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Real Estae News 2.18.14

Commercial Mortgages: Deal-hungry lenders open toolboxes
“Back in 2011, U.K. alternative band The Wombats had a hit song “Jump into the Fog” that had nothing to do with commercial real estate lending, but aptly describes many lenders today.”

4 signs the real estate market is in trouble
“I wish I’d said this (and in a few weeks I will have, I’m sure) but Ramsey Su at Acting Man Blog did it first and in a way I’ve been searching for the words to explain.”

The 7 ‘dirty’ words of mortgage lending
“It’s hard to resist this post on Forbes, because it starts by saying the mortgage business is filled with dirty words.”

Can Colorado keep dropping in foreclosure auction sales?
“Colorado new foreclosure auction sales fell to the lowest level in a decade and were down 41.4% in 2013 from 2012, according to a report from the Colorado Division of Housing.”

Wingspan keeps open mind for acquisitions in 2014
“Dallas-based Wingspan Portfolio Advisors completed 2013 with several significant profile acquisitions that drastically increased the company’s size and expanded its capabilities.”

TransCentra processes 100 million transactions
“TransCentra, a provider of billing and payment software and services, announced its suite of software solutions now processes nearly 100 million mortgage transactions annually and streamlines customer communication efforts to meet the operational and compliance needs of servicers.”

LRES launches new REO operating model
“LRES unveiled Monday its new REO operating model which is designed to increase efficiency and accommodate the influx of new clients with portfolios of assets in various stages of the foreclosure process.”

National Tax Search launches flood determination service
“Based in Chicago, National Tax Search, a provider of property tax management services, announced the launch of its flood determination services.”

Miles Says ‘Big Stick’ of Rate Hike Too Blunt for Housing Market
“Bank of England official David Miles said policy makers will only use interest rates as a last resort to cool Britain’s housing market if it begins to overheat.”

US Homebuilder Confidence Sinks in February
“U.S. homebuilders’ confidence in the housing market has declined sharply as the severe weather battering much of the nation keeps many would-be buyers at home.”

Hypo Real Estate ‘bad bank’ to privatize services unit
“(Reuters) – Germany’s FMS Wertmanagement, the bad bank of nationalized lender Hypo Real Estate, said it would start the sale of its services business in the second quarter of this year.”

HomeSteps® Announces Incentives for Homebuyers and Real Estate Agents in 23 States
“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Feb 18, 2014) – HomeSteps®, the real estate sales division of Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC), today announced a special 2014 Winter Sales Promotion that will pay cash incentives to real estate agents who list or sell HomeSteps homes in 23 select states between February 18, and April 15, 2014. The 2014 HomeSteps Winter Sales Promotion also offers homebuyers a choice of incentives, including funds to cover condominium association fees.”

Will Housing Take Gold?
“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Feb 18, 2014) – Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) released today its U.S. Economic and Housing Market Outlook for February showing that despite the Federal Reserve’s taper activity, long term rates have eased over the past month, providing a chance for some borrowers who are holding older mortgages an opportunity to refinance. A short preview video, and the complete February 2014 U.S. Economic and Housing Market Outlook are available here.”

Why Is Mortgage Demand Falling In 2014?
“By just about every measure the housing market is looking better — home values of the rising, new construction is on the increase, foreclosures are down and millions of people have gotten mortgages to finance and refinance their homes in the past few years.”

New QM Rules Produce Higher Costs and Elevated Risk Factors
“Although the new QM rules are expected to bring stability to loan manufacturing, the many nuances of compliance have resulted in doubling the cost of loan origination. This assessment was offered by Tom Showalter, Chief Analytic Officer at Digital Risk, a top provider of risk, compliance, and transaction management solutions.”

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Real Estate News 2.13.14

NAR Tech Edge helps Realtors® Keep Abreast of the Latest Technologies
“The ever-changing technology landscape continues to transform the way that Realtors® and the real estate business operate. To help Realtors® keep up with the latest mobile and web-based technologies that can benefit their business and clients, the National Association of Realtors® is continuing its one-day technology conference series, NAR Tech Edge.”

Freddie Mac: Mortgage rates edge higher; 30-year average is 4.28%
“A five-week decline in fixed mortgage rates has ended, with Freddie Mac’s survey showing the 30-year home loan averaged 4.28% early this week, up from 4.23% a week ago.”

Southern California housing market loses momentum in January
“Southern California home buyers continue to turn their backs on an expensive market with few houses for sale.”

New Home Purchases Up Sharply in January 2014
“WASHINGTON, D.C. (February 13, 2014) — MBA estimates that sales of new single-family homes were running at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 543,000 units in January 2014, based on data from MBA’s Builder Applications Survey.’While the big jump may appear to conflict with other data, such as MBA’s purchase application index and NAR’s existing home sales data that point to a weak market for existing homes, our Builder Application Survey estimate is consistent with reports of homebuilder sentiment that show strength in the market for new homes,’ said Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s Chief Economist.  ‘It is also worth noting that the significant January increase also followed a particularly slow pace of sales in November and December.'”

Jobs Key to Housing Market Recovery: MBA’s Stevens (VIDEO)
“Feb. 12 (Bloomberg) — David Stevens, chief executive officer of the Mortgage Bankers Association, talks about the U.S. housing market and mortgage lending. He speaks with Adam Johnson, Scarlet Fu and Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television’s “Market Makers.” Steve Miller, non-executive chairman of American International Group Inc., also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)”

Shaun Donovan optimistic about housing reform
“Housing and Urban Development Department Secretary Shaun Donovan on Wednesday said he is encouraged by the work being done in Congress to reach an agreement on what to do with government-owned mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.”

Senate Banking GSE Reform Bill Nears Completion
“Senate Banking Committee leaders are expected to soon unveil their highly anticipated bipartisan bill to overhaul the mortgage finance market as the window for moving legislation this year continues to narrow.”

Mortgage Applications Continue to Slide
“Applications for U.S. home mortgages fell in the latest week as both purchase and refinancing applications slipped, an industry group said on Wednesday. The Mortgage Bankers Association said its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage application activity, which includes both refinancing and home purchase demand, fell 2 percent to 397.2 in the week ended Feb. 7. The index hit its lowest level since December 2000 at the end of last year, soon after the U.S. Federal Reserve announced it would start reducing its $85 billion per month bond-buying program as the economy grows strong enough to stand on its own.”

RealtyTrac: Monthly foreclosure filings reverse course, rise 8%
“Monthly foreclosure filings — including default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions — reversed course and increased 8% to 124,419 in January from December, according to the latest report from RealtyTrac.”

HOPE NOW assists 768,000 borrowers in 2013
“Approximately 768,000 homeowners received permanent, affordable loan modifications from mortgage servicers in 2013, according to HOPE NOW’s final 2013 loan modification data.”

Mortgage delinquency rate hits 5-year record low
“The mortgage delinquency rate hit the lowest level in 5 years and dropped below 4% for the first time since 2008.”

FHFA-OIG: GSE mortgage servicing needs oversight
“The Federal Housing Finance Agency Office of Inspector General released its latest report entitled ‘FHFA’s Oversight of the Servicing Alignment Initiative.'”

Blackstone-Fueled Single-Family Home Boom Lifts Chicago
“The tan, three-bedroom house on Chicago’s North Side sits half a block from a Family Dollar store and a pawn shop — an unlikely patch of gold to mine for Blackstone Group LP (BX) in the single-family rental market.”

Homebuilders Leading U.S. Consumer Stocks: EcoPulse
“Shares of U.S. homebuilders are leading consumer discretionary stocks as the new home market is poised to rebound faster than other cyclical purchases this year.”

(Much) more Chinese real estate money heading here
“San Francisco’s Kidder Matthews is partnering with a Chinese real estate consortium ‘to act as a bridge for Chinese business investment which wants to come to the Bay Area.'”

Woman’s young age doesn’t stop her real estate success
“KANSAS CITY, KS (KCTV) – Katie Yeager is a woman breaking multiple stereotypes. She is contributing to Kansas City’s entrepreneurial spirit and making money along the way.”

Beyond ‘frozenomics’: What’s hurting the housing market
“Ask any real estate agent east of Nevada, and they’ll blame slower home sales this winter squarely on harsh winter weather.”

Home values: 5 best markets for Q4 2013
“Home values were up 10.1 percent nationally from the fourth quarter of 2012 to the same period of 2013, according to data from the National Association of Realtors. See five hot markets where prices went up fastest.”

San Diego home sales at three-year low
“The slowdown in San Diego County’s housing market continued in January, as sales dropped to their lowest levels in three years.”

Fannie Mae Announces Homebuyer Incentive up to 3.5 Percent Closing Cost Assistance on HomePath Properties in the FirstLook Period
“WASHINGTON, DC – Fannie Mae (FNMA/OTC) announced today that homebuyers may receive up to 3.5 percent in closing cost assistance when they purchase a HomePath® property in 27 states during the FirstLookTM period. During the FirstLook period, owner-occupant or public entity buyers are able to submit offers on HomePath properties, giving them the opportunity to purchase homes without competition from investors. Fannie Mae recently announced the extension of the FirstLook period from fifteen days to twenty days.”

Interest Rates and HARP Participation Pressure Title Insurer Revenues
“2014 revenue growth for U.S. title insurers is likely to be constrained, said Fitch Ratings in a press release Wednesday. Fitch cites rising interest rates and Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) participation as a limiting factor for title insurers, who have experienced steady revenue growth and improving profit margins over the last two years.”

Experts Predict Level Playing Field as Investors Withdraw
“A majority of experts surveyed by Zillow and Pulsenomics expect large-scale investors will pull out of the housing market in the next few years—and that hopefully means a smoother field for consumer buyers.”

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Today’s Real Estate News 11.01.2013

The Amenities Trending Up (and Down) in Luxury Homes
“Views, windows and outdoor spaces are some of the most in-vogue amenities in luxury homes, according to an analysis of listing descriptions by real-estate website Trulia.”

The ‘Texa-fication’ of America
“In 1981 a book titled The Nine Nations of  North America, written by Joel Garreau, suggested that North America could be divided into nine nations, which have distinct economic and cultural  features. Arguing that national and state borders are largely artificial and irrelevant, Garreau’s nine “nations” — including Ecotopia, MexAmerica, Breadbasket, Dixie, The Foundry, New England, Quebec, The Empty Quarter and The Islands — provides a more accurate way of understanding North America.”

HAMP’s Redefault Rate at 27% and Likely to Rise
“Over the life of the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), 1.25 million homeowners have received permanent HAMP modifications, and 27 percent of those have later redefaulted on their loans, according to a quarterly report to Congress from the Office of the Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (SIGTARP).”

FHFA Still Piloted by ‘Acting’ Head as Watts Vote Blocked
“Senate Republicans blocked a vote on the nomination of Rep. Mel Watt (D-North Carolina) to head up the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA).”

Use your home to boost retirement savings
“Do you dream of leaving full-time work behind at 60, or even sooner? In MONEY’s 2014 Retirement Guide, you’ll learn the five essential rules for pulling off early retirement — rules built on tough lessons from recent years and new thinking about investing.”

MBA’s Stevens Testifies on Housing Finance Reform
“David H. Stevens, president and CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), testified today before the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs at a hearing titled, ‘Housing Finance Reform: Essential Elements of a Government Guarantee for Mortgage-Backed Securities.'”

Starwood Property Trust spins off new public REIT
“Real estate investment fund Starwood Property Trust (STWD) plans to spin off its single-family residential business, forming a new REIT called Starwood Waypoint Residential Trust.”

SunTrust Mortgage is exiting broker lending
“The changing mortgage landscape continues to impact large banks and lenders, with SunTrust Mortgage (STI) announcing plans to exit broker lending, effective Dec. 31, 2013.”

Fitch will rate second Freddie Mac risk-sharing deal
“As promised, Freddie Mac is coming to market with another risk-sharing deal, thereby shifting some of the product into the private market. Freddie said it will likely get this deal rated, and it looks like they will, via Fitch Ratings.”

Homebuilders drive into peak season
“Homebuilders are driving into their peak season, with more than 75% of annual homebuilder returns historically generated in the November-to-January timefame, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods noted in its latest report.”

REO-to-Rental securitization gets sterling Triple-A rating
“Moody’s Investors Service (MCO) provided a credit analysis for Invitation Homes 2013-SFR1, an REO-to-Rental securitization, awarding $278.7 million in triple-A ratings, in what is by far the largest tranche in the deal.”

Homebuilders to Rally as Bet on Taper Premature: EcoPulse
“Shares of U.S. homebuilding companies have fallen more than 20 percent since May, even as home-improvement retailers rose to a record high, a sign some investors are too pessimistic that higher mortgage rates could derail new construction.”

Wells Fargo Said to Settle FHFA Claims for Less Than $1 Billion
“Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) agreed to pay less than $1 billion to settle Federal Housing Finance Agency claims it sold faulty mortgage bonds to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, according to a person briefed on the deal.”

Ellie Mae misses estimates due to lower mortgage volumes
“Oct 31 (Reuters) – Ellie Mae Inc, whose software is used by mortgage professionals, reported a lower-than-expected third-quarter profit, hurt by lower mortgage volumes and higher R&D spending, pushing its shares down more than 20 percent after the bell.”

Chinese heavily focused on US real estate. How big of an impact are Chinese investors having on US property values? China now has 1 million US dollar millionaire households.
“There is a heavy demand from abroad for US real estate.  China as you know is now solidly the second largest economy in the world and with it is wielding heavy economic power.  Wealthy families are growing and with it, the ability to purchase investments and assets all around the world.  In California target locations like Los Angeles and San Francisco bring in dramatic levels of dollars from abroad.  The California housing market has been on a massive run-up in the last couple of years.  As we’ve discussed, a large part of this has been driven by domestic investors but how much of this is being driven from those abroad?  In particular how much money is flowing in from China into US real estate?  It is interesting to note that Chinese property investors are targeting select coastal regions whereas some domestic hedge funds have gone after properties in Arizona and Nevada.  It is hard to ignore the money flowing in from abroad.”

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Today’s Real Estate News 10.16.2013

Summary:
CNN Money reports Bank of America posts a profit in the 3rd quarter, relieving investors after breaking even last year. Housing Wire shares that Fannie Mae is working on a risk-sharing transaction for next year, FHFA refinance activity slows, mortgage applications barely changed this week, National Mortgage Settlement is closer to meeting consumer-relief mandates and 67,000 home loan modifications have been finalized in August. Bloomberg states that U.S. Bancorp’s profit was little changed on lower bad loan provisions and homebuilder confidence has dropped more than it has in the past four months. Market Watch reports a 12% profit growth for PNC Financial. NY Times posts a profit for Blackrock. Reuters shares mortgage insurer MGIC profit.  CNBC reports that Fitch Ratings put the government’s “AAA credit rating on ‘rating watch negative.’” Dr. Housing Bubble shares a wealth of data in his blog post titled “The inefficient and fragile housing market: How trying to increase homeownership can backfire and add costs to regular home buyers.”

Bank of America swings to a profit
“Bank of America swung to a profit in the third quarter after breaking even last year. And investors breathed a sigh of relief.”

Fannie Mae plans next risk-sharing deal
“Mortgage giant Fannie Mae is working on another risk-sharing transaction for 2014, keeping in line with the firm’s plan to bring private capital back to the mortgage market.”

FHFA refinance activity declines
“Refinance volumes continued to decline in August as mortgage rates inched up from July levels.”

National Mortgage Settlement progress report: Big banks closer to finalizing consumer relief
“The mega lenders subjected to the National Mortgage Settlement are closer to meeting the consumer-relief mandates rolled out as part of a nationwide initiative to compensate borrowers for past servicing issues.”

67,000 home loan mods finalized in August
“Mortgage servicers modified 67,000 home loans in August, up 8% month-over-month, bringing the total amount of loans modified since 2007 to 5.4 million, Hope Now said Wednesday.”

U.S. Bancorp Profit Little Changed on Lower Bad Loan Provisions
“U.S. Bancorp, the nation’s biggest regional lender, said third-quarter net income was little changed as revenue fell and the bank set aside less for bad loans.”

PNC Financial’s profit up 12% on loan growth
“PNC Financial Services Group Inc.’s PNC +1.74% third-quarter earnings rose 12% as the regional lender’s results were helped by loan growth and improved credit quality, though net interest margin, a key measure of lending profitability slipped.”

BlackRock’s Profit Rose 14% in Third Quarter
“The giant money management firm BlackRock is now managing a record $4 trillion after customers put more money into its stock mutual funds and exchange traded funds.”

UPDATE 1-Mortgage insurer MGIC posts profit as housing market recovers
“Oct 16 (Reuters) – Mortgage insurer MGIC Investment Corp posted its second straight quarterly profit, after six years of losses, as a recovery in the U.S. housing market lowered the number of defaulters.”

Mortgage applications barely shift
“Mortgage applications barely changed during the week ending Oct. 11, rising only 0.3% from a week earlier, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday.”

Fitch puts US AAA rating on rating watch negative
“Fitch Ratings put the US government’s “AAA” credit rating on ‘rating watch negative’ Tuesday, saying that the standstill on the U.S. debt ceiling negotiations risks undermining the effectiveness of the country’s government and political institutions.”

The inefficient and fragile housing market: How trying to increase homeownership can backfire and add costs to regular home buyers.
“It was interesting to see that this week, the Nobel Prize, the biggest prize in economics went to three US economists, one being “irrational exuberance” Robert Shiller.  Markets for the most part are presumed to be efficient and what Shiller points out is the weaknesses inherent with this model.  The housing market is a perfect example.  The market is extremely inefficient when it comes to housing.  We massively subsidize this sector of the economy with the outward notion of helping regular buyers but do the opposite.  For example, the Fed’s QE initiatives have caused asymmetrical bets from financial institutions into residential real estate.  Largely because of this financial structure we went from a real estate market in free fall to one highly subsidized by low rates causing investors to crowd out regular buyers.  Prices now surge while the homeownership rate falls.  Of course how can the market be called efficient when the Fed provides this below market interest rate to a select group of people?  Is the public privy to this?  What use is a low rate when a bigger player comes in with all cash?”

Homebuilder Confidence in U.S. Declines to Lowest in Four Months
“Confidence among U.S. homebuilders fell more than forecast in October to a four-month low as rising interest rates and the budget battle in Washington stifled progress in the housing market.”

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Gains to the Real Estate Lords: Since 2009 Landlord income up a stunning 85 percent. Interest income has gone negative because of Fed monetary policy. Big money selling into momentum.

“The recovery in real estate has largely gone to big institutional players. Recent data from the US Commerce Department shows that rental income grew the fastest compared to other asset classes since 2009. Of course as we have chronicled over the last few years, most of the distressed property buying has gone to the investor class. The gains in rental income only impact a small portion of the population but the growth has been astounding. Rental income is now up 85 percent since 2009. Even stock dividends up at 44 percent have not met the pace of change in rental income. The trend is reflective of the insatiable demand from Wall Street for rental property over the last few years. Right on time however is the small investor jumping in at a tipping point as inventories rise, big money slows down, and interest rates have an impact on the housing market. Some big funds are even selling into momentum.”

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