Real Estate News 1.7.2014

Losing jobless benefits hurts people, local economies
“That’s how much the economy will slow down as a result of 1.3 million people losing their federal jobless benefits on Dec. 28, according to Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics.”

Senate Confirms Yellen as Fed Chair
“The United States Senate voted Monday to confirm Janet Yellen as chair of the Federal Reserve following Ben Bernanke’s departure at the end of January. She will be the first woman to take the job in the Fed’s history.”

Are ‘Tortoise’ Markets Beating ‘Hares’ In Home Price Recovery?
“After observing a “first in, first out” recovery over the past year in which markets hardest hit during the housing downturn experienced the fastest-paced recovery, Clear Capital is now examining whether the housing market, in fact, follows the allegory of “The Tortoise and the Hare.” The analytics firm observed price movement and offered its predictions for the new year in its Home Data Index released Monday.”

Regulator Reports Improving Loan Performance for 4th Straight Quarter
“The performance of first-lien mortgages serviced by large national and federal savings banks continued to improve in the third quarter of 2013, reports the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). It marked the fourth consecutive quarter the agency has recorded greater loan performance among regulated entities.”

United Wholesale Ranks No. 1 Among Wholesale Lenders in Q3
“United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM), one of the nation’s fastest-growing wholesale lenders, has good reason to celebrate going into 2014: The company was ranked on MortgageStats.com as the No. 1 wholesale lender in the country for the third quarter of 2013.”

Homes’ Days-on-Market Remain Low in November
“Following a post-summer slowdown in the market, homebuyers across the nation put a little more force on the accelerator in November.”

Housing Recovery Remains on Firm Footing as Americans’ Housing Sentiment Bounces Back From an Autumn Dip
“WASHINGTON, DC – Year-over-year gains in Americans’ attitudes toward homeownership demonstrate that the housing recovery continues to move forward on firm footing despite a drop in housing sentiment during the fall, according to Fannie Mae’s December National Housing Survey results.”

Renewal of jobless benefits clears Senate hurdle
“(Reuters) – A White House-backed bill to renew jobless benefits for 1.3 million Americans narrowly cleared a U.S. Senate Republican procedural roadblock on Tuesday.”

MBA: Mortgage Credit Availability Essentially Flat in December
“Mortgage credit availability increased slightly in December, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported this morning in its Mortgage Credit Availability Index.”

QM Fails to Deter Bank from Offering IO Loans
“Bank of the West will keep originating and holding in portfolio the interest-only loans that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s new rules assign more liability to starting Friday.”

Home prices increase 11.8%
“Home prices, including distressed sales, escalated 11.8% in November 2013 when compared to a year earlier, representing the 21st consecutive monthly year-over-year increase in home prices nationally.”

Mortgage credit loosens a bit
“Accessing mortgage credit is getting a bit easier, a new report from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) says.”

Failure to launch generation: Why household formation for younger Americans continues to lag while home prices soar. 46 percent of younger Americans living with older family members.
“Many are giddy about the rise in home prices.  Yet gains in home prices with no subsequent gain in income are merely a repeat of the previous bubble with a different tune.  In the last bubble, the memory has seemed to faded, the impetus for funky loan products came because incomes were not rising and products that offered additional leverage were taken up to mask the growing decline of wages.  In the last couple of years, the tinder that lit this latest run came from the Fed’s artificially low rate eco-system.  The difference this time is that the gains in home prices largely went to big investors that now dominate the market.  In the midst of all this trading, the homeownership rate has fallen.  Household formation for younger Americans is dismal.  The economy officially exited the recession back in the summer of 2009 (half a decade ago this summer).  So why is housing formation so weak when it comes to younger households if the economy is supposedly booming?”

US dominates list for foreign real estate investors
“Global real estate investors are flocking to the U.S.”

Real Estate News 1.6.2014

FHFA Recovers Nearly $8B from Banking Institutions in 2013
“As conservator of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), recovered nearly $8 billion on behalf of taxpayers in 2013 through settlements with financial institutions.”

Realtors’ Confidence in Market Tempered by Credit Access Concerns
“Realtors expressed overall confidence in the market tempered by concerns regarding credit availability, according to the latest Realtors Confidence Index from the National Association of Realtors (NAR).”

Homes’ Days-on-Market Remain Low in November
“Following a post-summer slowdown in the market, homebuyers across the nation put a little more force on the accelerator in November.”

Online Technology Likely to Play Larger Role in Mortgage Process
“A recently released borrower survey on shopping habits shows increasing reliance on online tools when mortgage shopping, though many still find the learning curve too steep.”

Is Real Estate Headed For A Fall?
“There are various people who think that both real estate and stocks are vastly overpriced. Last week, for example, the stock market closed with the S&P 500 over 1,800 for the first time while the Dow topped 16,000. How much higher can these measures go — or must they fall?”

As interest rates rise, hybrid mortgages may be a good option
“WASHINGTON — Higher mortgage rates for 2014? Count on it. Could this be the year to check out hybrid mortgages, which haven’t been popular lately? Maybe.”

Housing tear-downs on the rise as real estate rebounds
“The front-end loader swung to the right and took a bite out of the shingled roof of the quaint cottage. The roar of the engine and crackle of buckling lumber carried down Elm Avenue in Manhattan Beach.”

Home buyer bargains? Many markets are back to normal (VIDEO)
“Real estate expert Michael Corbett weighs in”

The Best Online Tools for Your Housing Search
“There was a time when the only way to find homes for sale was to engage a real estate agent to send you listings or drive up and down the streets scouting “for sale” signs.”

Mortgage Borrowers Use Technology to Advantage
“It’s been said that a little education goes a long way. The same can be said, apparently, for a little mortgage technology.”

Watt at FHFA Seen as Enigma in Fannie-Freddie Market: Mortgages
“Mel Watt’s first act overseeing Fannie Mae (FNMA:US) and Freddie Mac came before he officially started.”

New law Ability to Repay tightens mortgage regulations
“Mortgage lenders will soon have to work under stricter regulations after passage of the federal government’s Ability to Repay rule, designed to reign in loose lending standards that officials blame for contributing to the Great Recession.”

Economists Spar Over U.S. Recovery
“PHILADELPHIA—Economists John Taylor and Larry Summers exchanged pointed words Saturday about the best approach to spurring the economic recovery.”

Home Price Data Point to Moderation

“Clear Capital, Truckee, Calif., said the double-digit home price growth experienced over the past two years appears unsustainable going into 2014, as prices move into a “slow and steady” mode.”

What to watch out for in the 2014 MBS market
“The year ahead remains murky for investors even as the Qualified Mortgage (QM) rule takes effect and the Qualified Residential Mortgage (QRM) is hammered out, but there are signs of optimism for normalization.”

Housing analysts: Denver beats Phoenix in deadly animal cage match
“Clear Capital’s Home Data Index (HDI) market report confirms the consensus – home prices recovered strongly in 2013.”

When your Realtor goes mum…here’s why
“Questions Your Realtor Can’t Answer

You may be a single woman looking for a home and neighborhood where you can feel safe at night. Or a family with children who would like other kids to live nearby for easy play dates.”

Freddie Mac Announces First Multifamily K Certificates Offering This Year, K-714
“MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 6, 2014) – Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today announced a new offering of Structured Pass-Through Certificates (“K Certificates”) backed exclusively by fixed-rate multifamily mortgages with a 7-year term. The company expects to offer approximately $1 billion in K Certificates (“K-714 Certificates”), which are expected to price the week of Jan. 6, 2014, and settle on or about Jan. 28, 2014. This is Freddie Mac’s first K Certificate offering this year.”

Move inland or leverage your life: The gentrification of the California middle class pushes many to use ARMs to leverage into homes they cannot afford.
“I am convinced that Californians enjoy having a sordid affair with real estate.  The amount of justifications that get thrown around during booms and busts would be enough to fill a diagnostic manual for any aspiring psychologist.  It is fairly well accepted that mortgage rates will only move in one direction from this point forward.  So why would anyone lock into an artificially low rate via an ARM that is set to adjust in a short timeframe?  Many Californians are opting for ARMs to compete with big money investors over the tiny crumbs of inventory out in the market.  After all, home prices will be up in 5, 7, or 10 years and by that time you’ll be playing the equity ladder game once again, right?  The usage of ARMs is surging for the non-investor share of buyers.  A big reason is that California is largely unaffordable for the masses.”

Real Estate News 1.3.2014

Job search: One year and counting…
“Lena Rouse has merely one resolution for 2014: Finally get a job.”

The smart home is a pipe dream
“At next week’s Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, the tech industry will try to convince us that our homes will be completely automated in the next five years. Don’t believe the hype.”

Sell your home without a real estate agent
“How do I sell my home without using a real estate agent? — Bill, Chicago”

Luxury sales drive Manhattan home prices higher
“New York’s new mayor is vowing to shrink the divide between the wealthy and everyone else. But when it comes to the real estate market, he is facing an uphill battle.”

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac got $7.9 billion in bank settlements in 2013
“WASHINGTON —  Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac collected $7.9 billion from large financial institutions to settle suits over bad mortgage-backed securities purchased by the seized housing finance giants during the subprime housing boom, their federal regulator said.”

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac may be too profitable to shut down
“WASHINGTON — Federal officials swooped in to rescue mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in 2008 with the largest of all the financial crisis bailouts — a combined $187.5 billion — because they were considered too big to fail.”

Morningstar Executive Gives Assessment of New CFPB Rules
““Under the new CFPB [Consumer Financial Protection Bureau] rules, servicers will have to provide very detailed and accurate information to borrowers about each aspect of their loans and/or any foreclosure procedures that may occur,” according to Richard Koch, SVP at Morningstar Credit Ratings.”

Industry Completes 50K Loan Modifications for Homeowners in October
“The HOPE NOW Alliance recently announced that an estimated 50,000 homeowners received permanent, affordable loan modifications from mortgage servicers during October 2013. This total includes modifications completed under both proprietary programs and the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP).”

Alternate Home Price Index Records Weaker Gains
“While the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices for October showed a significant 13.6 percent year-over-year leap, other measures saw more subdued gains for the month.”

Average private RE investment vehicle reaches $511M
“The average size of private real estate investment vehicles that closed in 2013 hit $511 million — the highest level recorded by Preqin since the start of its data analysis.”

Residential construction spending hits 2008 levels
“Construction spending on private, residential projects reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $346 billion in November, up 17% over November 2012. That’s the fastest pace since mid-2008.”

Lenders search for plan B
“Lenders and borrowers are looking to other avenues of borrowing as mortgage rates continue to rise and competition heightens among financial institutions.”

2014 housing forecasts filled with euphoria: Estimates looking at higher rates combined with higher prices and stagnant incomes.
“Euphoria unlike housing inventory is in plenty supply when it comes to 2014 real estate forecasts.  The glue holding the housing market comes from investors and generous banking policy.  The one thing about economics unlike other hard sciences is that it happens in real-time.  It also assumes certain rules are fixed but that really act more like clay to fit the whims of the power structure.  It was interesting to see how few analysts at the end of 2012 predicted the massive run-up in real estate prices during 2013.  What is typical of course is that analysts usually go with the momentum so it is no surprise that predictions for 2014 are rosier than they were for 2013 even though most are forecasting higher interest rates and most will acknowledge that this current pace is unsustainable.  Yet higher rates will add pressure on income constrained households.  Investors are already showing signs of pulling back in certain markets.  Let us examine the 2014 real estate forecasting landscape.”

3 ways Dodd Frank law will roil real estate in 2014
“Chris Dodd and Barney Frank have long since retired, but the namesake legislation they craftedfour  years ago is about to unleash sweeping changes in the mortgage and real estate markets.”

Can Selling Real Estate Make You Rich?
“When Roman Serra, a 29-year-old with a master’s degree in art, decided to switch careers, he enrolled in a two-week real-estate course. He took a personality test online and went through a short interview at Chicago real-estate firm Baird & Warner, where he took the class. If he passes his broker’s license examination in January, he is guaranteed a spot as an independent contractor and a desk at one of the company’s 22 offices. He says studying wasn’t difficult compared with his days in college. “I wouldn’t personally consider it intense,” he says.”

AZ real estate player, reality TV star in trouble for operating without license
“PHOENIX (CBS5) – A reality TV star made a name for himself bidding on foreclosed homes. Now he’s underwater, accused of operating without a license.”

Three Northern California Real Estate Investors Agree to Plead Guilty to Bid Rigging at Public Foreclosure Auctions
“WASHINGTON—Three Northern California real estate investors have agreed to plead guilty for their roles in conspiracies to rig bids and commit mail fraud at public real estate foreclosure auctions in Northern California, the Department of Justice announced.”

Real Estate in 2014: A Need-to-Know Guide
“After year of struggles, the housing market roared back to life in 2013. The rebound will continue in 2014, but the pace will slow.”

Real Estate News 1.2.2014

Buy-and-rent investors get squeezed

“It’s getting harder to make a bundle buying up foreclosures and renting them out.”

Silicon Valley investor: Split California into 6 states

“Is the most populous American state too big for its own good?”

Market Analysts Expect Slowdown in Housing Recovery in 2014

“The housing market recovery is entering a new phase, according to the analysts at Capital Economics. They say the rapid bounce in home prices seen this year, which was driven by investors and tight supply conditions, will soon start to moderate, and the next stage of the recovery will be characterized by strengthening activity among owner-occupants and mortgage-dependent buyers, as well as a much more moderate pace of house price inflation.”

GSEs Reach Foreclosure Prevention Milestone

“As the year closes, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) is celebrating a critical milestone.”

U.S. Consumer Confidence Bounces Back

“Consumer confidence saw a boost in December on heightened optimism for the job market, the Conference Board reported Tuesday.”

McLean Mortgage Introduces RateFlex Program

“In Virginia, McLean Mortgage Corporation announced the release of its RateFlex Program, a new concept designed to aid homeowners and prospective homebuyers in today’s volatile interest rate environment.”

U.S. factory, jobs data show underlying strength in economy

“(Reuters) – U.S. factory activity held near a 2-1/2-year high in December and the number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits fell again last week, suggesting the economy was poised for stronger growth in 2014.”

MBA Economic/Mortgage Finance Commentary: Fed Begins Taper; Weakness Persists in Housing

“Recent macroeconomic data paint a picture of a strengthening economy, strong enough that the Federal Reserve is willing to begin to ease its foot off of the gas pedal. However, recent housing market data is not nearly as strong; particularly purchase mortgage application volume which is running 10 percent behind last year’s pace.”

Adjustable-rate mortgages regain popularity as prices, rates rise

“When Michael Shuken recently bought his family’s first home, a four-bedroom in Mar Vista, his adjustable-rate mortgage helped them stay on the pricey Westside.”

Mortgage tax break expires despite bipartisan support in Congress

“WASHINGTON — A 6-year-old tax break for struggling homeowners who won reductions in their mortgages has expired, alarming housing advocates and lawmakers who said it still was needed despite the real estate market rebound.”

GURU IS NOT A FOUR-LETTER WORD -PART 1- THE TERM

Have you ever heard the term “guru” used in real estate blogs, articles or other posts on real estate communities and social media? I’m sure you have. But, have you EVER found ANY of them using the term in a positive manner? I never have, not a ONE! Typically, in its derogatory fashion the term guru is used to describe or identify someone who is really not truly knowledgeable about the real estate investing game, or maybe someone who basically “overcharges or scams” a new unwitting student to real estate investing/speculating. Most of the time the person writing or making the comment is trying to make a point, but instead of constructively referring to their own facts or supporting their own position or point of view with something concrete, they just site complaints of the many that decided to pay the “ridiculously over-inflated prices for basic real estate investing education” and move on to use a comparison between themselves (or someone they want to pump-up as the good guy) and the devious elusive “guru”.

The point is that anytime someone wants to make themselves look good, win public opinion and prop themselves up as the savior of the wannabe real estate investor community, all they have to do is taint the reputation of someone else teaching real estate by labeling them a guru. I’ve read so many real estate articles and posts where the title “guru” is used in a derogatory fashion I’m starting to think it has never had any other meaning but a derogatory one. I happen to respect and revere the term guru. But I keep seeing it in article after article, post after post especially by individuals trying to benefit from undeserved accolades (much as the real estate “gurus” they are trying to besmirch.) This is probably not the wisest method of trying to make an intelligent point, as it basically amounts to no more than demeaning or degrading the term “guru” and then applying it to whomever, or whatever the writer or speaker is trying to deface. But unfortunately, most folks buy it!

For the record, I must admit that over past years I’ve been guilty of making similar unwise and immature statements myself about a host of things. Honestly, I think we all do it, occasionally without regard for the damage we may cause to others or the impact we can have on someone else’s decision making. But when connected to real estate it’s become an epidemic!

For the sake of accuracy, let’s take a closer look at the true original meaning of this big bad term “Guru”. As I’m sure most of you already know, according to Merriam-Webster “guru” pronounced gu•ru noun ˈgu̇r-(ˌ)ü, ˈgü-(ˌ)rü also gə-ˈrü, is defined as

    : a religious teacher and spiritual guide in Hinduism

    : a teacher or guide that you trust

    : a person who has a lot of experience in or knowledge about a particular subject

“In Hinduism, a personal spiritual teacher. In ancient India, knowledge of the Vedas was transmitted through oral teaching from guru to pupil. The rise of the bhakti movement further increased the importance of gurus, who were often looked on as living embodiments of spiritual truth and were identified with the deity. They prescribed spiritual disciplines to their devotees, who followed their dictates in a tradition of willing service and obedience. Men or women may be gurus, though generally only men have established lineages.”

So actually the TRUE meaning of the term guru is pretty cool, and deciding to continue to sarcastically use it to demean someone we are basically trying to crush is extremely inappropriate.

I suppose the appropriate term to use for such an awful underhanded individual would be closer to “Charlatan” pronounced char•la•tan/ˈSHärlətən,ˈSHärlətn/ and defined as

Noun: charlatan; plural noun: charlatans

1.  A person falsely claiming to have a special knowledge or skill; a fraud.

Synonyms: quack, sham, fraud, fake, impostor, hoaxer, cheat, deceiver, double-dealer, swindler,      fraudster, mountebank.

YEA… THAT’S THE TICKET!

As for the actual title of guru, well I suppose anyone that has ever helped us in any way to see, learn or understand anything we wanted to master by explanation or actual example (even if the only thing we learned from them was that real estate is definitely not for us) then I’d say the person we received that wonderful gift from could, in fact, be considered our guru… whether we paid them or not! 

Oh, by the way, I LOVE GURUS!  😉

What is Wholesaling?

Question:

I still don’t fully understand the term “wholesaling.” Can you give me a few examples? On page 88B it shows a mild fix as a wholesale. I thought just flipping a house, “as is” was wholesaling.

-A.N.

Answer:

A mild fix wholesale, for example, is when you buy a property, instead of doing repairs, you trash out the house and clean it up so that its somewhat presentable. You have the lawns cut and the yards cleaned.

What you’re looking for is just to clean up the property and make it neat. No extensive rehab.

You’re in essence making it appealing for new investors so they don’t get scared off.

You would be surprised at what you can do with a little bit of touch up paint, gardening and clean up. Sometimes you can put that property back into the MLS as a “fixer” that needs TLC and sell it with multiple offers and can sometimes make almost as much profit as a full rehab.

The name of the game is to look at each property, individually, and try to figure out how many different Exit Strategies you can create to dump that property as fast as you can, for as much as you can. A mild fix wholesale is just one type of wholesale deal, it’s just taking wholesaling and slicing it to many different pieces.

-TA

What if an REO property needs more than your estimate?

Question:

Hi Tony, Please help me reconcile these two statements: 1. You once said that you never cancel escrow on an REO agent. 2. You also said that you run “an offer mill” making 15 offers per day or so.

How can both be true? What if your offer on an REO property is accepted and then you inspect the property and discover that it’s going to require a lot more work and money than you thought? Do you lower the offer? Isn’t that what you called a “terrorist offer?” Or do you cancel altogether? And if so isn’t that the same as cancelling out of an escrow? You just disappointed an REO agent.

Or do you inspect every single REO property before you make an offer so that scenario never occurs. That means you and Sabrina are inspecting at least 15 properties per day.

 

Answer:

Dear David,

Nice of you to write. Let’s take your questions apart piece by piece.

1 – I don’t run “offer mills.” My goal is to send out 15 offers a day. However, we personally only write a minimum of five and those are LOIs on an 8 1/2 X 11, pre-designed template where we basically just enter the property and agent information. However, we only make offers for two reasons:

One, on properties that I’m interested in buying. These are made through the listing, or a buyer’s agent within the listing agent’s office or through a buyer’s agent outside the listing agent’s office.

Two, on properties where I am interested in meeting the listing agent such as a pending listing where I use an LOI (Letter of Intent/Interest) type offer. This is what I call a “calling card offer.” It’s just my way of introducing myself using a point of interest for the listing agent.

2 – I have never canceled a deal once I have a seller accepted offer and have opened escrow.

3 – Presently, in our market, properties that we pro-actively select to submit offers on fall into one of two categories: REOs or Short Sales. The REOs are typically inspected by Sabrina and/or myself and the agent representing us, prior to submitting our offer.

The short sale offers are submitted with one contingency – “Subject to Interior Inspection.” We seldom inspect short sales unless we are concerned about the present condition or the upgrades. This is typical and accepted when dealing with short sales where the final price has not yet been approved by the lender. Keep in mind, short sales for us are the equivalent of gambling, that’s why we call them “Slot Machine Offers.”

-On a short sale where the selling price has already been pre-approved by a lender and we are interested in purchasing at the approved price, we would be inspecting the property prior to opening escrow.

4 – In the past, when I have been out of town, and before the existence of the Flip video camera, I would have to rely on Sabrina or an agent to inspect a severely damaged property, something that has always made me somewhat uncomfortable. There have been times where they have underestimated the repair costs. One that comes to mind, is actually a recent purchase of a property where they missed that a part of the foundation was made of brick. This is a very costly repair.

However, it would be more costly if I cancelled that escrow as the level of damage it might cause my business may be unrepairable. In all honesty, many times it’s not so much the damage it will cause my reputation as a professional buyer, but the fact that having that level of commitment assures me of the loyalty of top brokers, indefinitely.

In any event, this is the way I’ve chosen to do business and I believe it’s largely responsible for the success that I’ve experienced. Keep in mind that I suggest that as new buyers, you keep your contingencies for inspecting, financing and everything else in place to protect yourselves from your own errors or poor judgement. Take your time, inspect properties carefully, really understand what you’re doing and the cost of those repairs as well as the added value that they will bring to the property. A declining market is not a forgiving atmosphere.

The bottom line is this, we don’t make offers on properties without prior visual inspections! Nor would I recommend that anyone entertain that idea, it just isn’t prudent since the condition of the property is such a crucial part of your equation. If the picture that I conveyed of our system of making offers was a disorganized or disorderly conglomeration of disjointed actions – nothing could be further from the truth!

I don’t make frivolous offers. I don’t waste an agent’s time by making uneducated guesses. Every action we take in our office is well thought out and pre-calculated with a specific reason in mind.

Unfortunately, my ability to communicate may not be as good as the systems in my office. Please forgive me for any confusion that I may have caused.

Making Hard Money Make Sense

Question:

I use a little hard money, but not very savy about it.

To buy and hold seems like you need to leave a lot of skin in the game. 20% on either conventional or hard money. Hard money at 60-65 of todays market value on longer terms . If I buy at a 20% discount … I still need about 20% down

With the average multi unit in the Hood of SD will cash flow 1000k a month with 100 percent financing @ 9 % and 200k-250 purchase price. Since that does seem possible, thats a 40k hit without repairs. I can only do so many of these deals…..I want to do a lot…..

How do I finance or purchase other wise with keeping some skin!???

P.S I ordered your REO 101 package yesterday…Im sure there will be some good stuff in there!

Answer:

First, thanks for the ordering course.

Now, on the stuff I buy to keep – my goal is always to refi and get 100% of my money out of the property and still have at least $100 of monthly “real net profit” (that means after ALL the expenses- PITI- vacancy & credit loss, maintenance & 10% management.) So I try to buy at 50% to 60 % of ARV (after repair value or fix-up value) This is does not happen everyday, but those type of buys must make up at least 50% of my purchases. Now keep in mind that those are fixers where I’m forecasting spending 10% to 20% of the ARV on buying & repair costs as well as 10% to 20% on holding and selling costs. Keep in mind that since I don’t read minds or crystal balls, I don’t know when the market will change so…

When I buy, the property must jump through 2 hurdles: buy & sell and buy & hold.

Many times I’m purchasing properties where the repairs or other costs are less than my worst case scenario and that is typically reflected in a higher purchase price or percentage of purchase price to ARV, such as paying 70% of ARV.

OK, keeping in mind that the real estate market can change at any one moment, you must plan your attack with several acquisition strategies to assure your desired outcome. You MUST have more than just one method of catching the prey, especially if your long-term goal is to “hold it,” until it gets fat and juicy, while eating the eggs it produces periodically, and that is as good an analogy as possible – the chicken!

Even if you are flush with cash, if you believe and are banking on benefiting from appreciation, financing will be both your salvation and your weakness. Part of your daily tasks should equally include both the pursuit of leverage and new inventory, for you cannot continue to grow without both.

Do not limit your thinking nor listen to your well-informed logical thought process when it comes to your acquisitions of both of these needed components because the secret to acquire both to fill your coffers will come from consistent, relentless and unrelenting pursuit of both simultaneously, regardless of your own thinking (past, present or future continued imagined results). Almost daily you will have to wipe your opinionated-mind clean of your own “bull shit” thoughts and perceived conclusions and re-fix your focus on your deliberate chosen actions.

Financing is available from one of several sources

1- your cash stores

2- conventional lenders (FNMA up to 10, but really 4 to 5 properties)

3- local commercial banks – 5 to 10 (but really limited only by your finances and relationships)

4- hard money- same as #3

5- true investors, as in older real estate people that have been in and understand the business and now just want to get checks instead of managing properties (they are everywhere) – search in real estate offices; start with agents and their clients, referrals. Also, ads in a large newspaper like the LA Times- although these folks are typically looking for short term type investments; it’s all about returns.

6- Other retirees looking for better returns than the bank can provide- there are thousands- try to stay local when looking for these folks. People that prepare tax returns such as CPA’s or enrolled agents are a great source for people that earn good wages and need to find investments to give them either tax shelter or additional income to off-set their increasing tax liability.

7- Other investors like yourself looking to partner up with someone who has any of the components they perceive (or have actually identified) as missing from their own tool box needed to do this business. Local investor clubs are a very good source for these folks.

8- Check out the Homepath financing available to investors on FNMA Homepath approved properties. You can get up to 10 and the financing is superior to anything on the market. You may be paying a higher price for the properties, but when you add in the financing component it may make mucho sense. I personally am trying to buy 10. They identify several approved lenders to work with on their site. Make sure to confirm they have closed prior deals and are presently active doing these type loans with FNMA.

These are just a few tips to sort of jar your own mind and get you to start thinking in a different direction instead of just hard money for long-term financing.

Estimating Repair Cost

Question:

I have decided to focus on rehabbing. My big stumbling point now is that I am unsure on how to estimate rehab costs, and the best ways to find contractors. What would you suggest I do in the meantime till your class starts, as I really want to get started as soon as possible?

Answer:

The “best” way to do anything is usually different for all of us. Since everything I do is local, meaning I do all of my investing within a small geographical area, my business model is front loaded. That is, I typically invest a larger amount of time at the beginning to find experienced, reliable professionals who have proven themselves in my market. By this I mean, they have already been tested by someone else. This applies when trying to add ANYONE to my team including real estate agents, brokers, attorneys, insurance brokers, termite inspectors, property inspectors, appraisers, lenders and all types of contractors and handy men.

Now let me attempt to answer your questions more specifically…

1 – “Finding” a worthwhile contractor: If you want to find a worthwhile contractor, speak to real estate agents that have been utilizing the services of such contractors for many years. They will typically know who the good ones are as well as the bad ones. Keep in mind, these brokers should be REO brokers who are accustomed to using Fannie Mae approved vendors. In some cases, these contractors may be more expensive than a typical handy man. However, they may be better equipped to provide you with quick and accurate repair estimates than a typical handy man. These vendors may also be found on the actual Fannie Mae website.

Also, Home Depot as well as Lowes both have a department called the “Pros Desk,” here is where all your area contractors with credit lines repeatedly pay for their material purchases in order to have their purchases reviewed to lock in their discounts (10-20% off retail prices). The folks that man the counter are very familiar with the contractors and handy men who are presently active in your market place. Make friends with these home improvement store employees and they can easily direct you to contractors who may be worth using.

A third resource for contractors would be other local investors you might befriend. To find them, simply attend a local investors club meeting and make your request known to everyone there. Either individually or ask to speak to the group before the meeting.

You can also write a short note to other investors in your area requesting a referral for a local handyman or contractor that they use for repairs on their rental properties. You can easily obtain the contact information for these investors by requesting your local title company to pull the list of absentee property owners in your market which is public information and available to everyone or you can look it up yourself on the internet, assuming you have access to county records data. You might even add a financial incentive like taking them to lunch. After all, it may be a great opportunity to meet someone who can sell you their property at a discount or finance your deals if they have too much cash sitting around doing nothing or partner up with you and finance your whole operation or any other idea your creative mind can think of on how to benefit from meeting and building business relationships with these local investors while talking to them about finding a contractor or handy man. Just so you know I have used this technique myself over the years and it paid off very well.

With respect to “finding,” choosing, or hiring a worthwhile contractor or handyman it is imperative that you seek a referral from someone who has already used them successfully several times. One less reliable method is to drive your local neighborhoods and look for houses that are presently being rehabbed and speak to the contractors doing the work. However, I cannot caution you enough about hiring someone straight out of the phone book, newspaper or advertising from flyers or local recyclers or a referral from someone who has only used the contractor once… this is setting yourself up for a HUGE disappointment!

2 – Estimating repair costs: Again, there’s NO substitution for experience! The best way of accurately estimating the repair costs of a fixer upper property is to already have done it hundreds of times. Remember it’s not only accurately estimating repair costs of what you can identify but it’s having the experience of where to look for evidence of problems that are not clearly and easily visible. These are the explosions that will eat up your profit by becoming the “extras” that your contractor will be more than HAPPY to rectify!

Since you obviously do not have this wealth of knowledge as I have already mentioned – find a reliable contractor with a verifiable track record and have him do this for you. Most contractors will provide this service at no cost to you in hopes of getting the job to repair the property. However, some may charge you a minimal fee and then credit it back to you as part of the contract for the job should you decide to hire them.

Another option is to hire an actual property inspector. Again, they must be someone who has proven themselves and comes referred to you by other professionals you respect in your specific market area. These folks will charge for their labor and their cost can range from $100 to several hundred dollars for a complete inspection. I suggest that whatever method you choose to use, I HIGHLY recommend that you are ALWAYS present during the inspections at least, at the beginning of your real estate career. Come equipped with a video camera and digital recorder and be prepared to interview the property inspector or contractor as they walk the property documenting the needed repairs as thoroughly as you would interrogate a terrorist incarcerated in Guantanamo minus the water boarding! Consider the cost of these inspections as part of your initial real estate education. You’re paying for it, so make it count!

Documenting on video and audio your before and after inspections of your properties will become extremely valuable over time in many different ways from capturing an accurate record of all your decisions helping you write up detailed work lists for your contractors and in settling any disputes when your contractor accidentally forgets some of the items he initially agreed to repair. You will also be able to use this information when soliciting financing from private investors. It is an excellent tool in demonstrating your performance.

Over time, you can develop a system which breaks down your cost of repairs by a specific metric, such as a dollar per square foot cost. This method can be applied to each specific improvement such as paint, stucco, plumbing, carpentry, electrical, air conditioning and heating, windows, doors, flooring, landscaping, etc. Iit can also be broken down into more detail like interior/exterior repairs and improvements or as a general overall price per square foot of the entire rehab. After a while, you will be able to walk through a property and quickly calculate what the overall total cost of repairs will be within a 10-20% margin of error.

Your objective should be to get to the point where you’re able to accurately estimate your rehab cost even though, for the most part, your contractor will be the one actually repairing the estimates.

Remember you will be the one who does the initial inspection before you make the offer so you must sharpen your skills so that ultimately, you rely on YOUR ability to identify a worthwhile project.
I hope I have answered your questions to your satisfaction.

Your friend always,
Uncle Tony

Question:

Uncle Tony,
Thanks for your answer, but this is also were I get confused. To rehab a building for a novice like me, who do you call? A general contractor or a home inspector? or both? I am confused.

Answer:

1-To answer your question directly- to rehab a property you should use a professional who does rehab work, such as a licensed and insured contractor (preferably one that has been referred to you by someone you trust that has used that same contractor several times successfully).

2- For an initial inspection to assess and estimate the actual repairs (IF YOU CAN’T OR DON’T KNOW HOW TO DO THIS YOURSELF) hire a reputable property inspector local to your community, who is experienced with inspecting properties in disrepair (most home inspectors typically inspect properties for only the items that are easily visible) or a licensed contractor that is willing to do this for you economically, typically because he is hoping to get hired to complete the rehab.

“Home inspector” inspects property for a fee.
Contractors do rehab and construction and sometimes also inspect properties for the purpose of estimating the repairs that they are hopefully going to get hired to complete; get it?

NOTE- In both cases REMEMBER to hire someone that comes referred to you by someone you trust that has used that professional in the past on several occasions successfully.

Your friend always,
Uncle Tony