other areas that should also consider?

Thank you in advance for your input.
-GT

Answer:

Hi GT, and thank you for your question.

The fast answer is… I don’t have a clue. The obvious reason is presently I’m not investing in multi-residential income properties in those markets. Therefore, I simply have no need to know. Any “opinion” I would share would be just that, an “opinion” — hardly worth your time to hear.

Presently I’m focused on buying 1 to 4 residential properties and whenever possible I prefer them to ALL be detached single family dwellings with their own small private yard areas.

Also, since we handle our own property management, I am presently only buying within an hour drive from my office (located in the Antelope Valley), so my opinion of any of your preliminary markets is really not valid.

However, if you started completing the Free Starter Kit, then you already know the first thing you must deal with is Choosing a Target Market (and knowing it better than anyone else.)

The choosing of a specific place (or geographical location) to start buying apartments (or anything for that matter) is very strategic and unfortunately ALWAYS entirely up to YOU to decide. The reason for this should be obvious — it’s simply YOUR money, credit, time and effort.

You have to go through the process (learning curve) of HOW TO identify a location that is going to feed you the type of property, tenants and cash flow at the prices you think you will need to be profitable.

As far as my or anybody’s “opinion” as to whether one state or city is better or worse than another… well, honestly I would have to go through exactly the same steps I suggest that you take in the Free Started Kit to arrive at the same conclusion, so why repeat the effort?

Seek information and advice from investors who already own the same type of property you are interested in, and other real estate professionals (i.e. appraisers, insurance agents, etc. — not just the brokers and agents who specialize in that type of property who stand to get paid when you buy and not when you don’t — although honestly, they are an important part of your initial investigation.) The key is that you consult MANY individuals who have first hand experience of that market not just opinions they’ve read or heard from somebody else.)

In the past, I have purchased apartments of all sizes, shapes, types and locations in many Target Markets. I have used both a buy, fix & flip to other long-term hold investors model, and a buy, fix & hold long-term model as well.

Since I do not know your level of experience in the business I will caution you about a few things (if I may…)

1. Try to stick with properties as close to where you are physically at the beginning as this will help you to manage your tenants and/or your managers more effectively and with minimal stress and expense. (NO ONE WILL EVER MAKE DECISIONS IN YOUR BEST INTEREST AS WELL AS YOU WILL.)

2. Do all your research about the area and such, but remember you do not have to know EVERYTHING before starting to make offers. Use your contingencies effectively to both buy yourself appropriate time to fully investigate the properties, and to also withdraw from the deal should you discover it’s not what you want.

3. If you will need financing, make it an integral part of your initial research to personally visit with lenders LOCAL to the Target Market you choose. Prior to placing offers, make sure you have ALL the elements of accomplishing your goal firmly in hand.

4. Remember, properties for sale are everywhere, but a “Great Deal” is seldom found just by looking. More times than not, it’s created by your efforts, your understanding of your Target Market, as well as, the elements of doing whatever you decide to do as an investor (and the depth and breadth of your relationships within the business community you select as your Target Market.)

5. Should you decide to invest out of state, please do your due diligence slowly, carefully and deliberately. Be clearly aware of all the Pros and Cons (especially the CONS!) 😉

On the other hand, if you are an experienced investor and are already aware of the specific things I’ve mentioned above, I can tell you this – I would personally stay clear of the Vegas market since I have done research and find it very transient. I personally like the Orlando market (and Florida in general) if you can deal with the gun toting citizens (tenants), senior drivers and the occasional hurricane.

We hope we have been of good service.

Thank you for your question.

Your friend always,
Tony