Real Estate News 1.14.2014

9 ways real estate will change this year
“Each year, HSH.com details the important factors most likely to influence the mortgage and real estate markets in the coming year. While it seems we have made our way out of the turbulent times that have bounced the market around for the last few years, there is still plenty of uncertainty ahead.”

Minimum wage hike could mean a raise for all
“When New Jersey increased its minimum wage this year, Dolores Riley gave raises to all 16 employees at her childcare center. But it wasn’t because they were all making $7.25 an hour.”

Wells Fargo profit beats estimates; mortgage loans slump
“(Reuters) – Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) reported a better-than-expected 11 percent jump in fourth-quarter profit, though mortgage financing was at its slowest in five years, and the bank’s shares fell in morning trading.”

Lenders fear squeeze from mortgage rules
“Financial institutions are pressing Congress and federal regulators to scale back sweeping new mortgage rules for fear they could impede the housing market’s recovery.”

5 ways the jumbo mortgage market will change in 2014
” Big changes are coming to jumbo mortgages.

Wealthy home buyers signed up for these loans in droves last year because of their low rates and flexible repayment options. The total dollar amount of originated private jumbo mortgages—which exceed $417,000 in most parts of the country and $625,500 in pricey housing markets such as New York and San Francisco—was on track to be the highest since 2007.”

Friend or Foe? Mortgage Rules Show 2 Faces
“The home loan industry now has to adapt to new mortgage rules that offer borrowers much needed protection against lender abuses and reckless lending standards. But the changes may not please all borrowers.”

U.S. Posts Record December Surplus on Fannie Mae Payments
“The U.S. posted a record December budget surplus as higher payroll taxes, payments from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and a declining unemployment rate helped improve the government’s finances.”

Credit standards going easy on jumbo mortgages
“Despite overall originations hitting the lowest level since 2010, the past year witnessed a significant increase in the volume of home equity loans and lines of credit, in addition to originating the best-performing mortgages on record, the first report from Black Knight Financial Services, previously known as Lender Processing Services, found. For jumbo mortgages, however, it’s a completely different story.”

Fannie Mae launches second risk-sharing transaction
“Fitch Ratings released a pre-sale report expecting to rate the risk-sharing portion of the Fannie Mae Connecticut Avenue Securities at triple-B.”

Investors in PennyMac gain larger stake
“A group of investors acquired enough of a stake in PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) to prompt a series of new filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.”

Slump in retail sales and more economic predictions coming this week
“The Commerce Department will release its retail sales report for December at 8:30 a.m. ET Tuesday, but early warning signs show that it’s likely to show a holiday slump.”

How bad will QM hurt homeowners and home buyers?
“The House Financial Services Committee will hold Tuesday morning the second in a series of meetings on the effects of the Consumer Financial Protection Board’s Qualified Mortgage rule, a rule that only went into effect two business days prior to the scheduled hearing.”

Report: Delinquencies Dip, Lines of Credit Rise
“Home equity loans and lines of credit are on the rise, as delinquencies continue to plummet across the nation, according to recent research from Black Knight Financial Services. The data and analytics division of the company—formerly the LPS data and analytics division—released its November Mortgage Monitor Report, which found that total delinquencies are at extremely low levels in every product category.”

Wells Fargo Economists’ Outlook at Odds with Recent Home Price Data
“What’s ahead for housing in 2014? The economics team at Wells Fargo Securities is forecasting a pull-back in investor activity, and with the fundamentals underlying housing demand, job and income growth, and household formations making only modest strides in a relatively thin market, they say to look for modest gains in home sales and residential construction with price appreciation decelerating back into the mid to low single digits.”

GSE Forecasts ‘Continued but Measured Housing Recovery’ in 2014
“Recent trends in new home sales suggest the housing sector will double its contributions to the country’s economic growth in 2014—though the outlook for existing-home sales isn’t as bright.”

The Bullish Economic Story May Be On The Verge Of A Change
“The 10-year Treasury yield closed Monday at 2.82%, below the 2.88% level where it closed on Dec. 18, when the Federal Reserve announced it would begin tapering down its quantitative easing program.”

These Skinny Micro Housing Designs Would Let You Live Between Buildings
“With more and more people choosing to live in cities, there is less and less affordable housing available, meaning that some municipalities are trying out things like micro-housing or relaxed zoning laws to meet up with the demand.”

Berkshire County real estate seller using drones
“RICHMOND, Mass. (AP) — A Berkshire County real estate company is using a new tool to market its high-end properties — aerial drones.”

From offices to shopping centers, commercial real estate in high demand
“Coming off one of the strongest years on record, Houston’s commercial real estate market is poised for more growth in 2014, industry experts said today.”

China to Establish System for Tracking Real Estate Ownership
“SHANGHAI—China plans to establish a national system for tracking real-estate ownership and sales transactions, a key step in its effort to tame a property sector that threatens to price many Chinese out of the housing market.”

Progress has been slow in cleaning up mortgage mess
“After multiple enforcement actions, lawsuits and multibillion-dollar settlements, state and federal regulators are making sluggish progress in their efforts to prod banks to help mortgage borrowers.”

Richmond seeks partners for plan to seize mortgages using eminent domain
“After months of trying, members of the Richmond City Council have been unable to muster the supermajority of votes they need to enact a controversial plan to use eminent domain to seize underwater mortgages and slash the amounts that borrowers owe.”

Today’s Real Estate News 11.26.2013

GSEs Update Short Sale Policies

“Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac announced changes to their Servicing Guides Monday aimed at helping more borrowers avoid foreclosure through short sales and deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure (DILs).”

Report: October Cool Down in Temperature Only

“Cooler temperatures didn’t necessarily mean a cool down in October activity, according to recent data. Despite a seasonal slowdown in activity, the housing market continued to post some positive metrics in October, reports the latest Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance HousingPulse Tracking Survey, which aggregates approximately 2,000 real estate agents nationwide each month and provides up-to-date intelligence on home sales and mortgage usage patterns.”

Negative Equity: A New Way of Life in the Recovery

“Fast-paced price increases have helped bring many underwater homeowners afloat. In the third quarter, 1.4 million homeowners rose to the surface as their home values once again outranked their equity, according to the Zillow Negative Equity Report released Thursday.”

Pending Sales Slip to Lowest Reading in Nearly a Year

“Pending home sales slipped a bit further in October, reflecting an overall declining trend amid mixed regional numbers.”

Top 25 Hipster Zips for Returns on Rental Properties

“While the precise definition of hipsters is elusive — which is likely just how they want it — there’s no doubt the culture surrounding the hipster lifestyle has a major impact on local real estate markets, and mostly in a positive way.”

Signs Point to Economic Volatility in the Near Term

“WASHINGTON, DC – The temporary government shutdown and debt ceiling negotiations dealt a blow to consumers in October, and foreshadows likely continued market volatility during the next few months, according to Fannie Mae’s (FNMA/OTC) Economic & Strategic Research Group. In line with previous forecasts, the Group expects modest economic growth of approximately 2.0 percent for 2013 as a number of unresolved fiscal and monetary policy decisions weigh on consumer confidence. Factors including the appointment of a new Federal Reserve chair in January and the budget and debt ceiling issues that will remain until the first few months of next year are expected to suppress consumer spending – a key driver of economic growth. However, growth still is expected to pick up to 2.5 percent for 2014 once the fiscal drags wane and as labor market conditions improve further.”

Freddie Mac Multifamily Prices 19th Securities Offering This Year, K-035

“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Nov 25, 2013) – Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) recently priced a new offering of Structured Pass-Through Certificates (“K Certificates”), which are multifamily mortgage-backed securities. The approximately $1.3 billion issuance of K Certificates (“K-035 Certificates”) is expected to settle on or about December 5, 2013.”

Home prices rise 11%

“Home prices continued to climb in third quarter, rising 11% from a year earlier.”

Realtors® Applaud DeMarco for Heeding Warnings, Leaving GSE Loan Limits As Is

“WASHINGTON (November 26, 2013) – The following is a statement by National Association of Realtors® President Steve Brown: “Realtors® welcome today’s announcement from the Federal Housing Finance Agency that the current limits on conforming loans will remain in effect until further notice. As the leading voice for homeownership, NAR opposes lowering the ceiling on loans eligible for backing by the government-sponsored enterprises. Lower loan limits would increase costs for consumers and reduce their access to conventional mortgages.”

Insight: A new wave of U.S. mortgage trouble threatens

“(Reuters) – U.S. borrowers are increasingly missing payments on home equity lines of credit they took out during the housing bubble, a trend that could deal another blow to the country’s biggest banks.”

U.S. residential building permits reach 1 million, a 5-year high

“The number of U.S. residential building permits issued in October surpassed 1 million, the highest level in five years, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday.”

FDIC reports positive trend in loan balances, failed banks

“The bad news about banks in the third quarter is that their net income declined 3.9% from the same quarter last year, according to the latest Quarterly Banking Profile released today from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).”

Colony American Homes to launch rental securitization

“Securitization deals backed by rental income continue to attract market interest as more families turn to rentals over homeownership amid tighter lending standards.”

FHA mortgage loans no longer best option after rule change

“The most popular type of mortgage for buyers with low down payments keeps getting pricier and less appealing as more buyers question whether it’s still worth getting an FHA loan.”

Wells Fargo’s Lofrano Was ‘Critical’ to Fraud, U.S. Says

“Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) Vice President Kurt Lofrano played a “critical role” in helping the bank hide fraudulent home loans that cost the U.S. $189 million, the U.S. government claimed in a filing in Manhattan federal court.”

Some call on city to explore eminent domain to combat blight

“A California city’s controversial plan to use eminent domain to help its residents burdened with mortgages worth more than their homes has caught the eye of some Baltimore leaders, who say the city might benefit from the program.”

What Have Mortgage Settlements Done For Homeowners Lately?

“This week, JPMorgan Chase agreed to a $13 billion settlement with the Justice Department over the sale of faulty mortgage securities that led to the financial crisis. It’s the largest settlement with a single company in U.S. history.”

Chinese buying up California housing

“At a brand new housing development in Irvine, Calif., some of America’s largest home builders are back at work after a crippling housing crash. Lennar, Pulte, K Hovnanian, Ryland to name a few. It’s a rebirth for U.S. construction, while the customers are largely Chinese.”

3 Mortgage Stocks to Buy Now

“This week, three mortgage stocks are improving their overall rating on Portfolio Grader. Each of these rates an “A” (“strong buy”) or “B” overall (“buy”).”

Housing inventory disappears in California for the fall: Number of homes for sale reverses steady increase from February lows. Where did the housing inventory go?

“For most of the year, housing inventory was steadily increasing across the nation. In California, it appeared that inventory hit a bottom in February of this year. At that point, there were 109,000 homes available for sale. The latest figures going out to October showed 127,000 homes available for sale and this was down from 134,000 reached in August. There has also been a steady decline of homes available for rent. The cash investor crowd is still out buying in large numbers. The drop in inventory is typical for the fall and winter selling seasons in normal markets. However this drop in inventory is likely being brought on by other factors including the jump in interest rates and also, the perception that the market may be softening. The number of listings with price cuts was 17 percent earlier this year. Today it is up to 28 percent. Where did the inventory go?”

Troubled hedge fund sitting on real estate gold

“Hedge fund manager Steve Cohen has at least one easy way to make up some of the $1.2 billion he recently agreed to pay the government: Cash in on SAC Capital Advisors’ sprawling real estate holdings that stretch across three continents.”

Chinese real estate influence extends to the Big Apple

“Chinese buyers are fast becoming players in the cutthroat world of Manhattan real estate, and that keeps high-end real estate broker Dolly Lenz busy.”

What Homebuyers Can Be Thankful for in 2013

“Homebuyers have had it tough lately, suddenly finding themselves in a sellers market as summer came along. And mortgages suddenly cost more too — when you could even get one. But of course Thanksgiving isn’t about looking at negatives. So, if you can, look past that elephant-in-the-room that is the credit crunch and take stock of what’s now on the table for those homebuyers with the capital.”

Why Is High-End Real Estate So Hot Right Now? (VIDEO)

“Nov. 25 (Bloomberg) — Ziel Feldman, founder of HFZ Capital Group, and Kevin Maloney, co-founder of Property Markets Group, discuss luxury property market trends with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)”

Today’s Real Estate News 11.5.2013

Banks offering mortgages with only 5% down payments
“Good news for homebuyers who don’t have a lot of cash on hand: Banks are offering loans with down payments of just 5%.”

Why the jobs picture is brighter than you think
“FORTUNE — As the U.S. unemployment rate falls, skepticism grows about any real improvements in the job market.”

Bahrain’s Investcorp buys $250 mln worth of U.S. real estate assets
“Nov 5 (Reuters) – Bahrain-based Investcorp said on Tuesday that it has acquired a group of offices and retail properties in the United States for $250 million.”

UPDATE 1-U.S. homeownership rate holds near 18-year lows
“Nov 5 (Reuters) – Homeownership in the United States held near 18-year lows in the third quarter, suggesting the housing market was still struggling to overcome challenges brought on by the recession.”

Deals of the day- Mergers and acquisitions
“Nov 5 (Reuters) – The following bids, mergers, acquisitions and disposals were reported by 1100 GMT on Tuesday.”

Eminent Domain Battle Shifts to Another California City
“Sorohan, Mike–Nov. 5, 2013
Popping up like a Hydra, the latest battle over use of eminent domain to seize underwater mortgages has shifted to Pomona, Calif., a city of 150,000 residents outside Los Angeles.”

Few Banks Easing Mortgage Standards in Response to Higher Rates, Fed Says
“Most U.S. banks have maintained their existing lending standards on residential loans in recent months despite rising interest rates and softer demand for mortgages, a Federal Reserve survey found.”

Mortgage originations could fall 32 percent next year
“Mortgage originations in the U.S. could fall 32 percent next year from 2013 levels, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.”

How Bank-Defeated ‘Plain-Vanilla’ Requirements Live On
“Before there was much talk about “qualified mortgages,” “living wills” and the “Volcker Rule,” the two words that perhaps scared bankers the most were ‘plain vanilla.'”

Fed in no rush to cut bond buys, top policymakers say
“(Reuters) – The Federal Reserve should scale back its asset purchases only when the U.S. economy shows clearer signs of improvement and even then it should act slowly, one senior central banker said on Monday, while two others stressed there is no need to rush.”

Morgan Stanley Says AIG May Sue Over Mortgage-Linked Investments
“Morgan Stanley (MS), the sixth-largest U.S. bank by assets, said it may be sued by American International Group Inc. (AIG) over mortgage-backed securities that the insurer purchased before the financial crisis.”

National vacancy rate edges up 8.3% in 3Q
“National vacancy rates in the third quarter 2013 hit 8.3% for rental housing and 1.9% for homeowner housing, the Department of Commerce’s Census Bureau announced.”

Ally’s Net Income Declines 76% as Mortgage Costs Linger
“Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY), the auto finance firm majority-owned by U.S. taxpayers, said third-quarter profit fell 76 percent as the company settled U.S. claims for soured mortgages and stopped making new home loans.”

Will We Face A Mortgage Shortage In 2014?
“People assume that mortgages will always be available but what if that’s wrong? Could  there be a mortgage shortage in the near future, a time when financing shelves  are bare?”

Pennsylvania Housing Affordable
“Editor’s Note: In the October 2013 issue of the Foreclosure News Report, we asked Brian A. Hudson, the Executive Director and CEO of the Pennsylvania Housing Finance  Agency, to pen a “My Take” column and bring us up to speed on what the state is  doing to foster affordable housing. Here’s a short excerpt from Hudson’s  column.”

Analysts Say Double-Digit Appreciation Will Come to an End by 2014
“National home prices were up 10.1 percent year-over-year in the second quarter, but price appreciation is expected to fall out of the double-digits, reaching 5.4 percent by the beginning of next year, according to the CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indexes.”

Despite Bankruptcy, Detroit’s Housing Market Thrives
“The city that previously made national headlines for its failing economy and bankruptcy filing is now in the spotlight for its rapidly rebounding housing market. Detroit topped two lists of highest-performing housing markets in the past week—one from Realtor.com and one from Clear Capital.”

Activity from Homebuyers Picks Up in Aftermath of Shutdown
“Homebuyers shook off their fears and returned to the market in force following the re-opening of the government in October, according to data presented by Redfin’s Research Center.”