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Real Estate News 1.24.2014

7 setbacks for the middle class
“Five years into his presidency, Barack Obama is still falling short of his number one goal: to fix the economy for the middle class.”

Will Obama push housing reform in SOTU? — Not expected this year, but momentum matters — Lew live from Davos
“WILL OBAMA PUSH HOUSING REFORM IN SOTU? — POLITICO’s Jon Prior and Kate Davidson preview the big speech next week: “President Obama will deliver his State of the Union address on Tuesday and in the world of finance there is one question that keeps popping up: Will he mention Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? In August the president laid out his case for getting rid of the taxpayer-owned mortgage giants and putting in place a new housing finance system. But the administration has mostly been quiet since. Obama could change that by calling for an overhaul of the mortgage market Tuesday night.”

Lenders vocal about negative impacts of Dodd Frank mortgage rule
“Daniel Weickenand, CEO of Memphis-based Orion Federal Credit Union, has testified on behalf of the National Association of Federal Credit Unions that federal mortgage rules that went into affect Jan. 10 could hurt consumers’ ability to access credit and ‘hamper the ability of credit unions to meet their members’ needs.'”

Leading Indicators Rose in December as U.S. Economy Improved
“The index of U.S. leading indicators rose in December, a sign the world’s largest economy is poised to keep expanding in 2014.”

FHFA: Home Price Appreciation Almost Flat In November
“More evidence that home price appreciation is stabilizing: U.S. home prices increased only 0.1% in November, on an adjusted basis, compared to October, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s (FHFA) monthly House Price Index (HPI).”

Rent-to-Own: New Mortgage Rules Can Make This More Appealing
“New mortgage underwriting criteria went into effect Jan. 10 requiring a debt-to-income ratio of less than 43 percent for most qualified mortgages. Even if you don’t qualify for a mortgage under the current lending regulations, renting may not be your only option. Alternatives such as rent-to-own and contract-for-deed transactions make homeownership possible for those who may not meet mortgage-underwriting standards.”

Are rental bonds driving up the rent?
“Bonds backed by rental payments may be gaining investor attention, but they’ve also caught the eyes of a few critics along the way.”

Builders unscathed by rising loan limits
“Despite the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) reducing the maximum loan limits for mortgages written in certain parts of the country, the adjustment has had little real impact on home builders.”

Taking smaller bites, Freddie Mac pursues FHFA mandate
“Freddie Mac released its monthly-volume summary report Friday, and it shows the aggregrate unpaid principal balance of the GSE’s mortgage-related investments portfolio declining by $5.7 billion in December.”

ABS Vegas: Love or hate REO-to-Rental in 2014
“The REO-to-Rental model is the newest asset to gain investors’ attention, but what does the future look like for these particular deals?”

Buying a Home? Bring a Suitcase Full of Cash: Ritholtz Chart
“The chart above comes form the RealtyTrac Residential & Foreclosure Sales Report. It should come as no surprise that as rates rise, so too do all-cash purchases.”

Gundlach Counting Rotting Homes Makes Subprime Bear
“For Jeffrey Gundlach, the U.S. housing recovery isn’t so rosy.”

Stable real estate prices hide big changes in many city neighborhoods
“It felt like 2013 was a crazy year for real estate, with the flood of all-cash buyers, Billionaire’s Row on 57th St., shrinking inventory and skyrocketing prices.”

Real Estate Gobbled Up By Investors Worries Inland Empire Congressman
“A congressman who represents several Riverside County communities wants officials to look into whether the rise of investor owned properties in the area is creating an ‘unsustainable bubble that will wreak havoc when it bursts.'”

Born here? You’ve already struck it rich
“The American dream of climbing the income ladder is alive and well, according to new research on income disparity. But a lot these days depends on where you grow up.”

Decline in Foreclosures Outpaces Decline in Loan Modifications
“An estimated 44,000 homeowners received permanent loan modifications from mortgage servicers during the month of November under both proprietary servicer programs and the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), HOPE NOW reports. While that total represents a 12 percent decrease from the 50,000 loan mods completed in October, the most recent data show a steeper 20 percent decline in foreclosure sales and a 17 percent decline in foreclosure starts between October and November.”

Economists Outline What to Watch for in the Real Estate Market of 2014
“Experts at Freddie Mac and Equifax expect falling unemployment and economic growth to keep the housing market steady in 2014. This, despite climbing interest rates and anticipated growth in housing prices nationwide.”

Despite Fewer Foreclosure Starts, Distressed Sales Rose in 2013
‘Despite declining foreclosure starts over the year, distressed sales made up a higher percentage of overall home sales in 2013 than they did the previous year, according to the U.S. Residential & Foreclosure Sales Report released Thursday by RealtyTrac. The report also revealed an uptick in cash purchases at the close of the year.”

Recovery Expected to Enter ‘Middle Innings’ in 2014
“While the housing market is still far from “normal,” it is inching that way, according to a report released Thursday from Zillow. Last year’s skyrocketing home price appreciation, frenzied demand from investors, and high tide of negative equity are all expected to subside somewhat this year, according to the real estate company.”

Freddie Mac Issues Monthly Volume Summary for December 2013
“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 24, 2014) – Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today issued the company’s Monthly Volume Summary for December 2013.”

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Real Estate News 1.23.2014

Home sales hit 7-year high as prices also climb

“WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The pace of home sales rose in December, pushing 2013’s tally to the highest level in seven years as an improving economy and pent-up demand boosted demand, according to data released Thursday.”

Top 10 mortgage tips for 2014

“The clock is ticking for buyers and homeowners who want to grab a low mortgage rate in 2014. But if you stay on top of your game, keep your finances in order and act quickly, you can still grab attractive mortgage deals.”

10 hottest housing markets for 2014

“From Oakland, Calif., to Memphis, Tenn., these major metro areas are expected to see the biggest increase in home prices this year, according to CoreLogic Case-Shiller’s latest home price forecast.”

Buyers flocked to foreclosures last year — and many paid all cash

“Bargain hunters scooped up more foreclosed homes in 2013 — and many of them paid all cash.”

Housing Recovery Enters ‘Middle Innings’

“Zillow, Seattle, said national home values finished 2013 on a high note but cautioned that markets have already begun to show signs of a slowdown that could continue through this year.”

Longer foreclosures squeeze investor profit

“Fitch Ratings sent a note today warning that extended foreclosure timelines are increasing the severity of losses in residential mortgage-backed securities.”

Housing looks sunny with scattered clouds

“Although 2014 brings more forecasts of improvement for the housing market, this sunny forecast is not guaranteed to reach all top housing markets.”

ABS Vegas: No housing bubble to see here

“Dispatches from ABS Vegas 2014, being put on by The Structured Finance Industry Group and Information Management Network:”

It’s time to fight over the debt ceiling again

“The U.S. Treasury is likely to exhaust all extraordinary measures to fund the government if members of Congress fail to raise the nation’s debt ceiling by the end of February, Treasury Secretary Jack Lew warned in a letter to the House of Representatives Monday.”

Fixed Mortgage Rates Move Lower for Second Consecutive Week

“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 23, 2014) – Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), showing average fixed mortgage rates drifting slightly lower for the second consecutive week amid recent reports that inflation remains subdued.”

Baby boomers key to robust real estate market

“‘Build it and they will come.’ That phrase had characterized Clark County’s real estate market for decades. But are we ready to build the housing that will meet the needs of those who help drive the local market: the baby boomers?”

RIVERSIDE: Rising rent, falling income widens affordability gap

“The pool of people who rent their residences has gotten larger in Inland Southern California, and the income gap to pay rent and make home ownership possible has gotten wider, a new report by U.S. Rep. Mark Takano suggests.”

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Real Estate News 1.22.2014

Home building at historic levels in some cities

“Home building is recovering faster in some cities than in others, just as home prices are.”  

Should Mortgage Giants Pursue Borrowers Who Walked Away?

“If any company captures the zeitgeist of the housing collapse, it might be YouWalkAway.com. Started in 2007, the California-based firm helps underwater homeowners — those whose houses are worth less than what they owe on their mortgage — decide whether they should stop paying on their loans. If borrowers choose to default, the company’s advisors then walk them through the foreclosure process.”  

Specialty Servicers Face Trouble

“Nationstar Mortgage is further along in developing its origination capacity than Ocwen Financial and Walter Investment Management, according to a new report by Moody’s Investors Service.”  

The fight over shrinking origination volume

“Although mortgage originations continue to contract, lenders are still open for business. And while community banks may seem at risk of losing out in this competitive space, that’s simply not the case, industry veterans claim.”  

Wage Gains Prove Elusive Even as U.S. Job Market Rebounds

“Employers will probably boost payrolls and the jobless rate is projected to keep sliding in 2014 as the U.S. economy strengthens. The one element missing will be bigger wage gains.”  

The most overvalued housing market in America

“Housing markets resting on the laurels of juiced up home prices may be at risk in 2014 if those dramatic price swings are not supported by economic fundamentals.”  

How does the CFPB handle mortgage complaints?

“Life in the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau-age is well underway, and it seems the bureau’s Director Richard Cordray is becoming more forthright on how his agency approaches consumer complaints.”  

Why foreclosure filings are falling in California?

“Foreclosure starts fell to an eight-year low in California during the fourth quarter, as the state continued benefiting from rising prices, more aggressive foreclosure prevention efforts and higher home prices, says John Walsh, president of DataQuick.”  

Wells Fargo sells $39 billion MSR portfolio

“Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) subsidiary, Wells Fargo Bank, has signed an agreement to sell Ocwen Loan Servicing (OCN) a $39 billion portfolio of residential mortgage servicing rights, with approximately 184,000 loans linked to the transaction.”  

The fight over shrinking origination volume

“Although mortgage originations continue to contract, lenders are still open for business. And while community banks may seem at risk of losing out in this competitive space, that’s simply not the case, industry veterans claim.”  

The most overvalued housing market in America

“Housing markets resting on the laurels of juiced up home prices may be at risk in 2014 if those dramatic price swings are not supported by economic fundamentals.”  

Who will feel credit squeeze in 2014?

“CoreLogic’s economists take a look at what shaped residential mortgage financing in 2013 and what that means for 2014 in the company’s January MarketPulse report.”  

U.S. Treasury Opposes Extending Cutoff Date for HARP Refinancing

“The U.S. Treasury opposes allowing borrowers with mortgages originated after mid-2009 to become eligible for the Home Affordable Refinance Program, the agency’s chief housing-finance adviser said.”  

BlackRock Lawyer Criticizes Government Mortgage-Loan Settlements

“To revive the U.S. mortgage-bond market, investors need more protections to restore their confidence, according to a lawyer who works on behalf of BlackRock Inc. (BLK) and Pacific Investment Management Co.”  

New Loan Safeguards Leave Path for Higher-Risk Borrowers

“Nick Wormald, a 29-year-old plumber with good credit, said he was shut out of the housing rebound until he asked the government for help.”  

COACHELLA VALLEY: Real estate heating back up

“It’s no secret commercial growth sputtered in the Coachella Valley in the downturn. White-knuckled business folks hunkered down or shifted into bigger, more visible or more cost-effective commercial space. Investors swooped in to deal with distressed inventory. All got ready for an upturn.”  

Real estate’s least sexy sector is red hot

“Amazon.com’s latest move—to anticipate what you want to buy and start shipping it before you even buy it—could be a big boon to a sector that is already seeing huge gains. Industrial warehouse space, once a dud in real estate, is now closing in on prom queen status, as more retail goes online and as the housing market recovers.”  

China Set to Continue Shopping Spree for Real Estate

“Chinese real-estate investors made a name for themselves abroad in 2013, picking up big-ticket projects from New York to London, and that momentum is poised to pick up this year.”  

Foreclosures fell to 8 year low in 2013

“Foreclosures and default notices in San Diego County in 2013 dropped to their lowest total since 2006, the year before the official start of the Great Recession.”

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Real Estate News 1.17.2014

Roubini: U.S. economy will disappoint in 2014
“FORTUNE — Dr. Doom is back, sort of.”

Realtors® Rate Exterior Replacement Projects Among Most Valuable Home Improvements
“WASHINGTON (January 16, 2014) – A home’s curb appeal is crucial because it can be the first thing buyers notice about a home. That’s why Realtors® rated exterior projects among the most valuable home improvement projects in the 2014 Remodeling Cost vs. Value Report.”

Lower Mortgage Refinancing Activity Hits Citi Profit And Revenue
“If there was ever any question about the nation’s appetite for new and refinanced mortgages, Citigroup’s disappointing fourth quarter earnings results leave very little room for doubt: it’s weak.”

Shawnee County implores Legislature to keep mortgage fees
“As taxes go, the mortgage registration fee historically has fallen below the three budgets it is supposed to support.”

FBI Suspects Front-Running of Fannie, Freddie Swap Orders
“Bank employees may have profited by trading ahead of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac swap orders, Reuters reported, citing a description of the practice in a U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation intelligence bulletin.”

CFPB Provides New Guidance on Appraisal Disclosures
“The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has provided an update to National Mortgage News on a story with inaccurate information about appraisal disclosures. Under the qualified mortgage rule, lenders are required to provide borrowers with all appraisal reports ordered or requested in conjunction with a loan application.”

Mortgage exec says don’t fear new rule on loans
“Wells Fargo Home Mortgage President Mike Heid spoke in favor of the federal government’s new qualified mortgage rule Thursday at a gathering of Des Moines-area business leaders.”

Banks Keep Their Mortgage Litigation Reserves a Secret
“From JPMorgan Chase’s $13 billion settlement over mortgage securities to lawsuits brought by bondholders, a barrage of litigation has been raining down on Wall Street banks. Yet the banks are not disclosing a number that is crucial for assessing their ability to deal those legal costs. And, curiously, the regulator that has sway over companies’ disclosure practices has not called on the industry to reveal this important figure so that investors can weigh the institutions’ health.”

Alabama court thinks landlords need more foreclosure protection
“Lawfirm Ballard Spahr is reporting that an Alabama federal court is suggesting that borrowers can allege invalid mortgage assignments — if a portion of the property has tenants.”

GSE reform idea puts private capital back in driver’s seat
“Representatives John K. Delaney, D-Md., John Carney, D-Del., and Jim Himes, D-Conn., are putting together a housing finance reform proposal that uses private sector market forces to price risk while providing the security of a government guarantee behind the program.”

Housing starts drop 9.8%
“While housing starts dropped 9.8% from November to December, they did manage to grow 1.6% from December 2012, the U.S. Census Bureau said Friday.”

Real estate prices appreciate at a slower pace
“While residential real estate appreciation continues to trend higher, the rapid pace experienced early last year is easing, Veros Real Estate Solutions said in its latest VeroFORECAST report.”

$669 million Fannie, Ginnie portfolio sale hits market
“Mortgage Industry Advisory Corp. is overseeing the sale of a $669.22 million Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae mortgage-servicing portfolio, the company announced Friday.”

4 key housing trends
“Key indicators show housing moving in a positive direction, paving the way for an ongoing recovery, the latest Freddie Mac Economic and Housing Market Outlook shows.”

New Lenders for Real-Estate Investors
“A new lender is knocking on wealthy real-estate investors’ doors.”

HUD AND CENSUS BUREAU ANNOUNCE
NEW RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY IN DECEMBER
“WASHINGTON – The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the U.S. Census Bureau today announced the following new residential construction statistics for December 2013…”

Freddie Mac Prices New $4.5 Billion Three-Year Reference Notes® Security
“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 17, 2014) – Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) announced today that it priced its new .875% three-year USD Reference Notes® security due on February 22, 2017. The issue, CUSIP number 3137EADT3, was priced at 99.839 to yield .928%. The issue will settle on Tuesday, January 21, 2014.”

San Fernando Valley home, condo prices soared in 2013
“The San Fernando Valley’s housing market shook off the shackles of the Great Recession during 2013, according to a report released Thursday.”

Rich Chinese continue to flee China
“Do the wealthy Chinese know something we don’t?”

Construction up, but are we building too many houses?
“The year-end numbers are in, and home construction improved dramatically in 2013. Both single- and multi-family housing starts were up, by 15 and 25 percent, respectively, according to the U.S. Census. Add it all up and total housing construction rose 18 percent from 2012 to the highest level since 2007.”

The Mortgage Professor: Breaking the logjam on reverse mortgages
“People reaching retirement age are living longer than ever, and retiring with less capacity to maintain their living standards. With good reason, this situation has been termed a ‘retirement funds crisis.'”

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Real Estate News 1.16.2014

Trulia set to serve up sellers as ‘leads’ to real estate agents
Selling the contact information of prospective homebuyers to real estate agents as buyer “leads” has long been the bread and butter of listing portals like Zillow, Trulia and realtor.com.”

Trulia’s housing indicator shows mixed market (VIDEO)
“It’s going to be an uneven recovery, says Sean Aggarwal, Chief Financial Officer at Trulia, sharing his thoughts on the outlook on housing. We¿ve seen a very sustained recovery in 2014, says Aggarwal.”

Foreclosures hit six-year low in 2013
“Last year was a banner year in the fight against foreclosures, with filings hitting their lowest level since 2007.”

World economy on recovery road, but weak inflation threatens: Reuters poll
“(Reuters) – A much better year lies in store for most of the world’s major developed economies, although weak inflation will persist, complicating central banks’ ability to get interest rates back to normal, Reuters polls forecast on Thursday.”

Why banks aren’t lending to homebuyers
“‘Despite the confluence of promising signs,” write Peter Eavis and Jessica Silver-Greenberg today, “little in the vast system that provides Americans with mortgages has returned to normal since the 2008 financial crisis, leaving a large swath of people virtually shut out of the market.'”

Some banks made to pay cities for foreclosing on properties
“Canton officials say they have found a way to hold banks accountable for foreclosed and vacant properties in the northeastern Ohio city.”

FHA: The incredible, shrinking mortgage resource
“Is FHA sending its most profitable, lowest-risk customers — homebuyers who have very good to excellent credit — to Fannie and Freddie for their mortgages, thereby losing significant market share?”

‘Worst of all worlds’ for mortgage lending in fourth quarter
“The country’s top three mortgage lenders confirmed this week that new home loans dropped last year as mortgage rates rose, with earnings results Wednesday from Bank of America showing a 46% year-over-year drop in the fourth quarter.”

The bear and bull cases for mortgage REITs in 2014
“WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Shareholders of real estate investment trusts that invest in mortgage-backed securities had a rough 2013, and while rising rates continue to pose a risk, there could also be buying opportunities, analysts say.”

Did Fannie Mae run afoul of California’s short sale laws?
“Fannie Mae and its servicers maybe broke the law in California when collecting contributions from borrowers on short sales, the office of the inspector general for the Federal Housing Finance Agency claims in a new report. The government-sponsored entity, while not admitting culpability, said a data error may be to blame.”

BofA Says Profit Quadruples as Mortgage Costs Ebb
“Bank of America Corp., the second-biggest U.S. lender, quadrupled its quarterly profit and beat Wall Street estimates as the company quelled claims tied to defective mortgages. The stock reached its highest level in more than three years.”

Freddie Mac: Mortgage rates hit monthly low
“Mortgage rates took a step back due to signs of a weakening economic recovery, according to the latest Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey.”

Collapse in refis drive Citi earnings miss
“Citigroup (C) drove a 21% increase in fourth quarter earnings, but that wasn’t enough to reach analyst expectations as a weakening mortgage business proved too tough a headwind to overcome.”

Goldman Sachs sets aside plenty of cash for mortgage lawsuits
“Goldman Sachs (GS) reported fourth-quarter revenues and profit topping Wall Street estimates, bouyed by a resurgent IPO market that boosted investment banking revenue.”

Citi sells Fannie Mae MSRs … to Fannie Mae
“Fannie Mae has purchased mortgage servicing rights on about 64,000 of its own loans from Citigroup (C), as the nation’s 3rd largest lender looks to shed future liabilities tied to its servicing practices.”

Jobless claims fall by 2,000 filings
“Jobless claims pulled back slightly for the week ending Jan. 11, and fell by 2,000 filings to 328,0000, the U.S. Department of Labor said.”

Why Mortgage REITs Deserve Some Love in 2014
“There’s nothing sexy about mortgage real estate investment trusts. They can’t talk to you like Siri or deliver packages with drones like Amazon envisions. But they currently yield 13 percent while Treasury bonds yield only 3.8 percent.”

REAL ESTATE: Bailing out of PMI
“Home prices rose so significantly across Inland Southern California in 2013 that consumers who have been paying private mortgage insurance on their home loans for years not only may be emerging from underwater home equity positions.”

REAL ESTATE: Earthquake coverage rumblings follow 4.4-magnitude temblor
“Twenty years after the Northridge quake of January 1994, the earth that rumbled and roared in Fontana on Wednesday, Jan. 15, gave many in the Inland region more than a 4.4-magnitude wake-up call.”

OBAMA ADMINISTRATION ANNOUNCES SEVEN ADDITIONAL CITIES
PARTICIPATING IN THE STRONG CITIES, STRONG COMMUNITIES INITIATIVE
“WASHINGTON – Today the Obama Administration announced it is expanding the Strong Cities, Strong Communities (SC2) Initiative to include Brownsville, TX; Flint, MI; Gary, IN; Macon, GA; Rockford, IL; St. Louis, MO; and Rocky Mount, NC. President Obama established SC2 in 2011 as an innovative and flexible program designed to strengthen local capacity, coordinate federal investments, and spark growth in economically distressed communities.”

Squeezing out the working class through higher rents: 11.3 million Americans spend more than half their income on rent in 2011, a jump of 28 percent from 2007.
“Welcome to landlord nation.  People need a place to live and a recent Harvard analysis found that more Americans are spending a larger portion of their income on housing.  More to the point, there are now 11.3 million Americans that spend half of their income on rent.  This is a significant jump of 28 percent from 2007.  Rents also went up throughout 2012 and the first half of 2013 so this figure has definitely increased.  Is this a good thing for households?  Probably not but that is simply the current trend.  This is also a reason why only 1 out of 3 households can actually afford a home in California and is a direct consequence of the massive flood of investors into the real estate market.  When properties go back into the market with artificially low supply, these owners have the ability to command higher prices.  The end result?  More money to landlords and less money in the pockets of renting households.  And with America becoming more of a renter nation, this is putting a strain on the budgets of many households.”

California AG Busts Statewide, Multi-Million Dollar Housing Scheme
“California officials on Wednesday arrested five individuals who allegedly ran a statewide housing scheme involving the fraudulent seizure of at least 23 homes in nine counties.”

Fed’s Beige Book Details Improvements in Regional Real Estate Markets
“Representatives from the Federal Reserve’s 12 districts reported moderate economic expansion across most of the country through the end of last year, with indicators pointing to more steady growth ahead.”

Taking the Temperature of the Market
“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 16, 2014) – Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) released today its U.S. Economic and Housing Market Outlook for January showing that four of the key housing indicators are all moving in the right direction, which bodes well for an ongoing recovery. A short preview video, and the complete January 2014 U.S. Economic and Housing Market Outlook are available here.”

Fixed Mortgage Rates Move Lower on Economic Data
“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 16, 2014) – Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), showing average fixed mortgage rates fall amid signs of a weakening economic recovery.”

Freddie Mac Multifamily Research Highlights Borrower Default Behavior
“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 16, 2014) – New Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) research shows that a commercial real estate borrower’s loan default decision for an underperforming property is based on several factors, including property and loan characteristics, and economic and market conditions. The research [PDF], “Default Ruthlessness: Examining Borrower Default Behavior,” analyzed and compared borrower default behavior for CMBS loans and Freddie Mac multifamily loans. The research can help debt investors better manage their investment expectations.”

Freddie Mac Prices $1 Billion Reopening of 1.75% Seven-Year Reference Notes® Security
“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 16, 2014) –  Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) announced today that it auctioned a $1 billion reopening of its 1.75% seven-year USD Reference Notes® security that matures on May 30, 2019. The stop yield for the issue, CUSIP 3137EADG1, was 1.947%, priced at 98.999425. The bid-to-cover ratio was 3.4 to 1.”

Freddie Mac to Issue a New Three-Year Reference Notes® Security and $1 Billion Reopening of 1.75% Reference Notes Security
“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 16, 2014) – Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) announced today that it plans to issue a new three-year USD Reference Notes® security, CUSIP number 3137EADT3, due on February 22, 2017. The issue will be priced on Friday, January 17, 2014, and will settle on Tuesday, January 21, 2014, at benchmark size.”

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Real Estate News 1.8.2014

Why 2014 is the year to get out of debt

“When it comes to your personal finances, 2014 may be your best chance to take advantage of low interest rates and get out of debt — before it really starts costing you.”

Private sector adds more jobs than expected in December

“(Reuters) – U.S. private employers hired staff at the fastest pace in 13 months in December, data from a payrolls processor showed Wednesday, burnishing expectations that similar figures due later in the week from the government will confirm the U.S. economy was gathering steam at the end of last year.”

U.S. mortgage applications edge up in latest week: MBA

“(Reuters) – Applications for U.S. home mortgages edged higher in the latest week, rebounding from a 13-year low set at the end of last year, an industry group said on Wednesday.” New FHFA chief reverses course on

Fannie, Freddie loan-fee hikes

“(Reuters) – The U.S. regulator for Fannie Mae (FNMA.OB) and Freddie Mac (FMCC.OB) on Wednesday instructed the two taxpayer-owned mortgage finance companies to delay the increase in fees on government-backed loans that the agency announced last month.”

New regulator Watt signals shift in U.S. housing policy

“(Reuters) – Mel Watt, who was sworn in on Monday to head the agency that regulates mortgage finance firms Fannie Mae (FNMA.OB) and Freddie Mac (FMCC.OB), has signaled a new approach to U.S. housing policy that will put more of an emphasis on ensuring access to credit.”

Commercial Mortgage Lender Appetite Expected to Exceed that of Borrowers in 2014

“WASHINGTON, D.C. (January 8, 2014) — Commercial and multifamily mortgage lending is expected to increase in 2014, as lenders’ appetites to place new loans grow even stronger, according to a new Mortgage Bankers Association survey of the top commercial and multifamily mortgage origination firms.”

Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

“WASHINGTON, D.C. (January 8, 2014) — Mortgage applications increased 2.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 3, 2014.”

Wells Fargo Creates SWAT Team to Keep Loans In-House: Mortgages

“Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC:US), the largest U.S. home lender, has assigned about 400 underwriters to originate mortgages for the bank to hold, with as many as 40 percent of those loans likely to fall outside government guidelines taking effect this week.”

New mortgage rules protect American dream: Column

“Let me tell you a common story I hear. It starts with a woman in 2005 or 2006 who took out a mortgage to buy her first home. After two years, her teaser interest rate expired. Her monthly payments doubled so she could no longer afford them.”

Investor & Lender Changes Continue; Freddie & Fannie: Golden Gooses?

“Teach your children about taxes: eat 30% of their ice cream.” They’ll also learn something about percentages. If 30% of cities have rebounded to pre-2007 levels, even I can deduce that 70% have not, but…is this late breaking news? “Higher mortgage rates, tight lending standards and price increases driven by a limited supply of homes for sale are discouraging some prospective buyers.” Apparently.”

Mortgage Grader lands patent for lender, broker compliance technology

“As lenders and brokers search for solutions to ensure they are not violating new lending rules due out this week, one company is building a compliance technology to keep the industry in check.”

Americans build larger, more costly homes

“Newly built single-family homes in the United States are getting bigger, costlier to build and more expensive, according to the National Association of Homebuilders. This news comes on the heels of news that home prices climbed 11.8% between November 2012 and November 2013.”

HEMET: Alleged squatter thwarts Christmas short sale

“When Scott and Tammy Laffin got a call from their real estate agent, they expected to hear the long-awaited news that their Hemet short sale home passed inspection from the buyer and would close escrow at Christmas.”

Odd-Ball Real Estate Play

“Equity investors typically play real estate through real estate investment trusts (REITs), which have done very well for quite a while – until recent Taper talk brought the prospect of rising interest rates into focus.”

The Benefits of Investing in Commercial Real Estate

“What little known investment should people be turning to more often?What little known investment should people be turning to more often?”

Real Estate Matters | What home sellers can expect in the market this year

“A year ago, we saw far fewer “For Sale” signs. And this year, there are even fewer.”

A Real Estate Revival?

“Real estate ranked as one of the worst-performing categories of 2013. In a year when the S&P 500 returned 32 percent, real estate funds gained 1.6 percent, according to Morningstar. Rising interest rates have contributed to the weak showing. Real estate and other dividend-rich sectors often sink when rates rise. Investors tend to sell dividend stocks and shift to fixed income as bond yields become more competitive.”

Real-Estate Tech Takes NYC

“For years, the commercial real-estate industry has lagged behind other industries when it comes come to embracing cutting edge Internet technology to provide old services in a new way.”

Burbank to Brookline Soar in Suburb Shift: Real Estate

“Clarion Partners LLC, a real estate owner overseeing almost $30 billion, made millions buying Manhattan office buildings and towers in Seattle and Houston after the U.S. property crash began six years ago. It’s now moving to the outskirts of big cities.”

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Real Estate News 12.30.2013

Minimum wage to rise in 13 states on Jan. 1
“Starting January 1, minimum wage workers in 13 states and four cities will see higher paychecks.”

U.S. housing markets to watch in 2014
“Texas and California led recovery of the market in 2013. What are the next hot spots to watch for? Here are five cities to keep an eye on.”

5 biggest housing comebacks of 2013
“Six years later, the U.S. housing crash has grown more distant as the market continues to recover from record foreclosures and spiraling home prices. Here are five regions that experienced the most pronounced recoveries in 2013.”

Many Americans feel economy isn’t improving
“Despite a recent string of positive economic news, Americans say they aren’t feeling the improvements.”

Unemployment benefits for 1.3 million expire
“Michelle Marshall is one of the 1.3 million long-term unemployed Americans who is losing her jobless benefits.”

Pending Home Sales Edge Up in November
“WASHINGTON (December 30, 2013) – Pending home sales stabilized in November with a slight gain, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Monthly increases in the South and West offset declines in the Northeast and Midwest.”

Is Mortgage Market Deconsolidation Temporary or Here to Stay?
“In 1998, the top 10 mortgage lenders held around 40 percent of the market. By 2010, their share increased to nearly 80 percent; since then, it’s dropped down to around 60 percent.”

Even in Buyer’s Market, Homeownership Expected to Decline
“Zillow expects conditions next year to be a bit friendlier to homebuyers—but that doesn’t mean we’ll necessarily see more owner-occupied housing, experts at the real estate marketplace say.”

2013 in Review: The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
“Mortgage industry commentators may argue (and they certainly have) about the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s (CFPB) performance over the last year, but one thing is certain: The bureau knows how to command headlines.”

Trulia Economist Sees 2014 as ‘Year of the Repeat Homebuyer’
“As prices continue rising in the new year—albeit at a slower pace—investors will begin to ease back from the purchase market, but repeat homebuyers will be there to pick up the slack, according to Trulia’s predictions for the housing market in 2014.”

Feature: New World Order
“The veterans of this business can remember when market conditions were “normal”—when REOs ran in the neighborhood of 150,000 a year, delinquency rates were just around 4 percent, and you only needed a credit score of 620 to qualify for a prime mortgage loan.”

Commentary: What’s in Store for Housing in 2014, Part 1
“Many economists and market observers have suggested the market is poised for continued growth as the recovery enters its third year, and there are positive elements in play that provide some reasons for optimism.”

Jobs, Population Growth, Low Prices Create Investment Opportunities
“Analysts at HomeVestors and Local Market Monitor say the formula for a nearly risk-free single-family investment opportunity is one part job growth, particularly in lower paying jobs, and one part population growth, mixed with relatively low home prices.”
The next article is from Christmas eve but I thought you may want to see it.

20 Cities with Biggest Foreclosure Discounts
“As the housing market continues to recover in 2014, finding a foreclosure deal is more important than ever to ensure you get the most bang for your buck and land a home with built-in equity. RealtyTrac has identified the top 20 U.S. cities with the deepest discounts still available on foreclosure homes, including several markets on both coasts, from the high end to the low end, and plenty in-between.”

Fannie Mae Reaches $591 Million Repurchase Agreement with Wells Fargo
“WASHINGTON, DC – Fannie Mae (FNMA/OTC) has reached a $591 million agreement with Wells Fargo to resolve repurchase requests on certain loans originated prior to 2009.  After adjustments for prior repurchases, Wells Fargo will pay Fannie Mae $541 million in the fourth quarter of 2013 and be released from repurchase liability for these loans, with certain exceptions. “

Fannie, Freddie give non-investor home buyers ‘first look’ period
“WASHINGTON — An important resource for first-time home buyers and others who find themselves in unfair competition with deep-pocket investors bearing cash just got better: The two biggest players in the mortgage market, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, are now giving non-investor shoppers 20-day exclusive rights to bid on and buy new listings they are selling.”

Nov. home sales fall to a 5-year low in Vegas
“The Las Vegas market turned into the comeback kid after investors flooded the city in the wake of the real estate bust.”

LPS: Home price increases slowed in October
“October proved to be a tepid month for home prices, with no state increasing more than a full percentage point, according to Lender Processing Services’ most recent U.S. Home Price Index report.”

Flagstar Bancorp reaches $10.8 million repurchase settlement
“Flagstar Bancorp (FBC), the holding company for Flagstar Bank, has entered into an agreement with Freddie Mac to resolve substantially all of the repurchase requests and obligations associated with loans originated between Jan. 1, 2000, and Dec. 31, 2008, reaching a total amount of $10.8 million, the company announced in a press release.”

New home sales and mortgage apps see growing divergence
“The November new home sales data from the U.S. Census Bureau includes “some surprisingly positive data points, and a continued divergence from the weekly purchasing applications trend as released by the MBA,” according to research from Compass Point Research & Trading.”

U.S. Stocks Little Changed as Home Sales Miss Estimates
“U.S. stocks were little changed, as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index headed toward its biggest annual gain since 1997, after data showed contracts to purchase previously owned U.S. homes rose less than forecast in November.”

YEAR IN REVIEW: Stabilizer sums business scene in 2013
“One word: Stabilizer.
With its twists and turns, moments of trepidation, transition and glory, 2013 was a year Inland Southern California’s retail giants, small business, manufacturing companies, banks and real estate industry gained surer footing.”

Where did all the single family homes go? Half of foreclosed homes still occupied and big investors not reselling properties. Investors purchase $1 trillion in real estate since 2011.
“The real estate market has slim pickings for traditional buyers.  Funny thing that we have to use the “traditional” preface since the market is overrun with a hoard of investors.  I am seeing this with my own two eyes.  You are seeing it as well.  In most ordinary cases a rise in prices would be accompanied with some sort of rise in supply.  Yet this is no ordinary situation.  Scouring over a few reports I found that nearly half of foreclosed homes are still occupied.  In places like California and Miami this number is closer to 60 percent.  When these homes finally get fully repossessed, they are likely going to big money investors that end up holding on to the property, removing it completely from the market.  There is little doubt that investors are a big part of the market.  Since 2011 they have purchased over $1 trillion in real estate.  With razor thin inventory, this is a big deal.”

Posted on

Submitting a very low offer on an REO, agent perception

Question:

Hello Tony,

Thanks for your excellent “tip” after the Inland Empire Investors Forum meeting in Corona about pursuing the REO Pendings, instead of the Actives, for any that fall out.

I have one question that I hope you can lend some perspective on.

If the REO Broker’s lender accepted the high, over-listing offer that keeps happening in Moreno Valley on the homes that I’m making offers on… what is the conversation like with the REO Broker when I can still only offer 65 percent of ARV minus repairs, and that isn’t very close to the listing price… lower than probably several other all cash or hard money offers they got the first go-round?

Obviously, your brokers call you and they know what you’ll pay. I am dealing with these brokers for the first time, as I will not use my buyers agent. I’m going to be asking these REO brokers (or their own buyers agent) to write up my offer directly if the pending sale falls out… but it will more than likely be much lower than the asking price.

Because of the over-bids on low REO inventory, I get the feeling I would be upsetting them or getting off on the wrong foot with them with the TNG offer I need to make.

Just curious how you perceive that conversation if you were me (essentially unknown to them), how you think that would go, and is it a risk for the first impression or relationship building you teach in your course.

Also, as I mentioned, I’m interested in your small group mentoring program when you get it up and running again.

Thanks for your consideration.

Best regards,

B.S.

Answer:

Sorry it’s taken so long to get back to you. Here’s the short answer, I never worry about how an agent “feels” about my offers or me, for that matter, that’s counterproductive. Next time you’re speaking to an agent, start the conversation with a question. Ask them this, “If you’re listing a property for sale, and you had one of these two offers to choose from, would you like the highest offer or would you like the one that’s going to close escrow?” Obviously, they would love to have the highest one close escrow. But, in today’s market that’s far from reality. There are just too many hurdles to clear from the moment the offer’s accepted to that closing that can screw up that deal. It’s not your job to educate experienced brokers and agents. But unfortunately, that’s exactly what you end up having to do. And this is exactly the reason why I place such importance and emphasis on you staying on top of the specific day to day changes affecting your target market.

40.5% of buyers could not secure a mortgage. 36.5% of buyers changed their mind. 5.6% of buyers did not have a down payment. 0.0% of owners decided not to sell. And a whole bunch of other ones ran like hell once they figured out how much they’d have to spend on fixing that house.

Do yourself a favor, stop worrying about all the other offers – cash or otherwise. Focus your attention on the numbers that you need to hit so you can secure a profitable deal. Stop listening to your mind giving you all the reasons and excuses why everyone is going to hate you. If I’ve said it once, I’ve said it a million times,
“your mind is not your friend.” – Vernon Howard.

Focus on providing a solid offer that you can stand behind and close on without hesitation. Make sure that you remind the agents you’re working with of the percentage of fall outs that are presently being experienced in the market due to all of the reasons that I’ve already stated. Over time, this is what will give your offers their strength and solidify your deals.

This may take a little bit of time and some effort on your part. But just like any other mental conditioning, it’s your job to consistently remind them of the nightmare of accepting a supposedly “higher, better” offer that will, more than likely, crash and burn, in exchange for your superior offer that WILL close escrow and secure them a commission check.

Piece of cake, right?

Best,
Tony

Posted on

Banks not looking at offers less than 85% list price

Question:

Tony:
I am following your course more or less to the letter and made some good listing agent contact. I have to admit I am surprised how these guys are surprised to have me come to their office and just chit chat about general things rather than fly in saying I am an investor and need some good deal. I have never come into their office and said I was an investor and that really seems to take tension down a notch or two. Of the 3 I have met one has already asked me to come again for lunch and he was putting me on his 1 call list. I also have a couple of cash buyers and made a few offers. I am stoked!

One thing all the agents have told me though is the banks (fannie mae) won’t even look at an offer less than 85% of the mls list. The properties I am looking at are for the most part not the ones just on the MLS but older properties and have either been a BOM or had price reductions. Have you faced this “nothing less than 85%” threshold? I am going to keep doing what I am doing but not spend time on the fannie mae and freddie mac properties.

D

Answer:

D, I LOVE YOU! YOU’RE DOING A GREAT JOB! It’s wonderful to see when somebody gets it! It’s not that complicated, is it, D? It’s not like we’re reinventing the wheel here.

The 85% thing is real. However, so are the deals that fall between the cracks. The bottom line is this, all listings that do not sell during the initial listing period MUST be reduced until sold – NO EXCEPTIONS! No one at the lenders office owns this property personally. No one at the lenders office holding the title to this nonperforming dead asset gives a hoot about holding onto this pig longer than they have to, that property has got to be sold at some point. And that always occurs when the listing price is lowered enough to motivate someone to pay for it.

Now here’s the thing, every time an REO listing sells, what I mean by that is goes pending, and then falls out before the close of escrow, the asset manager’s as well as the listing REO broker’s motivation for liquidating that property increases at an alarming rate. When a deal falls out of escrow that’s the time that the REO agent and asset manager are most highly motivated to cut listing price and accept concessions to get rid of that property. And if anyone tries to tell you any different, they are full of crap.

You have to make a lot of offers at your prices, meaning, at prices that make profitable sense to you as an investor. Always respectfully, intelligently, and calmly explain to the listing agent or your buyer’s agent how you’ve arrived at your final offer price. Always remember that if an REO listing agent is hinting at the fact that they do not want to submit the offer on a Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac listing because it is not within the 85% of listing price AND you know that number will not work for you, it is important that you explain to the agent not only that that price doesn’t work for you but that you are still interested in purchasing that property once it is reduced to a reasonable listing price. Remember to always leave the agent with those words “I WILL BUY IT.”

One final note, please remember that all of these regulations, these 85% rules, these 90 day restrictions will all get kicked to the curb sooner or later. The problem is we never know how or when. Here is what I do and I suggest you do, stay the course. Ignore the chatter, be aware of these senseless stupid rules and regulations that they keep adding and removing faster than you can spell them. In other words, this market, if anything is fluid, ever changing and will eventually turn completely to our benefit as investors. And the only reason this will happen is because the lenders are completely motivated by greed and self-interest. This is the only thing that you can absolutely unequivocally rely on. These guys will hand us their butt on a plate when they finally realize that is what will put the most money in their pockets. How do ya like them apples?

Big Hug
Love,

Uncle Tony

Posted on

Investor funding falls through, now what?

Question:

How can I keep my credibility intact with REO agents when submitting offers if my investor decides for what ever reason not to fund a deal I was expecting him to cover. This could also apply to rehab contractors I suppose.

Is this just the risks that go with using equity partners?…Any thoughts….

-M.

Answer:

To minimize the possibility of destroying your relationship with an REO agent before you even get started, you MUST make sure that you’re investor/partners are solid and committed. One of the ways you can do this is to have a joint venture entity and bank account that they have committed funds to prior to submitting your first offer. However, no amount of legal paperwork or promises are going to hold someones feet to the fire that becomes consumed with fear over their inability to choose wisely. You must spend time with your fellow investors, especially if they’re new to the business, to make sure that they understand the reality of this business and the true profitability of your proposed deals.

The worst thing you can do to yourself is to get anxious and partner up with just anyone because they have a fat bank account. The responsibility of making good decisions falls squarely on YOUR shoulders. You’re the one that has to be aware of who you’re dealing with. You’re the one who’s responsible for your team showing up and doing what they have to do or at least being prepared with one of several back up plans.

If you’re going to hunt bears, you better have more than just one high powered rifle and one bullet. If not, when you’re head’s rolling around on the ground, and your body’s still standing…you’ll have no one to blame but yourself for being way too optimistic.