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Real Estate News 2.21.14

Spotlight on economy: More home sales blues?
“Severely cold weather in January stopped many construction projects from breaking ground and slowed work on existing sites. The cold snap probably kept more house hunters indoors instead of making the rounds at open houses.”

$187B bailout now profitable. Surprised?
“U.S. taxpayers have recouped all of the $187 billion they gave mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in one of the most expensive bailouts of the financial crisis.”

Housing: Top 10 most affordable small cities
“Latest from the Housing Opportunity Index from the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo.”

Tech workers squeezing out renters in San Francisco, Seattle
“Low- and middle-income residents of San Francisco, Oakland, Seattle and other metro areas, are getting pushed out of their homes as an influx of deep pocketed tech workers drive up rents.”

Regulators fear more bad mortgage practices
“You may have gotten a mortgage through the local branch of one of the megabanks, but did you know there’s a good chance your bank turned around and sold the rights to service your loan to somebody else?”

Wall Street Landlords Buy Bad Loans for Cheaper Homes
“Wall Street-backed landlords are showing a greater appetite for bad mortgages as a source for cheap property as the supply of foreclosed homes declines while housing prices continue to climb.”

MBA CEO David Stevens: CFPB’s Antonakes ‘went just a bit too far’
“Steven Antonakes, deputy director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, walked away from a silent, shocked audience after his speech Wednesday morning at the Mortgage Bankers Association’s National Mortgage Servicing Conference & Expo in Orlando.”

Foreclosure Starts Fall to 2006 Level as Home Prices Rise
“The rate of new foreclosures in the U.S. dropped to the lowest level in eight years as rising property prices erased negative equity and allowed more delinquent homeowners to sell without losing money.”

Another ‘Subprime’ Adventure? Behind Wells Fargo’s Move To Ease Mortgage Lending
“Wells Fargo & Co. announced this month it would reduce minimum credit scores for certain mortgages eligible for government backing, prompting some declarations that subprime mortgages were making a comeback.”

Is Homeownership a Fleeting American Dream?
“Opinion: People of color are also disproportionately impacted by an overly restrictive housing market; between 2007 and 2012, loans to African Americans and Latinos have fallen by 73 percent and 66 percent respectively.”

Leading data signal ‘resilient’ economy in 2014
“WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The economy will likely “remain resilient” in the first half of 2014, with underlying conditions improving, the Conference Board said Thursday as it reported monthly growth and stable trends for its gauge of leading economic indicators.”

Apartment Sector Healthy, But Fundamentals Moderate
“The multifamily sector continues to perform well four-plus years after its recovery began, two analysts reported.”

NFIP reformists fire warning shot at Congress
“It may be just a rumor of war they’re hearing, but Taxpayers for Common Sense and SmarterSafer.org are firing a warning shot across the Capitol about plans they say are in the works for yet another vote on the Biggert-Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012.”

Wingspan CEO: 3 keys to success for servicers
“Dallas-based Wingspan Portfolio Advisors finished this past year with several key profile acquisitions that significantly increased the company’s size and revenue, but that’s not where the storybook ends.”

Asia investors bullish about private real estate
“Private real estate investors headquartered in Asia look set to be very active in the asset class over the next 12 months, according to an investor survey by Preqin, a leading alternative asset data and intelligence analysis firm.”

The real estate 1% and the S&P 500 are secretly connected
“Analyst Sam Khater at CoreLogic (CLGX) walks through a look comparing ultra high-end home sales versus homes sales on the lower end of the pricing segment.”

Apollo charts new course for loan strategy in 2014
“Apollo Residential Mortgage is preparing to provide loans to third parties that are purchasing residential properties with plans to resell the properties, and will then probably finance purchases by next buyers, CEO Michael Commaroto said on a conference call today.”

Student loans pinching home sales? Real Estate Open House
“This is the inaugural Front Porch open house, a weekly roundup of real estate news and information for home buyers and sellers. I’ll be checking the comments throughout the day Friday, so leave your real estate questions or links to real estate news stories I missed.”

How to hunt for the right real estate agent before hunting for a home
“If you’re planning to purchase a home in the Washington area this spring, you may face competition from other buyers for the still-limited inventory in the market.”

Serfdom nation: First time where a six year period of household formation of renters outpaced that of homeowners. Purchase applications back to levels last seen 20 years ago.
“I think it is safe to say that investor activity in the housing market has changed the face of real estate buying.  Back when the crisis hit in 2007, some analysts were cheerleading the hedge fund crowd as a tiny blip in the market.  It is hard to call it a blip when 30 to 40 percent of all purchases are going to investors for close to half a decade.  A recent analysis from RealtyTrac found that the estimated monthly home payment for a regular three bedroom home (costs include mortgage, insurance, taxes, maintenance, and subtracting the income tax benefit) rose an average of 21 percent from a year ago in 325 US counties.  What about household incomes?  That is another story.  So it is no surprise that we are largely becoming a nation of renters.  It is also no shocker that young households are largely unable to begin household formation via buying a home.  Many are living with parents well into “young” adulthood.  For the first time in history, we had a six year stretch where we added more renter households than that of actual homeowners.”

Fewer Prospective Homeowners to Clash Over Homes
“Home buying competition rose over the month of January but was down from last January, according to national real estate brokerage Redfin, which took the year-over-year decline as a sign that low inventory and rising prices are thwarting demand in the housing market.”

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Real Estate News 2.17.14

Fog over U.S. economy unlikely to lift soon
“WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Trying to figure out what the heck is going on in the economy right now is like driving in a fog. You can only see a few yards ahead before visibility ends.”

Finding ways to help young adults make their first home purchases
“WASHINGTON — Parents, grandparents and young adults know the problem only too well: Heavy student-debt loads, persistent employment troubles stemming from the recession, plus newly toughened mortgage underwriting standards are all standing in the way of vast numbers of potential first-time home buyers in their 20s and 30s.”

Title restrictions can scare away buyers, but they have pluses
“Question: We have a detached single-family dwelling on more than five acres of land that we’re having difficulty selling because real estate agents say we have a restriction on our title. We have a homeowners association and board of directors, and that appears to be a problem for some potential buyers. Though we’ve had little to do with our association, we can’t convince buyers it’s OK. They say they “don’t want the hassle.” What exactly is a “restriction” and “deed restricted title?” Can we get it off our house title?”

3 things coming this President’s Day week
“It’s going to be a slow week cut short by the President’s Day holiday, but there are a number of indices coming out this week that should shed some additional light on where the housing market is heading for servicers, lenders and investors.”

Monday Morning Cup of Coffee: Fannie and Freddie investors denied profits
“Monday Morning Cup of Coffee takes a look at news coming across HousingWire’s weekend desk, with more coverage to come on larger issues.”

Is snow a good or bad forecast for housing?
“The weather continues to inhibit every aspect of life — especially in the Northeast. Since the snow is cutting back on the days available to work and produce mortgages in February, it is presenting a risk to the prepayments and mortgage-backed security production, according to a recent report from Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAC).”

New York Attorney General: Zombie property killer
“New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman is ready to raze hell over zombie properties infecting the Empire State.’

Mortgage industry employment continues decline
“The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ monthly real estate credit and mortgage brokerage employment statistics through December 2013 shows employment in real estate is declining.”

Washington & Wall Street: The Question Nobody Asked Janet Yellen
“In her first appearance before Congress this week, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen achieved the primary goal of any new Fed chief and avoided any obvious land mines. But what was lacking in the dialogue, both from Yellen and the media, was a serious discussion of what’s next for national economic policy.”

Sales drop, prices jump for metro Detroit real estate market in January
“DETROIT, MI – January marked the 11th straight month that metro Detroit median home sales prices rose by double-digits, climbing 38 percent year-over year to $110,000 according to Realcomp.”

Did Gen-Xers have it harder?
“Millennials are hardly the first generation to graduate into a job-killing economy and a miserable housing market.”

Inside hedge fund pay: $10M for a 10 percent return
“It’s no secret that people can make a lot of money working in finance. Top hedge and private equity fund chief investment officers can earn several billion dollars in a single year—David Tepper of Appaloosa Management earned an estimated $2.2 billion in 2012, for example.”

Stop whining! The US economy is in good shape
“While operating more than an entire percentage point below its potential growth rate, the U.S. economy still raised its business sector employment by nearly 2 million people over the last twelve months.”

Is Gen X ready to retire? Depends who you ask
“Get your happy on. Generation X may be more prepared for retirement than you’ve been hearing.”

Do banks sense a change in the California housing market? California foreclosure starts up 57 percent last month. Typical California foreclosure process lasts nearly one year and the misconception of middle class.
“It is common knowledge that banks have metered troubled real estate inventory out into the market in a slow drip fashion.  This practice over the years has caused an artificially low supply to be present in the market.  Add into the mix a low rate environment and years of investors buying up properties and you get our current stalemate of a market.  Virtually no one in the press with a voice is even expressing a possibility that prices may sway lower.  The only options making the rounds involve a couple of scenarios where prices will go up slowly in 2014 or prices will move sideways.  No option for a decrease.  This lack of perspective is odd given the resurgence of interest only loans and the fact that a well known bank is dipping back into the subprime market.  One surprising statistic that I did see was the resurgence of foreclosure starts in California.”

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Real Estate News 2.11.14

Scary 1929 market chart gains traction
“CHAPEL HILL, N.C. (MarketWatch) — There are eerie parallels between the stock market’s recent behavior and how it behaved right before the 1929 crash.”

Metro Areas See Solid Home-Price Growth, Some Markets Facing Affordability Issues
“WASHINGTON (February 11, 2014) – The lion’s share of metropolitan areas continued to experience strong year-over-year price growth in the fourth quarter, according to the latest quarterly report by the National Association of Realtors®. A companion metro area annual affordability report shows less favorable conditions, particularly in the West.”

Construction Equipment Rentals Boom
“MOLINE, IL—As reported yesterday in GlobeSt.com, panelists at the recent Mortgage Bankers Association’s Commercial Real Estate Finance/Multifamily Housing Convention & Expo said that construction lending has increased to levels not seen in decades. And in another sign of a US economic rebound, construction and industrial equipment rentals have also soared, according to data just published in the American Rental Association’s ARA Rental Market Monitor™.”

NAR: Rising home prices infringe affordability
“The vast majority of metropolitan areas continued to experience strong year-over-year price growth in the fourth quarter, the latest quarterly report by the National Association of Realtors revealed.”

NAR’s chief economist said what about the housing market?
“Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, caught HousingWire’s eye with his recent remarks at the Alabama Commercial Real Estate conference.”

MBA: Credit loosens as lenders adjust to QM
“The mortgage credit availability index ticked slightly higher in January and increased 1.85% from 110.9 in December to 113.0 in January, the latest Mortgage Bankers Association report said.”

How community banks will reign in 2014
“Despite some small lenders choosing to shut the door on originating mortgages, community banks could have just the right kind of leverage to succeed in 2014’s lending environment.”

2014 predictions: Redfin goes public and more
“Monday marked the one-month anniversary of the implementation of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s Qualified Mortgage rule.”

Boehner backs down, says House to vote on ‘clean’ debt-limit hike
“WASHINGTON –  House Speaker John Boehner, in an abrupt shift, announced Tuesday that the House would vote on an increase in the nation’s borrowing cap without any strings attached.”

Fed’s Plosser ‘worried’ about not raising rates
“Charles Plosser, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, said Tuesday history is not on the side of the central bank when it comes to raising interest rates in a timely manner, and the risk is financial markets will force its hand.”

Former foreclosure attorney in jail
“VISTA — A former attorney who pleaded guilty to stalking, trespassing and other charges related to his work for clients facing foreclosure admitted Monday that he violated his probation.”

Your Homeowner’s Insurance Is Soaring Thanks to Hail From 5 Years Ago
“Brutal storms—including some that hit quite a few years ago—are causing rates on homeowner’s and flood insurance policies to skyrocket.”

U.S. Economic Confidence at Lowest Level Since December
“WASHINGTON, D.C. — The Gallup Economic Confidence Index dipped to -18 for the week ending Feb. 9 — the lowest weekly reading so far in 2014. The index is similar to the -17 measured during the prior two weeks and January’s monthly average of -16. Americans’ confidence in the economy has been falling since it reached this year’s weekly high of -13 in early January. The index was 10 points more positive in early February 2013 than it is now.”

‘Nonpracticing entity’ or ‘patent troll’? Property Disclosure Technologies sues 13 real estate companies
“More than a dozen real estate companies — including Re/Max, Century 21 and Keller Williams — have been hit with patent infringement lawsuits by a company that does not maintain a website or offer any products or services but holds patents on a ‘real estate disclosure reporting method.'”

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Real Estate News 1.15.2014

Bill Seeks to Extend Federal Tax Exemption for Forgiven Mortgage Debt
“Congressman Bill Foster (D-Illinois) introduced the Homeowners Debt Relief Extension Act (H.R. 3856) on Tuesday. The bill would extend the mortgage debt tax exemption that’s been in place since 2007 for another two years.”

Early Earnings Reports Reveal Effects of Declining Mortgage Volume
“This season’s bank releases kicked off Tuesday with dual quarterly earnings reports from JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo—and as projected, weakened origination figures took their toll.”

Florida Law Firm Rebrands and Expands Service to Puerto Rico
“The veteran-, minority-, and woman-owned default law firm founded by Marisol Morales, Esq., announced its expansion into Puerto Rico and a name change from Morales Law Group, PA, to Millennium Partners.”

New Fed Survey Assesses Consumer Expectations
“A recently launched survey from New York’s Federal Reserve Bank shows consumer expectations for the next year remaining fairly flat in December.”

Which Hidden Gems Make Cut as Year’s Hottest Neighborhoods?
“Redfin on Tuesday came out with its annual list of the country’s “hottest” neighborhoods. The company ranked 105 neighborhoods across 21 major markets that have grown the most in popularity during the four months leading into 2014.”

Bank of America profit impresses Wall Street
“Bank of America impressed Wall Street Wednesday with better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the fourth quarter, continuing a trend of solid results from the nation’s largest banks.”

Fannie, Freddie watchdog in probe of alleged Wall Street front running
“(Reuters) – A U.S. government watchdog is involved in an investigation of whether bank traders manipulated markets and engaged in front running of orders from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the interest-rate swaps market, according to an FBI intelligence bulletin reviewed by Reuters.”

The end of the mortgage party? Home lending plummets at Wells Fargo, J.P. Morgan Chase
“The mortgage party is officially over.”

Trade group expects less mortgage loan activity this year
“Mortgage loan activity this year will be less than expected because of higher interest rates and fewer applications, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Tuesday.”

QM storm could hit in weeks
“The Consumer Financial Protection Board’s Qualified Mortgage (QM) rule is going to constrict access to mortgage credit and possibly stall housing, and members of Congress and mortgage industry leaders want a lot more flexibility in dealing with the CFPB’s regulations that went into effect Jan. 10.”

December Gain in Retail Sales Gives U.S. a Lift: Economy
“Retail sales (RSTAXAGM) rose in December as frigid temperatures prodded Americans to buy discounted winter clothing and shop online for the holidays, capping what may have been the strongest quarter for consumer spending in three years.”

Volcker Rule Curbs on Banks Owning CDOs Eased in U.S.
“U.S. regulators granted banks an exemption from Volcker Rule limits for collateralized debt obligations composed mostly of small-bank securities, according to a statement from regulators.”

House Republicans voice support for $1.1 trillion spending bill
“(Reuters) – Republicans in the House of Representatives voiced tentative support on Tuesday for a $1.1 trillion spending bill, signaling likely passage and removing one source of potential drama ahead of the 2014 elections.”

3 key takeaways from JPMorgan earnings call
“JPMorgan Chase (JPM) released its fourth-quarter earnings this morning, and it fared pretty well considering the never-ending series of legal settlements it had to overcome.”

Mortgage apps up 11.9%
“Mortgage applications increased 11.9% from a week ago, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending Jan. 10, 2014.”

Fed’s Fisher says QE is ‘beer goggles’ for investors
“Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher, always one for colorful speeches, said he is confident and certain that it’s time to come down from the $1 trillion a year money printing and bond buying.”

Congress takes a bite out of housing agency budgets
“A proposed $1 trillion congressional spending bill means less money for key housing agencies, analysts claim.”

JPMorgan With Wells Fargo Lose Share to Small Rivals: Mortgages
“The two largest U.S. home lenders are feeling the bite of competition from smaller firms as mortgage originations tumble at the fastest rate since 2011.”

REAL ESTATE: Up again, December home prices – by 28 percent
“Home sale prices across Southern California were poker-hot in December, the latest real estate information report from San Diego-based DataQuick suggests.”

The Market Is Rethinking That Disastrous Jobs Report
“Markets are already acting as if the bad jobs numbers released Friday may have been just noise, and that the economy is still doing fine. Already we’re seeing interest rates rise again, and other markets continue to bet that the Fed will move toward tightening.”

Do Real Estate Agents Practice What They Preach?
“Trulia’s Chief Economist Jed Kolko dives into Census data to reveal whether real estate agents walk the walk, or if they are all talk. Turns out, they do: their homeownership rate is high even after taking demographics into account. The same goes for appraisers, architects, and construction workers.”

Real Estate Matters | How to get your finances in home-buying shape
“Money makes the world go around. And every year we make resolutions to save more of it, invest it more profitably and spend more wisely.”

County new home prices hit record high
“The median price for newly built single-family homes and condos in San Diego County shot up to a record high in December, while the number of new homes sold hit a record low for a December.”

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Real Estate News 1.7.2014

Losing jobless benefits hurts people, local economies
“That’s how much the economy will slow down as a result of 1.3 million people losing their federal jobless benefits on Dec. 28, according to Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics.”

Senate Confirms Yellen as Fed Chair
“The United States Senate voted Monday to confirm Janet Yellen as chair of the Federal Reserve following Ben Bernanke’s departure at the end of January. She will be the first woman to take the job in the Fed’s history.”

Are ‘Tortoise’ Markets Beating ‘Hares’ In Home Price Recovery?
“After observing a “first in, first out” recovery over the past year in which markets hardest hit during the housing downturn experienced the fastest-paced recovery, Clear Capital is now examining whether the housing market, in fact, follows the allegory of “The Tortoise and the Hare.” The analytics firm observed price movement and offered its predictions for the new year in its Home Data Index released Monday.”

Regulator Reports Improving Loan Performance for 4th Straight Quarter
“The performance of first-lien mortgages serviced by large national and federal savings banks continued to improve in the third quarter of 2013, reports the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). It marked the fourth consecutive quarter the agency has recorded greater loan performance among regulated entities.”

United Wholesale Ranks No. 1 Among Wholesale Lenders in Q3
“United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM), one of the nation’s fastest-growing wholesale lenders, has good reason to celebrate going into 2014: The company was ranked on MortgageStats.com as the No. 1 wholesale lender in the country for the third quarter of 2013.”

Homes’ Days-on-Market Remain Low in November
“Following a post-summer slowdown in the market, homebuyers across the nation put a little more force on the accelerator in November.”

Housing Recovery Remains on Firm Footing as Americans’ Housing Sentiment Bounces Back From an Autumn Dip
“WASHINGTON, DC – Year-over-year gains in Americans’ attitudes toward homeownership demonstrate that the housing recovery continues to move forward on firm footing despite a drop in housing sentiment during the fall, according to Fannie Mae’s December National Housing Survey results.”

Renewal of jobless benefits clears Senate hurdle
“(Reuters) – A White House-backed bill to renew jobless benefits for 1.3 million Americans narrowly cleared a U.S. Senate Republican procedural roadblock on Tuesday.”

MBA: Mortgage Credit Availability Essentially Flat in December
“Mortgage credit availability increased slightly in December, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported this morning in its Mortgage Credit Availability Index.”

QM Fails to Deter Bank from Offering IO Loans
“Bank of the West will keep originating and holding in portfolio the interest-only loans that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s new rules assign more liability to starting Friday.”

Home prices increase 11.8%
“Home prices, including distressed sales, escalated 11.8% in November 2013 when compared to a year earlier, representing the 21st consecutive monthly year-over-year increase in home prices nationally.”

Mortgage credit loosens a bit
“Accessing mortgage credit is getting a bit easier, a new report from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) says.”

Failure to launch generation: Why household formation for younger Americans continues to lag while home prices soar. 46 percent of younger Americans living with older family members.
“Many are giddy about the rise in home prices.  Yet gains in home prices with no subsequent gain in income are merely a repeat of the previous bubble with a different tune.  In the last bubble, the memory has seemed to faded, the impetus for funky loan products came because incomes were not rising and products that offered additional leverage were taken up to mask the growing decline of wages.  In the last couple of years, the tinder that lit this latest run came from the Fed’s artificially low rate eco-system.  The difference this time is that the gains in home prices largely went to big investors that now dominate the market.  In the midst of all this trading, the homeownership rate has fallen.  Household formation for younger Americans is dismal.  The economy officially exited the recession back in the summer of 2009 (half a decade ago this summer).  So why is housing formation so weak when it comes to younger households if the economy is supposedly booming?”

US dominates list for foreign real estate investors
“Global real estate investors are flocking to the U.S.”

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Real Estate News 1.6.2014

FHFA Recovers Nearly $8B from Banking Institutions in 2013
“As conservator of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), recovered nearly $8 billion on behalf of taxpayers in 2013 through settlements with financial institutions.”

Realtors’ Confidence in Market Tempered by Credit Access Concerns
“Realtors expressed overall confidence in the market tempered by concerns regarding credit availability, according to the latest Realtors Confidence Index from the National Association of Realtors (NAR).”

Homes’ Days-on-Market Remain Low in November
“Following a post-summer slowdown in the market, homebuyers across the nation put a little more force on the accelerator in November.”

Online Technology Likely to Play Larger Role in Mortgage Process
“A recently released borrower survey on shopping habits shows increasing reliance on online tools when mortgage shopping, though many still find the learning curve too steep.”

Is Real Estate Headed For A Fall?
“There are various people who think that both real estate and stocks are vastly overpriced. Last week, for example, the stock market closed with the S&P 500 over 1,800 for the first time while the Dow topped 16,000. How much higher can these measures go — or must they fall?”

As interest rates rise, hybrid mortgages may be a good option
“WASHINGTON — Higher mortgage rates for 2014? Count on it. Could this be the year to check out hybrid mortgages, which haven’t been popular lately? Maybe.”

Housing tear-downs on the rise as real estate rebounds
“The front-end loader swung to the right and took a bite out of the shingled roof of the quaint cottage. The roar of the engine and crackle of buckling lumber carried down Elm Avenue in Manhattan Beach.”

Home buyer bargains? Many markets are back to normal (VIDEO)
“Real estate expert Michael Corbett weighs in”

The Best Online Tools for Your Housing Search
“There was a time when the only way to find homes for sale was to engage a real estate agent to send you listings or drive up and down the streets scouting “for sale” signs.”

Mortgage Borrowers Use Technology to Advantage
“It’s been said that a little education goes a long way. The same can be said, apparently, for a little mortgage technology.”

Watt at FHFA Seen as Enigma in Fannie-Freddie Market: Mortgages
“Mel Watt’s first act overseeing Fannie Mae (FNMA:US) and Freddie Mac came before he officially started.”

New law Ability to Repay tightens mortgage regulations
“Mortgage lenders will soon have to work under stricter regulations after passage of the federal government’s Ability to Repay rule, designed to reign in loose lending standards that officials blame for contributing to the Great Recession.”

Economists Spar Over U.S. Recovery
“PHILADELPHIA—Economists John Taylor and Larry Summers exchanged pointed words Saturday about the best approach to spurring the economic recovery.”

Home Price Data Point to Moderation
“Clear Capital, Truckee, Calif., said the double-digit home price growth experienced over the past two years appears unsustainable going into 2014, as prices move into a “slow and steady” mode.”

What to watch out for in the 2014 MBS market
“The year ahead remains murky for investors even as the Qualified Mortgage (QM) rule takes effect and the Qualified Residential Mortgage (QRM) is hammered out, but there are signs of optimism for normalization.”

Housing analysts: Denver beats Phoenix in deadly animal cage match
“Clear Capital’s Home Data Index (HDI) market report confirms the consensus – home prices recovered strongly in 2013.”

When your Realtor goes mum…here’s why
“Questions Your Realtor Can’t Answer

You may be a single woman looking for a home and neighborhood where you can feel safe at night. Or a family with children who would like other kids to live nearby for easy play dates.”

Freddie Mac Announces First Multifamily K Certificates Offering This Year, K-714
“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 6, 2014) – Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today announced a new offering of Structured Pass-Through Certificates (“K Certificates”) backed exclusively by fixed-rate multifamily mortgages with a 7-year term. The company expects to offer approximately $1 billion in K Certificates (“K-714 Certificates”), which are expected to price the week of Jan. 6, 2014, and settle on or about Jan. 28, 2014. This is Freddie Mac’s first K Certificate offering this year.”

Move inland or leverage your life: The gentrification of the California middle class pushes many to use ARMs to leverage into homes they cannot afford.
“I am convinced that Californians enjoy having a sordid affair with real estate.  The amount of justifications that get thrown around during booms and busts would be enough to fill a diagnostic manual for any aspiring psychologist.  It is fairly well accepted that mortgage rates will only move in one direction from this point forward.  So why would anyone lock into an artificially low rate via an ARM that is set to adjust in a short timeframe?  Many Californians are opting for ARMs to compete with big money investors over the tiny crumbs of inventory out in the market.  After all, home prices will be up in 5, 7, or 10 years and by that time you’ll be playing the equity ladder game once again, right?  The usage of ARMs is surging for the non-investor share of buyers.  A big reason is that California is largely unaffordable for the masses.”

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Real Estate News 1.3.2014

Job search: One year and counting…
“Lena Rouse has merely one resolution for 2014: Finally get a job.”

The smart home is a pipe dream
“At next week’s Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, the tech industry will try to convince us that our homes will be completely automated in the next five years. Don’t believe the hype.”

Sell your home without a real estate agent
“How do I sell my home without using a real estate agent? — Bill, Chicago”

Luxury sales drive Manhattan home prices higher
“New York’s new mayor is vowing to shrink the divide between the wealthy and everyone else. But when it comes to the real estate market, he is facing an uphill battle.”

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac got $7.9 billion in bank settlements in 2013
“WASHINGTON —  Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac collected $7.9 billion from large financial institutions to settle suits over bad mortgage-backed securities purchased by the seized housing finance giants during the subprime housing boom, their federal regulator said.”

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac may be too profitable to shut down
“WASHINGTON — Federal officials swooped in to rescue mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in 2008 with the largest of all the financial crisis bailouts — a combined $187.5 billion — because they were considered too big to fail.”

Morningstar Executive Gives Assessment of New CFPB Rules
““Under the new CFPB [Consumer Financial Protection Bureau] rules, servicers will have to provide very detailed and accurate information to borrowers about each aspect of their loans and/or any foreclosure procedures that may occur,” according to Richard Koch, SVP at Morningstar Credit Ratings.”

Industry Completes 50K Loan Modifications for Homeowners in October
“The HOPE NOW Alliance recently announced that an estimated 50,000 homeowners received permanent, affordable loan modifications from mortgage servicers during October 2013. This total includes modifications completed under both proprietary programs and the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP).”

Alternate Home Price Index Records Weaker Gains
“While the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices for October showed a significant 13.6 percent year-over-year leap, other measures saw more subdued gains for the month.”

Average private RE investment vehicle reaches $511M
“The average size of private real estate investment vehicles that closed in 2013 hit $511 million — the highest level recorded by Preqin since the start of its data analysis.”

Residential construction spending hits 2008 levels
“Construction spending on private, residential projects reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $346 billion in November, up 17% over November 2012. That’s the fastest pace since mid-2008.”

Lenders search for plan B
“Lenders and borrowers are looking to other avenues of borrowing as mortgage rates continue to rise and competition heightens among financial institutions.”

2014 housing forecasts filled with euphoria: Estimates looking at higher rates combined with higher prices and stagnant incomes.
“Euphoria unlike housing inventory is in plenty supply when it comes to 2014 real estate forecasts.  The glue holding the housing market comes from investors and generous banking policy.  The one thing about economics unlike other hard sciences is that it happens in real-time.  It also assumes certain rules are fixed but that really act more like clay to fit the whims of the power structure.  It was interesting to see how few analysts at the end of 2012 predicted the massive run-up in real estate prices during 2013.  What is typical of course is that analysts usually go with the momentum so it is no surprise that predictions for 2014 are rosier than they were for 2013 even though most are forecasting higher interest rates and most will acknowledge that this current pace is unsustainable.  Yet higher rates will add pressure on income constrained households.  Investors are already showing signs of pulling back in certain markets.  Let us examine the 2014 real estate forecasting landscape.”

3 ways Dodd Frank law will roil real estate in 2014
“Chris Dodd and Barney Frank have long since retired, but the namesake legislation they craftedfour  years ago is about to unleash sweeping changes in the mortgage and real estate markets.”

Can Selling Real Estate Make You Rich?
“When Roman Serra, a 29-year-old with a master’s degree in art, decided to switch careers, he enrolled in a two-week real-estate course. He took a personality test online and went through a short interview at Chicago real-estate firm Baird & Warner, where he took the class. If he passes his broker’s license examination in January, he is guaranteed a spot as an independent contractor and a desk at one of the company’s 22 offices. He says studying wasn’t difficult compared with his days in college. “I wouldn’t personally consider it intense,” he says.”

AZ real estate player, reality TV star in trouble for operating without license
“PHOENIX (CBS5) – A reality TV star made a name for himself bidding on foreclosed homes. Now he’s underwater, accused of operating without a license.”

Three Northern California Real Estate Investors Agree to Plead Guilty to Bid Rigging at Public Foreclosure Auctions
“WASHINGTON—Three Northern California real estate investors have agreed to plead guilty for their roles in conspiracies to rig bids and commit mail fraud at public real estate foreclosure auctions in Northern California, the Department of Justice announced.”

Real Estate in 2014: A Need-to-Know Guide
“After year of struggles, the housing market roared back to life in 2013. The rebound will continue in 2014, but the pace will slow.”

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Today’s Real Estate News 10.21.2013

Summary:
CNBC shares Jamie Dimon’s, of JPMorgan, reaction to the bank’s settlement with the U.S. & that the Fed might not be tapering for months due to the government shutdown. CNN Money shares  “5 things to know about JPMorgan settlement.” Reuters reports that home sales in existing homes have fallen and home price appreciation is slowing. Bloomberg says the FHFA is holding banks accountable for their part in the burst of the housing bubble & it’s effects. According to the Review Journal, many layoffs can be attributed to slowing of the mortgage refinance boom. The Housing Wire states that investors are once again being attracted to RMBS, California received the most government aid in housing relief funding. Newsweek examines how much the government shutdown cost the U.S. Dr. Housing Bubble shares some great data in two different blog posts – 1. The continuing increase in renters & 2. What the 2014 California housing market may look like.  

‘We’re trying to get our problems behind us’: Dimon
“”We’re trying to get it resolved.” That’s what JPMorgan Chase Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon told CNBC on Monday, in reaction to news that the bank has reached a tentative $13 billion settlement with the U.S. Justice Department, the New York attorney general, and the Federal Housing Finance Agency over allegations of sales of shoddy mortgage securities.”

Fed’s Evans: Shutdown may delay taper by months
“The Fed may not begin tapering for months because the government shutdown has left the economic picture unclear, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans told CNBC on Monday.”

Five things to know about JPMorgan settlement
“The tentative deal that JPMorgan Chase reached over the weekend with the Justice Department will cost the bank $13 billion, a record penalty.”

U.S. existing home sales fall, price appreciation slows
“(Reuters) – U.S. home resales fell in September and prices cooled as higher mortgage rates took the edge off the housing market recovery.”

Federal Housing Chief Holds Banks to Account
“Two years ago, the Federal Housing Finance Agency sued 18 banks for losses on $200 billion in private-label mortgage bonds purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. That strategy is now paying off. JPMorgan Chase & Co. is negotiating a $13 billion settlement with the U.S. government that would feature a $4 billion payment to the FHFA. Today, Bloomberg News reports that Bank of America Corp. might pay the FHFA at least $6 billion for dodgy bonds issued before the crisis.”

FHFA Is Said to Seek at Least $6 Billion From BofA for MB
“A U.S. housing regulator is seeking at least $6 billion from Bank of America Corp. to settle civil claims the firm sold faulty mortgage bonds to government-backed finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, according to a person with direct knowledge of the discussions.”

Job layoffs as mortgage refinance boom slows
“A recent spike in interest rates has caused a decline in refinancing activity, a drop-off that has curtailed a two-year refinancing wave that started in 2011 and led to the nation’s largest banks shedding thousands of mortgage jobs.”

RMBS investors slowly gain steam in marketplace
“New and refinanced mortgages continue to move through the private-label residential mortgage-backed securities pipeline, attracting investors back into the space.”

California absorbs the most housing relief funds
“California received the largest portion of the Treasury’s Hardest Hit Fund as the state continued to recover from the large amount of unemployed and distressed homeowners impacted during the financial crisis.”

How the Shutdown Hammered the U.S. Economy
“How much has the government shutdown and the default threat cost us?”

Gen Renter: The continuing expansion of renters in the United States. A permanent generational shift.
“Never mistake luck with timing.  That is one lesson gamblers and so-called investors forget time and time again.  Even in baseball batting .300 is considered fantastic.  The rhetoric being uttered by some people is similar to what was being said only a few years ago.  Of course, the voices of the 5,000,000+ that went through foreclosure is largely drowned out similar to those that went all in with tech stocks right before the bust (where are the Pets.com investing geniuses?).  Not to quote an Alanis Morissette song but isn’t it ironic?  Suddenly folks that bought in 2011 or 2012 act as if they deserve a Ph.D. in economics.  Don’t mistake luck with investing acumen.  These people are caught up in the low rate, low inventory, and investor driven uptrend.  California is an excellent example of this.  Home prices are rising at astounding speeds pricing many out of the market.  It is no surprise that the number of renters in the state is surging as well (this is also a nationwide trend).  Investors dominate the market.  A cap rate of 4 percent may be reasonable when the Fed is artificially creating a negative interest rate environment.  This generational divide is going to continue and as usual, the US is going to undergo some dramatic changes including a growing renting class.”

30 years of booms and busts for California real estate: What does 2014 have in store for California real estate?
“For the first time in nearly two years the California housing market showed some brief signs of cooling.  The median price dipped and sales slowed down.  The mortgage rate turbulence of the summer is likely to show up in late fall since the process of buying a home with escrow takes a bit of time to register in the current data.  Although this is a current trend in terms of sales and prices we’ve also discussed why it is unlikely that California baby boomers will suddenly unload properties in mass.  These owners may have equity trapped in their home but the only way to unlock it is via selling the place or going with a reverse mortgage which is like raiding the bank before handing something over to your heirs.  California real estate has been in a perpetual cycle of booms and busts for nearly 30 years.  That is why it is interesting to see the 2014 forecast put out by the California Association of Realtors (C.A.R.).  The forecast is modest yet past history tells us a different story.”