Real Estate News 2.12.14

Commercial Real Estate Investors “Cautiously Optimistic” As the Future Unfolds, According to New Outlook Report
“WASHINGTON (February 12, 2014): Commercial real estate investments are expected to produce generally solid returns in 2014, according to the authors of Expectations & Market Realities in Real Estate 2014—The Future Unfolds, an annual forecast report released by Real Estate Research Corporation (RERC), Deloitte, and the National Association of Realtors®(NAR).”

House approves ‘clean’ debt limit after Republicans drop demands
“(Reuters) – The House of Representatives narrowly approved a one-year extension of federal borrowing authority on Tuesday after Republicans caved into President Barack Obama’s demands to allow a debt limit increase without any conditions.”

SPECIAL REPORT: MBA Delivers Cautious Economic Outlook for 2014; Financing Hits Highest Level Since ’07
“Mortgage originations for multi-family and commercial real estate in the last quarter of 2014 reached the highest volume achieved since 2007, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). Multi-family financing, in particular, has returned to levels last witnessed at the peak of the market.”

MBA: Credit loosens as lenders adjust to QM
“The mortgage credit availability index ticked slightly higher in January and increased 1.85% from 110.9 in December to 113.0 in January, the latest Mortgage Bankers Association report said.”

Homebuyers Get Break as Loan Rates Defy Fed Tapering: Mortgages
“Ashley Underwood is taking advantage of the unexpected drop in mortgage rates by rushing to buy her first home before they go up again.”

Jumbo Loans Loom Large in Luxury Housing Market
“The view of the Pacific Ocean from the San Joaquin Hills in the California community of Newport Coast is extraordinary. So, when Mohammad Taghavian started looking for a new home four years ago, he knew exactly where he wanted to be. The housing market, however, wasn’t so cooperative.”

Late-Payment Rate on Mortgages Falls in 4Q
“U.S. homeowners are doing a better job of keeping up with mortgage payments, a trend that has reduced the rate of late payment on home loans to the lowest level in more than five years.”

Homebuyers Get Break as Loan Rates Defy Fed Tapering: Mortgages
“Ashley Underwood is taking advantage of the unexpected drop in mortgage rates by rushing to buy her first home before they go up again.”

Insurers’ Appetite for CRE Lending Spans Booms and Busts
“Life insurers got burned in the big commercial real estate bust of the 1990s. But as the sector emerges from a smaller Great Recession-era bust, insurers are showing no indication of ‘once bitten, twice shy.'”

Manhattan’s Big Banks Resist Lure of New Office Towers
“As Manhattan developers plan millions of square feet of office towers featuring the most modern amenities, some of their biggest potential tenants have decided they’re better off staying in their current homes.”

Mortgage REITs See Bargains in Competitors’ Shares
“Of all the real-estate investment trusts slammed by the stock market since interest rates began rising last year, few were hit as hard as REITs that invest in government-backed mortgage bonds.”

Zillow: Bulk home sales will boost housing
“The Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, a pool of opinion from 110 economists, predicts housing market demand will gently ease through the next few years.”

Inspector General: Fannie Mae should implement repurchase late fees
“The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s office of inspector general found in its audit of how the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) handled aged repurchase demands that FHFA did not sufficiently evaluate whether to implement a repurchase late fee program at Fannie Mae.”

5 tips to help sell a home on Instagram
“There is a fair number of social media platforms out there, from Facebook to Twitter to Vine.”

Strike three for flood insurance premium hike delay
“Republicans stopped an effort to force a vote on H.R. 3370, which would delay pending flood insurance premium hikes under the National Flood Insurance Program.”

Mortgage apps reverse course, decrease 2%
“Mortgage applications slightly dropped after a light uptick last week and decreased 2% from a week prior, the latest Mortgage Bankers Association said.”

BofA, Goldman among banks facing $16 billion in fines
“NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — The settlements of lawsuits so far with major banks pave the way for some $16 billion in additional penalties to be paid by banks including Bank of America and Goldman Sachs Group over mortgage securities sold to government-seized housing giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.”

Real Estate Matters | Condo boards should think twice about limiting rentals
“I have a condo that I purchased in 2007 when my daughters were going to college. They have both graduated and moved on. Unfortunately, the property values have fallen and there have been a lot of foreclosures in the complex.”

How To Manage The Stress Of A Real Estate Transaction And Not Kill Your Deal
“We always hear from clients that this real estate closing will be simple.  When I hear that, I cringe because even under the best of circumstances I know that clients will experience a bit of stress as they move from contract to closing.  Change produces stress.  To be sure, some handle the process better than others and it is difficult to predict who will hold up better – but stress always exists.”

If investors bail on housing, what then?
“Investor demand, large and small, put a floor on home prices after the housing crash and ignited a recovery. While institutional investors made up a small percentage of those home buyers, they have garnered the most attention because of the bulk purchases they made and because they are a new entrant to the housing market. The concern now is what will happen if and when they decide to pull out?”

Why hedge funds lack women in charge
“Whitney Tilson is the managing partner of the hedge fund firm Kase Capital Management, which he founded more than 15 years ago. Mr. Tilson is also the co-founder of Value Investor Insight, an investment newsletter, and the Value Investing Congress, a biannual investment conference.”

Chanos up as many shorts stumble
“In November, a small band of battered short sellers couldn’t have been more excited about the opportunity to make money from what they saw as wildly overvalued stocks. One, John Fichthorn of Dialectic Capital Management, said it was the ‘best opportunity I will see in my life.'”

Housing plans piling up: Which will get built?
“Sacramento’s new home market has yet to fully revive from its recession-induced coma, but that hasn’t stopped developers around the region from jostling to get new housing projects approved so they can be first in line to tap pent-up buyer demand.”

Big spending, fewer results for homeless
“If you want to be depressed about government spending, look no further than the $127.5 million San Diego County’s government funnels to programs that are supposed to help homeless people stay off the streets.”

Real Estate News 1.13.2014

Out-of-state investors zero in on Twin Cities real estate
“Out-of-state real estate investors from Malaysia to Miami are spending billions on Twin Cities apartment complexes and commercial buildings, including some of the most iconic office towers on the downtown Minneapolis skyline.”

Darden Split Plan May Hinder Real Estate Deal, Activist Says
“Darden Restaurants Inc. (DRI)’s plan to split off Red Lobster could prevent the company from unlocking the $4 billion of value trapped in its real estate holdings, according to Barington Capital Group LP.”

The American Real Estate Investors Academy Now Offers Unsecured Lines Of Credit
“The American Real Estate Investors Academy is working with Aurelian Capital to bring unsecured credit lines to real estate investors. Membership in the Academy is not required.”

10 tips for homebuyers and sellers in 2014
“Goodness, is it 2006 again? At the dawn of 2014, it feels like it.”

A watchdog grows up: The inside story of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
“In late 2011, a quiet revolution took place at the corner of 17th and G streets NW.

About 500 federal workers were vacating the drab, 1970s-era headquarters of the Office of Thrift Supervision. The agency had just been scrapped for its role in the financial crisis, which in retrospect seemed almost inevitable: Its primary mission had been to keep banks solvent, and its budget depended on how many of them chose it as their regulator, leading to almost criminal complacence.”

Rising community association fees are squeezing homeowners on tight budgets
“When Brenda Batts purchased her condominium near the U Street corridor in 2006, she was planning to retire at age 65. Now 62, Batts, an office manager, fears she may not meet that goal, thanks to a nagging worry from when she purchased the unit, which assesses a monthly fee for common charges on top of her mortgage and property taxes.”

As mortgage banking industry dwindles, bidding wars over quality housing become common
“This is generally a slow time of year in the residential housing market, but according to Re/Max broker Rosalie Daniels, of Hamilton, bidding wars over housing are increasingly common.”

America’s Big Bank Earnings Announcements Will Be Highlighted By Tumbling Revenue
“Three of the four biggest commercial banks in the US are expected to report falling revenue in the week ahead as loan activity falls.”

Two lawsuits that could harm RMBS investors
“Investors in residential mortgage-backed securities are far from out of the woods when it comes to resolving financial risk from RMBS investments.”

3 ways the coming rate hikes can sink the housing market
“With few exceptions most are projecting interest rates will be edging up over the next 12 months, as the Federal Reserve tapers off its four-year-plus policy of printing $1 trillion a year to buy MBS and Treasurys.”

A calm picture of the economy emerges, but will it last?
“After months of clouded economic data in the wake of financial and congressional uncertainty, the economy is expected to see clearer skies ahead, analysts claim in a new report.”

Total Mortgage Services doubles over next 5 years
“Connecticut Governor Dannel Malloy and the state Department of Economic and Community Development will provide Total Mortgage Services with a $3.5 million loan to help the company establish its national headquarters with a new facility in Milford.”

Freddie Mac: Short Sales More Attainable Than Homeowners Think
“When a homeowner is unable to make their mortgage payments or owes more on the home than it’s worth, a short sale can be a viable option that avoids the negative implications of a foreclosure for both the homeowner and the mortgage-holder.”

Treasury Releases November Making Home Affordable Report
“Nearly 23,000 permanent loan modifications were completed under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) in November, according to a new report from the U.S. Treasury.”

Unemployment Down: Is The Fed In Trouble?
“The latest news on the unemployment front is good for just about everyone: The  government says 203,000 jobs were added to the economy in November and that the unemployment rate is down from 7.0 percent to 6.7 percent.”

The bubble that is California: A flood of rentals in lower priced markets, inventory creeping back up, and investors appetites waning.
“California can be viewed as a microcosm of what is occurring across the United States.  Few markets are propped up by a smaller affluent population while most, are pushed outward or to rentals as incomes go stagnant.  People for the most part only pay attention to what is immediately around them.  When the crisis hit in 2007 many were caught off guard although the warning signs were all over the place.  As 2014 starts, we are now seeing a definite slowdown in housing even in higher priced areas.  Inventory appears to be coming back online but sales are very weak since people are asking for peak prices and drinking the housing Kool-Aid with gusto.  The median sales price in SoCal has stayed put since June but sales have fallen steadily.  Across the state, with more rentals from investors prices are soft and unlikely to rise given that many Californians have not seen any real income gains over the last decade.  For the most part, many are stuck in a bubble thinking things will remain the way they are simply by sheer momentum.”

2014: Private Forces Move to the Fore
“Waning Fiscal Drag and Easing Policy Concerns Expected to Boost Economic Growth this Year”

Today’s Real Estate News 10.16.2013

Summary:
CNN Money reports Bank of America posts a profit in the 3rd quarter, relieving investors after breaking even last year. Housing Wire shares that Fannie Mae is working on a risk-sharing transaction for next year, FHFA refinance activity slows, mortgage applications barely changed this week, National Mortgage Settlement is closer to meeting consumer-relief mandates and 67,000 home loan modifications have been finalized in August. Bloomberg states that U.S. Bancorp’s profit was little changed on lower bad loan provisions and homebuilder confidence has dropped more than it has in the past four months. Market Watch reports a 12% profit growth for PNC Financial. NY Times posts a profit for Blackrock. Reuters shares mortgage insurer MGIC profit.  CNBC reports that Fitch Ratings put the government’s “AAA credit rating on ‘rating watch negative.’” Dr. Housing Bubble shares a wealth of data in his blog post titled “The inefficient and fragile housing market: How trying to increase homeownership can backfire and add costs to regular home buyers.”

Bank of America swings to a profit
“Bank of America swung to a profit in the third quarter after breaking even last year. And investors breathed a sigh of relief.”

Fannie Mae plans next risk-sharing deal
“Mortgage giant Fannie Mae is working on another risk-sharing transaction for 2014, keeping in line with the firm’s plan to bring private capital back to the mortgage market.”

FHFA refinance activity declines
“Refinance volumes continued to decline in August as mortgage rates inched up from July levels.”

National Mortgage Settlement progress report: Big banks closer to finalizing consumer relief
“The mega lenders subjected to the National Mortgage Settlement are closer to meeting the consumer-relief mandates rolled out as part of a nationwide initiative to compensate borrowers for past servicing issues.”

67,000 home loan mods finalized in August
“Mortgage servicers modified 67,000 home loans in August, up 8% month-over-month, bringing the total amount of loans modified since 2007 to 5.4 million, Hope Now said Wednesday.”

U.S. Bancorp Profit Little Changed on Lower Bad Loan Provisions
“U.S. Bancorp, the nation’s biggest regional lender, said third-quarter net income was little changed as revenue fell and the bank set aside less for bad loans.”

PNC Financial’s profit up 12% on loan growth
“PNC Financial Services Group Inc.’s PNC +1.74% third-quarter earnings rose 12% as the regional lender’s results were helped by loan growth and improved credit quality, though net interest margin, a key measure of lending profitability slipped.”

BlackRock’s Profit Rose 14% in Third Quarter
“The giant money management firm BlackRock is now managing a record $4 trillion after customers put more money into its stock mutual funds and exchange traded funds.”

UPDATE 1-Mortgage insurer MGIC posts profit as housing market recovers
“Oct 16 (Reuters) – Mortgage insurer MGIC Investment Corp posted its second straight quarterly profit, after six years of losses, as a recovery in the U.S. housing market lowered the number of defaulters.”

Mortgage applications barely shift
“Mortgage applications barely changed during the week ending Oct. 11, rising only 0.3% from a week earlier, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday.”

Fitch puts US AAA rating on rating watch negative
“Fitch Ratings put the US government’s “AAA” credit rating on ‘rating watch negative’ Tuesday, saying that the standstill on the U.S. debt ceiling negotiations risks undermining the effectiveness of the country’s government and political institutions.”

The inefficient and fragile housing market: How trying to increase homeownership can backfire and add costs to regular home buyers.
“It was interesting to see that this week, the Nobel Prize, the biggest prize in economics went to three US economists, one being “irrational exuberance” Robert Shiller.  Markets for the most part are presumed to be efficient and what Shiller points out is the weaknesses inherent with this model.  The housing market is a perfect example.  The market is extremely inefficient when it comes to housing.  We massively subsidize this sector of the economy with the outward notion of helping regular buyers but do the opposite.  For example, the Fed’s QE initiatives have caused asymmetrical bets from financial institutions into residential real estate.  Largely because of this financial structure we went from a real estate market in free fall to one highly subsidized by low rates causing investors to crowd out regular buyers.  Prices now surge while the homeownership rate falls.  Of course how can the market be called efficient when the Fed provides this below market interest rate to a select group of people?  Is the public privy to this?  What use is a low rate when a bigger player comes in with all cash?”

Homebuilder Confidence in U.S. Declines to Lowest in Four Months
“Confidence among U.S. homebuilders fell more than forecast in October to a four-month low as rising interest rates and the budget battle in Washington stifled progress in the housing market.”