Real Estate News 2.11.14

Scary 1929 market chart gains traction
“CHAPEL HILL, N.C. (MarketWatch) — There are eerie parallels between the stock market’s recent behavior and how it behaved right before the 1929 crash.”

Metro Areas See Solid Home-Price Growth, Some Markets Facing Affordability Issues
“WASHINGTON (February 11, 2014) – The lion’s share of metropolitan areas continued to experience strong year-over-year price growth in the fourth quarter, according to the latest quarterly report by the National Association of Realtors®. A companion metro area annual affordability report shows less favorable conditions, particularly in the West.”

Construction Equipment Rentals Boom
“MOLINE, IL—As reported yesterday in GlobeSt.com, panelists at the recent Mortgage Bankers Association’s Commercial Real Estate Finance/Multifamily Housing Convention & Expo said that construction lending has increased to levels not seen in decades. And in another sign of a US economic rebound, construction and industrial equipment rentals have also soared, according to data just published in the American Rental Association’s ARA Rental Market Monitor™.”

NAR: Rising home prices infringe affordability
“The vast majority of metropolitan areas continued to experience strong year-over-year price growth in the fourth quarter, the latest quarterly report by the National Association of Realtors revealed.”

NAR’s chief economist said what about the housing market?
“Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, caught HousingWire’s eye with his recent remarks at the Alabama Commercial Real Estate conference.”

MBA: Credit loosens as lenders adjust to QM
“The mortgage credit availability index ticked slightly higher in January and increased 1.85% from 110.9 in December to 113.0 in January, the latest Mortgage Bankers Association report said.”

How community banks will reign in 2014
“Despite some small lenders choosing to shut the door on originating mortgages, community banks could have just the right kind of leverage to succeed in 2014’s lending environment.”

2014 predictions: Redfin goes public and more
“Monday marked the one-month anniversary of the implementation of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s Qualified Mortgage rule.”

Boehner backs down, says House to vote on ‘clean’ debt-limit hike
“WASHINGTON –  House Speaker John Boehner, in an abrupt shift, announced Tuesday that the House would vote on an increase in the nation’s borrowing cap without any strings attached.”

Fed’s Plosser ‘worried’ about not raising rates
“Charles Plosser, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, said Tuesday history is not on the side of the central bank when it comes to raising interest rates in a timely manner, and the risk is financial markets will force its hand.”

Former foreclosure attorney in jail
“VISTA — A former attorney who pleaded guilty to stalking, trespassing and other charges related to his work for clients facing foreclosure admitted Monday that he violated his probation.”

Your Homeowner’s Insurance Is Soaring Thanks to Hail From 5 Years Ago
“Brutal storms—including some that hit quite a few years ago—are causing rates on homeowner’s and flood insurance policies to skyrocket.”

U.S. Economic Confidence at Lowest Level Since December
“WASHINGTON, D.C. — The Gallup Economic Confidence Index dipped to -18 for the week ending Feb. 9 — the lowest weekly reading so far in 2014. The index is similar to the -17 measured during the prior two weeks and January’s monthly average of -16. Americans’ confidence in the economy has been falling since it reached this year’s weekly high of -13 in early January. The index was 10 points more positive in early February 2013 than it is now.”

‘Nonpracticing entity’ or ‘patent troll’? Property Disclosure Technologies sues 13 real estate companies
“More than a dozen real estate companies — including Re/Max, Century 21 and Keller Williams — have been hit with patent infringement lawsuits by a company that does not maintain a website or offer any products or services but holds patents on a ‘real estate disclosure reporting method.'”

Real Estate News 1.15.2014

Bill Seeks to Extend Federal Tax Exemption for Forgiven Mortgage Debt
“Congressman Bill Foster (D-Illinois) introduced the Homeowners Debt Relief Extension Act (H.R. 3856) on Tuesday. The bill would extend the mortgage debt tax exemption that’s been in place since 2007 for another two years.”

Early Earnings Reports Reveal Effects of Declining Mortgage Volume
“This season’s bank releases kicked off Tuesday with dual quarterly earnings reports from JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo—and as projected, weakened origination figures took their toll.”

Florida Law Firm Rebrands and Expands Service to Puerto Rico
“The veteran-, minority-, and woman-owned default law firm founded by Marisol Morales, Esq., announced its expansion into Puerto Rico and a name change from Morales Law Group, PA, to Millennium Partners.”

New Fed Survey Assesses Consumer Expectations
“A recently launched survey from New York’s Federal Reserve Bank shows consumer expectations for the next year remaining fairly flat in December.”

Which Hidden Gems Make Cut as Year’s Hottest Neighborhoods?
“Redfin on Tuesday came out with its annual list of the country’s “hottest” neighborhoods. The company ranked 105 neighborhoods across 21 major markets that have grown the most in popularity during the four months leading into 2014.”

Bank of America profit impresses Wall Street
“Bank of America impressed Wall Street Wednesday with better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the fourth quarter, continuing a trend of solid results from the nation’s largest banks.”

Fannie, Freddie watchdog in probe of alleged Wall Street front running
“(Reuters) – A U.S. government watchdog is involved in an investigation of whether bank traders manipulated markets and engaged in front running of orders from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the interest-rate swaps market, according to an FBI intelligence bulletin reviewed by Reuters.”

The end of the mortgage party? Home lending plummets at Wells Fargo, J.P. Morgan Chase
“The mortgage party is officially over.”

Trade group expects less mortgage loan activity this year
“Mortgage loan activity this year will be less than expected because of higher interest rates and fewer applications, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Tuesday.”

QM storm could hit in weeks
“The Consumer Financial Protection Board’s Qualified Mortgage (QM) rule is going to constrict access to mortgage credit and possibly stall housing, and members of Congress and mortgage industry leaders want a lot more flexibility in dealing with the CFPB’s regulations that went into effect Jan. 10.”

December Gain in Retail Sales Gives U.S. a Lift: Economy
“Retail sales (RSTAXAGM) rose in December as frigid temperatures prodded Americans to buy discounted winter clothing and shop online for the holidays, capping what may have been the strongest quarter for consumer spending in three years.”

Volcker Rule Curbs on Banks Owning CDOs Eased in U.S.
“U.S. regulators granted banks an exemption from Volcker Rule limits for collateralized debt obligations composed mostly of small-bank securities, according to a statement from regulators.”

House Republicans voice support for $1.1 trillion spending bill
“(Reuters) – Republicans in the House of Representatives voiced tentative support on Tuesday for a $1.1 trillion spending bill, signaling likely passage and removing one source of potential drama ahead of the 2014 elections.”

3 key takeaways from JPMorgan earnings call
“JPMorgan Chase (JPM) released its fourth-quarter earnings this morning, and it fared pretty well considering the never-ending series of legal settlements it had to overcome.”

Mortgage apps up 11.9%
“Mortgage applications increased 11.9% from a week ago, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending Jan. 10, 2014.”

Fed’s Fisher says QE is ‘beer goggles’ for investors
“Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher, always one for colorful speeches, said he is confident and certain that it’s time to come down from the $1 trillion a year money printing and bond buying.”

Congress takes a bite out of housing agency budgets
“A proposed $1 trillion congressional spending bill means less money for key housing agencies, analysts claim.”

JPMorgan With Wells Fargo Lose Share to Small Rivals: Mortgages
“The two largest U.S. home lenders are feeling the bite of competition from smaller firms as mortgage originations tumble at the fastest rate since 2011.”

REAL ESTATE: Up again, December home prices – by 28 percent
“Home sale prices across Southern California were poker-hot in December, the latest real estate information report from San Diego-based DataQuick suggests.”

The Market Is Rethinking That Disastrous Jobs Report
“Markets are already acting as if the bad jobs numbers released Friday may have been just noise, and that the economy is still doing fine. Already we’re seeing interest rates rise again, and other markets continue to bet that the Fed will move toward tightening.”

Do Real Estate Agents Practice What They Preach?
“Trulia’s Chief Economist Jed Kolko dives into Census data to reveal whether real estate agents walk the walk, or if they are all talk. Turns out, they do: their homeownership rate is high even after taking demographics into account. The same goes for appraisers, architects, and construction workers.”

Real Estate Matters | How to get your finances in home-buying shape
“Money makes the world go around. And every year we make resolutions to save more of it, invest it more profitably and spend more wisely.”

County new home prices hit record high
“The median price for newly built single-family homes and condos in San Diego County shot up to a record high in December, while the number of new homes sold hit a record low for a December.”

Real Estate News 1.14.2014

9 ways real estate will change this year
“Each year, HSH.com details the important factors most likely to influence the mortgage and real estate markets in the coming year. While it seems we have made our way out of the turbulent times that have bounced the market around for the last few years, there is still plenty of uncertainty ahead.”

Minimum wage hike could mean a raise for all
“When New Jersey increased its minimum wage this year, Dolores Riley gave raises to all 16 employees at her childcare center. But it wasn’t because they were all making $7.25 an hour.”

Wells Fargo profit beats estimates; mortgage loans slump
“(Reuters) – Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) reported a better-than-expected 11 percent jump in fourth-quarter profit, though mortgage financing was at its slowest in five years, and the bank’s shares fell in morning trading.”

Lenders fear squeeze from mortgage rules
“Financial institutions are pressing Congress and federal regulators to scale back sweeping new mortgage rules for fear they could impede the housing market’s recovery.”

5 ways the jumbo mortgage market will change in 2014
” Big changes are coming to jumbo mortgages.

Wealthy home buyers signed up for these loans in droves last year because of their low rates and flexible repayment options. The total dollar amount of originated private jumbo mortgages—which exceed $417,000 in most parts of the country and $625,500 in pricey housing markets such as New York and San Francisco—was on track to be the highest since 2007.”

Friend or Foe? Mortgage Rules Show 2 Faces
“The home loan industry now has to adapt to new mortgage rules that offer borrowers much needed protection against lender abuses and reckless lending standards. But the changes may not please all borrowers.”

U.S. Posts Record December Surplus on Fannie Mae Payments
“The U.S. posted a record December budget surplus as higher payroll taxes, payments from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and a declining unemployment rate helped improve the government’s finances.”

Credit standards going easy on jumbo mortgages
“Despite overall originations hitting the lowest level since 2010, the past year witnessed a significant increase in the volume of home equity loans and lines of credit, in addition to originating the best-performing mortgages on record, the first report from Black Knight Financial Services, previously known as Lender Processing Services, found. For jumbo mortgages, however, it’s a completely different story.”

Fannie Mae launches second risk-sharing transaction
“Fitch Ratings released a pre-sale report expecting to rate the risk-sharing portion of the Fannie Mae Connecticut Avenue Securities at triple-B.”

Investors in PennyMac gain larger stake
“A group of investors acquired enough of a stake in PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) to prompt a series of new filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.”

Slump in retail sales and more economic predictions coming this week
“The Commerce Department will release its retail sales report for December at 8:30 a.m. ET Tuesday, but early warning signs show that it’s likely to show a holiday slump.”

How bad will QM hurt homeowners and home buyers?
“The House Financial Services Committee will hold Tuesday morning the second in a series of meetings on the effects of the Consumer Financial Protection Board’s Qualified Mortgage rule, a rule that only went into effect two business days prior to the scheduled hearing.”

Report: Delinquencies Dip, Lines of Credit Rise
“Home equity loans and lines of credit are on the rise, as delinquencies continue to plummet across the nation, according to recent research from Black Knight Financial Services. The data and analytics division of the company—formerly the LPS data and analytics division—released its November Mortgage Monitor Report, which found that total delinquencies are at extremely low levels in every product category.”

Wells Fargo Economists’ Outlook at Odds with Recent Home Price Data
“What’s ahead for housing in 2014? The economics team at Wells Fargo Securities is forecasting a pull-back in investor activity, and with the fundamentals underlying housing demand, job and income growth, and household formations making only modest strides in a relatively thin market, they say to look for modest gains in home sales and residential construction with price appreciation decelerating back into the mid to low single digits.”

GSE Forecasts ‘Continued but Measured Housing Recovery’ in 2014
“Recent trends in new home sales suggest the housing sector will double its contributions to the country’s economic growth in 2014—though the outlook for existing-home sales isn’t as bright.”

The Bullish Economic Story May Be On The Verge Of A Change
“The 10-year Treasury yield closed Monday at 2.82%, below the 2.88% level where it closed on Dec. 18, when the Federal Reserve announced it would begin tapering down its quantitative easing program.”

These Skinny Micro Housing Designs Would Let You Live Between Buildings
“With more and more people choosing to live in cities, there is less and less affordable housing available, meaning that some municipalities are trying out things like micro-housing or relaxed zoning laws to meet up with the demand.”

Berkshire County real estate seller using drones
“RICHMOND, Mass. (AP) — A Berkshire County real estate company is using a new tool to market its high-end properties — aerial drones.”

From offices to shopping centers, commercial real estate in high demand
“Coming off one of the strongest years on record, Houston’s commercial real estate market is poised for more growth in 2014, industry experts said today.”

China to Establish System for Tracking Real Estate Ownership
“SHANGHAI—China plans to establish a national system for tracking real-estate ownership and sales transactions, a key step in its effort to tame a property sector that threatens to price many Chinese out of the housing market.”

Progress has been slow in cleaning up mortgage mess
“After multiple enforcement actions, lawsuits and multibillion-dollar settlements, state and federal regulators are making sluggish progress in their efforts to prod banks to help mortgage borrowers.”

Richmond seeks partners for plan to seize mortgages using eminent domain
“After months of trying, members of the Richmond City Council have been unable to muster the supermajority of votes they need to enact a controversial plan to use eminent domain to seize underwater mortgages and slash the amounts that borrowers owe.”

Real Estate News 1.6.2014

FHFA Recovers Nearly $8B from Banking Institutions in 2013
“As conservator of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), recovered nearly $8 billion on behalf of taxpayers in 2013 through settlements with financial institutions.”

Realtors’ Confidence in Market Tempered by Credit Access Concerns
“Realtors expressed overall confidence in the market tempered by concerns regarding credit availability, according to the latest Realtors Confidence Index from the National Association of Realtors (NAR).”

Homes’ Days-on-Market Remain Low in November
“Following a post-summer slowdown in the market, homebuyers across the nation put a little more force on the accelerator in November.”

Online Technology Likely to Play Larger Role in Mortgage Process
“A recently released borrower survey on shopping habits shows increasing reliance on online tools when mortgage shopping, though many still find the learning curve too steep.”

Is Real Estate Headed For A Fall?
“There are various people who think that both real estate and stocks are vastly overpriced. Last week, for example, the stock market closed with the S&P 500 over 1,800 for the first time while the Dow topped 16,000. How much higher can these measures go — or must they fall?”

As interest rates rise, hybrid mortgages may be a good option
“WASHINGTON — Higher mortgage rates for 2014? Count on it. Could this be the year to check out hybrid mortgages, which haven’t been popular lately? Maybe.”

Housing tear-downs on the rise as real estate rebounds
“The front-end loader swung to the right and took a bite out of the shingled roof of the quaint cottage. The roar of the engine and crackle of buckling lumber carried down Elm Avenue in Manhattan Beach.”

Home buyer bargains? Many markets are back to normal (VIDEO)
“Real estate expert Michael Corbett weighs in”

The Best Online Tools for Your Housing Search
“There was a time when the only way to find homes for sale was to engage a real estate agent to send you listings or drive up and down the streets scouting “for sale” signs.”

Mortgage Borrowers Use Technology to Advantage
“It’s been said that a little education goes a long way. The same can be said, apparently, for a little mortgage technology.”

Watt at FHFA Seen as Enigma in Fannie-Freddie Market: Mortgages
“Mel Watt’s first act overseeing Fannie Mae (FNMA:US) and Freddie Mac came before he officially started.”

New law Ability to Repay tightens mortgage regulations
“Mortgage lenders will soon have to work under stricter regulations after passage of the federal government’s Ability to Repay rule, designed to reign in loose lending standards that officials blame for contributing to the Great Recession.”

Economists Spar Over U.S. Recovery
“PHILADELPHIA—Economists John Taylor and Larry Summers exchanged pointed words Saturday about the best approach to spurring the economic recovery.”

Home Price Data Point to Moderation

“Clear Capital, Truckee, Calif., said the double-digit home price growth experienced over the past two years appears unsustainable going into 2014, as prices move into a “slow and steady” mode.”

What to watch out for in the 2014 MBS market
“The year ahead remains murky for investors even as the Qualified Mortgage (QM) rule takes effect and the Qualified Residential Mortgage (QRM) is hammered out, but there are signs of optimism for normalization.”

Housing analysts: Denver beats Phoenix in deadly animal cage match
“Clear Capital’s Home Data Index (HDI) market report confirms the consensus – home prices recovered strongly in 2013.”

When your Realtor goes mum…here’s why
“Questions Your Realtor Can’t Answer

You may be a single woman looking for a home and neighborhood where you can feel safe at night. Or a family with children who would like other kids to live nearby for easy play dates.”

Freddie Mac Announces First Multifamily K Certificates Offering This Year, K-714
“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 6, 2014) – Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today announced a new offering of Structured Pass-Through Certificates (“K Certificates”) backed exclusively by fixed-rate multifamily mortgages with a 7-year term. The company expects to offer approximately $1 billion in K Certificates (“K-714 Certificates”), which are expected to price the week of Jan. 6, 2014, and settle on or about Jan. 28, 2014. This is Freddie Mac’s first K Certificate offering this year.”

Move inland or leverage your life: The gentrification of the California middle class pushes many to use ARMs to leverage into homes they cannot afford.
“I am convinced that Californians enjoy having a sordid affair with real estate.  The amount of justifications that get thrown around during booms and busts would be enough to fill a diagnostic manual for any aspiring psychologist.  It is fairly well accepted that mortgage rates will only move in one direction from this point forward.  So why would anyone lock into an artificially low rate via an ARM that is set to adjust in a short timeframe?  Many Californians are opting for ARMs to compete with big money investors over the tiny crumbs of inventory out in the market.  After all, home prices will be up in 5, 7, or 10 years and by that time you’ll be playing the equity ladder game once again, right?  The usage of ARMs is surging for the non-investor share of buyers.  A big reason is that California is largely unaffordable for the masses.”