Real Estate News 1.20.2014

U.S. seen on track for best growth since 2005
“WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Think the disappointing U.S. jobs report for December has dampened the optimism of economists about the new year? Think again.”

Rates, tight inventory dampen California home sales
“California home sales dipped 5.9% from 2012 to 2013 as the market felt the pinch of tighter inventory levels and higher prices, the California Association of Realtors reported this past month.”

Monday Morning Cup of Coffee: Deutsche Bank posts $1.6B loss
“Monday Morning Cup of Coffee takes a look at news coming across HousingWire’s weekend desk, with more coverage to come on bigger issues.”

BofA escapes damages in Merrill Lynch suit
“The office of New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman admits he will not seek damages from Bank of America (BAC) over its risky $18.5 billion purchase of Merrill Lynch back in 2009.”

5 secrets to winning online property auctions
” Online auctions are growing in popularity.

Websites like auction.com are killing it; making bundles of money selling houses online, while giving investors a whole new world for buying properties.”

Young Americans on homeownership strike?
“They used to say never trust anyone over 30. Those words obviously rang true 20 years ago when the average 30-year-old typically managed to obtain a modicum of stability in their life in the form of a stable job and a mortgage.”

NAFCU’s Dirty Dozen
“The National Association of Federal Credit Unions (NAFCU) published a list of what it calls the “Dirty Dozen” — a series of goals that the organization has for 2014.”

When It Comes To Real Estate Bubbles, China’s Got Nothing On Brazil
“World investors may be worried about China’s real estate bubble. But only one country surpasses that market’s housing boom, and that’s Brazil.”

Real estate still tragically unequal
“Greater Boston is already one of the toughest markets in the country for both renters and buyers, with skyrocketing housing costs and scarce listings.”

Report: Troubles Ahead for Commercial Real Estate Loan Refinancing
“With an estimated $1.4 trillion in commercial mortgages due to mature between 2014 and 2017, lenders and investors may be in for a flood of refinancing that could present new challenges for the market, according to a December 2013 year-end Trepp report.”

Real estate investment trusts are an under-embraced asset class
“Out of the ruins of the housing crisis, a new asset class has emerged: publicly traded, single-family residential real estate.”

1 Massive Threat to Real Estate Across the Country
“Lately, most news involving the recovery of the housing market in the United States has been overwhelmingly positive. However, there is one issue that poses a dangerous threat to the recovery in housing: flood insurance.”

HUD AND CENSUS BUREAU ANNOUNCE
NEW RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY IN DECEMBER

“WASHINGTON – The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the U.S. Census Bureau today announced the following new residential construction statistics for December 2013:”

Cash investors altering psychology of real estate market: Can the regular home buyer compete with the big money from Wall Street?
“Investor buying has pushed the real estate market into uncharted territory.  Starting in 2008 after the crash in home values, investors at first stepped in slowly and now they represent a dramatic share of all home purchases.  This may not matter to some in most states across the US but in places where investors are heavily focused, the power wielded by this group is still large.  Sellers for the most part, this includes the banks off-loading distressed properties (aka repossessed homes), look for quick sales at the highest price.  Sounds simple enough.  Yet most in the public stand no chance with the large money crowd.  For example, I know of people in targeted areas that scout for distressed properties and show up at auctions with checks ready to bid on properties.  Some are individual investors and some work for a larger system of buyers.  It is no new game with investors in the market but the volume of big institutional investors is definitely something new.”

Fed taper could hit housing market
“The stakes are high for San Diego’s housing market as the Federal Reserve tapers the national economy off super-low interest rates.”

Why Jumbo Mortgages Are So Cheap
“Jumbo mortgages — gigantic loans which historically have been much-more expensive than FHA, VA and conventional financing — are selling at a discount. In fact, at the start of December elephantine loans were cheaper than conventional mortgages.”

New Mortgage Risk Index Exposes Market Vulnerabilities
“A new initiative of the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) aims to mitigate the damage of housing’s boom-and-bust cycles. It utilizes a new Mortgage Risk Index developed by a former chief credit officer of Fannie Mae and a 25-year veteran of the Federal Reserve.”

Lenders Continue to Lower Credit Requirement Thresholds
“After loosening steadily for several months, credit standards for mortgage loans ended 2013 at their lowest level all year, according to the December Origination Insight Report from Ellie Mae.”

California Home Sales Abate to Close Out Year
“Single-family and condominium sales in California closed 2013 on a cautiously positive note, even though overall sales were down notably from the year prior, according to the latest quarterly market activity report from real estate tracking firm PropertyRadar.”

Expediting the Empties
“Can servicers and their partners in the field work through the many obstacles that come with fast-tracking vacant foreclosures?”

Real Estate News 1.13.2014

Out-of-state investors zero in on Twin Cities real estate
“Out-of-state real estate investors from Malaysia to Miami are spending billions on Twin Cities apartment complexes and commercial buildings, including some of the most iconic office towers on the downtown Minneapolis skyline.”

Darden Split Plan May Hinder Real Estate Deal, Activist Says
“Darden Restaurants Inc. (DRI)’s plan to split off Red Lobster could prevent the company from unlocking the $4 billion of value trapped in its real estate holdings, according to Barington Capital Group LP.”

The American Real Estate Investors Academy Now Offers Unsecured Lines Of Credit
“The American Real Estate Investors Academy is working with Aurelian Capital to bring unsecured credit lines to real estate investors. Membership in the Academy is not required.”

10 tips for homebuyers and sellers in 2014
“Goodness, is it 2006 again? At the dawn of 2014, it feels like it.”

A watchdog grows up: The inside story of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
“In late 2011, a quiet revolution took place at the corner of 17th and G streets NW.

About 500 federal workers were vacating the drab, 1970s-era headquarters of the Office of Thrift Supervision. The agency had just been scrapped for its role in the financial crisis, which in retrospect seemed almost inevitable: Its primary mission had been to keep banks solvent, and its budget depended on how many of them chose it as their regulator, leading to almost criminal complacence.”

Rising community association fees are squeezing homeowners on tight budgets
“When Brenda Batts purchased her condominium near the U Street corridor in 2006, she was planning to retire at age 65. Now 62, Batts, an office manager, fears she may not meet that goal, thanks to a nagging worry from when she purchased the unit, which assesses a monthly fee for common charges on top of her mortgage and property taxes.”

As mortgage banking industry dwindles, bidding wars over quality housing become common
“This is generally a slow time of year in the residential housing market, but according to Re/Max broker Rosalie Daniels, of Hamilton, bidding wars over housing are increasingly common.”

America’s Big Bank Earnings Announcements Will Be Highlighted By Tumbling Revenue
“Three of the four biggest commercial banks in the US are expected to report falling revenue in the week ahead as loan activity falls.”

Two lawsuits that could harm RMBS investors
“Investors in residential mortgage-backed securities are far from out of the woods when it comes to resolving financial risk from RMBS investments.”

3 ways the coming rate hikes can sink the housing market
“With few exceptions most are projecting interest rates will be edging up over the next 12 months, as the Federal Reserve tapers off its four-year-plus policy of printing $1 trillion a year to buy MBS and Treasurys.”

A calm picture of the economy emerges, but will it last?
“After months of clouded economic data in the wake of financial and congressional uncertainty, the economy is expected to see clearer skies ahead, analysts claim in a new report.”

Total Mortgage Services doubles over next 5 years
“Connecticut Governor Dannel Malloy and the state Department of Economic and Community Development will provide Total Mortgage Services with a $3.5 million loan to help the company establish its national headquarters with a new facility in Milford.”

Freddie Mac: Short Sales More Attainable Than Homeowners Think
“When a homeowner is unable to make their mortgage payments or owes more on the home than it’s worth, a short sale can be a viable option that avoids the negative implications of a foreclosure for both the homeowner and the mortgage-holder.”

Treasury Releases November Making Home Affordable Report
“Nearly 23,000 permanent loan modifications were completed under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) in November, according to a new report from the U.S. Treasury.”

Unemployment Down: Is The Fed In Trouble?
“The latest news on the unemployment front is good for just about everyone: The  government says 203,000 jobs were added to the economy in November and that the unemployment rate is down from 7.0 percent to 6.7 percent.”

The bubble that is California: A flood of rentals in lower priced markets, inventory creeping back up, and investors appetites waning.
“California can be viewed as a microcosm of what is occurring across the United States.  Few markets are propped up by a smaller affluent population while most, are pushed outward or to rentals as incomes go stagnant.  People for the most part only pay attention to what is immediately around them.  When the crisis hit in 2007 many were caught off guard although the warning signs were all over the place.  As 2014 starts, we are now seeing a definite slowdown in housing even in higher priced areas.  Inventory appears to be coming back online but sales are very weak since people are asking for peak prices and drinking the housing Kool-Aid with gusto.  The median sales price in SoCal has stayed put since June but sales have fallen steadily.  Across the state, with more rentals from investors prices are soft and unlikely to rise given that many Californians have not seen any real income gains over the last decade.  For the most part, many are stuck in a bubble thinking things will remain the way they are simply by sheer momentum.”

2014: Private Forces Move to the Fore
“Waning Fiscal Drag and Easing Policy Concerns Expected to Boost Economic Growth this Year”