Today’s Real Estate News 10.15.2013

Summary:

Today in real estate, the LA Times shows that Citigroup posts a $3.2-billion profit even with the mortgage decline in the market. The NY Times reports that while many want Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase Chairman & Chief Executive, fired, investors, analysts, board members and regulators don’t want him fired.  Central banks are preparing for a U.S. Default, should it occur. The Wall Street Journal reports that home prices & home sales are now slowing down in the “Bust-and-Boom Markets.” Lawmakers are asking financial institutions to be cooperative with federal employees who have been furloughed due to the government shutdown. The Housingwire informs us that multifamily loans are hitting the market and that Citigroup is preparing for a “refi burnout.”

Citigroup posts $3.2-billion profit amid slump in mortgages, trading
“NEW YORK — Citigroup Inc.’s third-quarter earnings disappointed Wall Street analysts as the bank reported a sharp slowdown in mortgage and bond-trading revenue.”

The Bloodlust of Pundits Swirls Around Jamie Dimon
“Jamie Dimon should be fired.

That seems to be the conclusion of some in the pundit class about JPMorgan Chase’s chairman and chief executive. Writers, editors and bloggers have made it clear that they want his scalp: “NOW Are We Allowed Talk About Firing Jamie Dimon?” the Huffington Post blared after news that the bank set aside $23 billion to pay legal fees and fines last week. “I have trouble wrapping my head around the positive aspects of paying a multibillion-dollar fine,” an article on TheStreet.com said of the prospect of an $11 billion settlement with the Justice Department.”

Central Banks Gaming Out U.S. Default as Deadline Nears

“Central banks have begun making contingency plans on how they would keep financial markets working if the U.S. defaults on the world’s benchmark debt.”

Home Sales, Prices Slowing in Bust-and-Boom Markets
“The sharp home-price rally in some of the hardest-hit housing markets is likely to fade in the coming months amid a pullback in investor purchases and steady increases in the number of homes listed for sale.”

Lawmakers call for banks to rescue federal employees
“Lawmakers urged financial institutions to work proactively with borrowers facing financial distress because of the government shutdown. For three weeks, federal employees have been out of the job without pay.”

Performing multifamily loans hit the market

“A great deal of activity is surfacing in the multifamily sector in the form of nonperforming loan sales this week.”

Citigroup prepares for refi burnout
“As investors anticipate the release of Citigroup’s (C) third-quarter earnings, analysts are predicting declining mortgage lending activity for the bank.”

Today’s Real Estate News 10.14.2013

Week 3: Small businesses reel from shutdown
“As the government shutdown moves into its third week, small businesses across the country are trying to figure out how — or if — they’ll be able make up the lost business.”

For sale by owner: Homeowners ditching brokers
“Bolstered by the housing recovery, a growing number of homeowners are going it alone when selling their homes hoping to save thousands of dollars in commissions.”

Homebuyers: To get the house, get there first
“Housing inventory is stiflingly tight in many locations, making it a challenge to find, much less land, your dream home.”

Shiller, two others win economics Nobel for ‘bubble’ warnings
“Robert Shiller, who became famous for calling the housing and Internet stock bubbles, was one of three Americans to win the Nobel in economics Monday.”

Saying goodbye to the California middle class. California least affordable state in the entire country as renting class expands.
“California for a generation has been a high cost of living state.  This is no surprising revelation.  Yet the tech boom in the 1990s set the state into a unique stratosphere of real estate.  Hundreds of thousands of jobs now depend on big tech companies including Facebook, Google, Apple, and other common names.  Changes like this have added to drive up in real estate values.  New data highlights that California’s metro areas are the least affordable for those looking to buy based on the families living in those areas.  Of course, investors are bringing outside money so that is one way to move around this new reality.  Unlike an Ohio or Nebraska, California real estate is global in nature.  The only problem today is the massive gap is pushing many middle class families out of reach from buying a piece of real estate.  It is becoming more challenging for families to purchase real estate in California and the data backs this up.”

14 American Housing Markets Drowning In Foreclosures
“One in every 998 U.S. homes received a foreclosure filing in the third quarter, according to the latest foreclosure data from RealtyTrac.”

US Default Seen Pushing Housing to the Brink
“Housing largely dodged a bullet on the government shut down that went into effect October 1, the pending default, however, is an entirely different matter. As the October 17 default deadline nears, knuckle in the housing industry are turning white.”

The 2 Families of Mortgage REITs
“Mortgage REITs are a very interesting sector, and although they only represent a small percentage of REITs, they’ve developed a very loyal following. Their increased use of leverage leads to very high yields that appeal to income seekers with a sizable appetite for risk. However, before jumping in to the sector, investors should realize that not all mortgage REITs are created equal. There are a wide variety of mortgage REITs, and the two major categories are separated by the types of mortgages the REITs invest in.”

J.P. Morgan Hiring for Compliance “SWAT Team”
“Facing a slew of costly regulatory issues, J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. is bringing in a SWAT team.”

Mortgage applications gain; buyers look past US shutdown
“Applications for U.S. home loans rose in the latest week as demand for refinancing outpaced purchases, data from an industry group showed on Wednesday.”

A sweet spot for move-up buyers?

“The peak home-selling season may have ended, but there some buyers are just getting started: those looking to sell a home and trade up. Is now a good time for these buyers to start their search? And what does this uptick in move-up buyers mean for the market?”

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Gains to the Real Estate Lords: Since 2009 Landlord income up a stunning 85 percent. Interest income has gone negative because of Fed monetary policy. Big money selling into momentum.

“The recovery in real estate has largely gone to big institutional players. Recent data from the US Commerce Department shows that rental income grew the fastest compared to other asset classes since 2009. Of course as we have chronicled over the last few years, most of the distressed property buying has gone to the investor class. The gains in rental income only impact a small portion of the population but the growth has been astounding. Rental income is now up 85 percent since 2009. Even stock dividends up at 44 percent have not met the pace of change in rental income. The trend is reflective of the insatiable demand from Wall Street for rental property over the last few years. Right on time however is the small investor jumping in at a tipping point as inventories rise, big money slows down, and interest rates have an impact on the housing market. Some big funds are even selling into momentum.”

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Rental Vacancy Rate Lowest in More Than a Decade

“The U.S. apartment vacancy rate fell to its lowest level in more than a decade during the third quarter, according to a new report by real estate research firm Reis Inc. It was down to 4.2 percent, the lowest vacancy rate since the third quarter of 2001, when it stood at 3.9 percent.”

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