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Real Estate News 2.19.14

Construction on new homes dives 16% in January
“WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Construction on new U.S. homes tumbled 16% in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 880,000, with drops for single-family homes and apartments, according to government data released Wednesday.”

Raising minimum wage would ease poverty but cost some jobs
“Supporters of raising the federal minimum wage to $10.10 an hour say it will increase productivity, lower turnover and increase wages for 28 million workers.”

U.S. mortgage applications fall in latest week: MBA
“(Reuters) – Applications for U.S. home mortgages fell in the latest week, with both purchase and refinancing applications down, an industry group said on Wednesday.”

Mortgage bankers make some history
“Industry’s trade association has never had an Ohioan at the helm, but now two from the state will lead it in back-to-back years”

Make Multifamily the Starting Point for Housing Reform
“Reform of the secondary market for housing finance is a big topic now among think tanks, industry representatives and on Capitol Hill. Most of this discussion has centered on the single-family market, because that is the market that collapsed, helped to precipitate the Great Recession. This recession led to 4 million American families losing their homes, according to RealtyTrac data, and the conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.”

The hidden catch in the housing recovery
“This year started off with a slight plot twist. After mortgage rates rose most of 2013, 2014 began with a slight drop in rates, although they did not sink back to the levels seen at the beginning of 2013.”

Household Borrowing Rises Most in Six Years in NY Fed Report
“Consumer debt in the U.S. rose last quarter by the most in more than six years as Americans borrowed to buy homes and cars and to pay for education, according to a report by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.”

Get Ready for a New Onslaught of HMDA Data
“That mammoth spreadsheet of mortgage data from thousands of lenders that you wrestle with every year may get considerably more inclusive.”

Mortgage servicers foreclosing on very different timelines
“A new white paper is highlighting the vast differences in foreclosure timelines at varying mortgage servicers.”

It’s California vs. the Nation in housing affordability
“Although America has 50 states, when you look at housing affordability you can more effectively split the U.S. as California versus everyone else.”

Negative builder news drags on HW 30 for second day
“Stocks were mixed Wednesday at midmorning with several construction and home builders suffering after a down report from the National Association of Home Builders and weak construction numbers for January.”

5 essential rules of real estate
“Spring signals the start of two hallowed seasons: homebuying and baseball.”

Crowdfunding Comes to Real Estate as Websites Seek Small Investors’ Cash
“MANHATTAN — A crop of new real estate startups is turning to crowdfunding as a way to get buildings off the ground.”

Real Estate Matters | How to save money and lower mortgage insurance
“I’m 28-years-old. My wife and I have owned our home for 2.5 years now. When we purchased it, I did not put down 20 percent, so I’m paying roughly $165 per month for mortgage insurance (PMI). If it helps, we do not plan on living in this house forever, but likely for the next five to 10 years. I have a low interest rate on our mortgage of 4.25 percent on a standard 30-year fixed FHA loan. I have a payment schedule set up with Wells Fargo for weekly mortgage payments, with an extra $30 per week to be applied to the principal.”

Real Estate Deals from Prison
“You can buy real estate while you are in prison…you just cannot live at your new property at that time.”

Loan Complaints by Homeowners Rise Once More
“A growing number of homeowners trying to avert foreclosure are confronting problems on a new front as the mortgage industry undergoes a seismic shift.”

Foreclosures, default notices tick up in SD
“Foreclosures and default notices in San Diego County edged up in January, but are still hovering around post Great Recession lows.”

Do banks sense a change in the California housing market? California foreclosure starts up 57 percent last month. Typical California foreclosure process lasts nearly one year and the misconception of middle class.
“It is common knowledge that banks have metered troubled real estate inventory out into the market in a slow drip fashion.  This practice over the years has caused an artificially low supply to be present in the market.  Add into the mix a low rate environment and years of investors buying up properties and you get our current stalemate of a market.  Virtually no one in the press with a voice is even expressing a possibility that prices may sway lower.  The only options making the rounds involve a couple of scenarios where prices will go up slowly in 2014 or prices will move sideways.  No option for a decrease.  This lack of perspective is odd given the resurgence of interest only loans and the fact that a well known bank is dipping back into the subprime market.  One surprising statistic that I did see was the resurgence of foreclosure starts in California.”

Zillow Marks Upward Trend in Mortgage Rates
“Zilllow Mortgage Marketplace, a lending marketplace operated by the home listing website Zillow, announced new mortgage rates Tuesday. Currently, the mortgage rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is 4.18 percent, according to the release.”

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Real Estate News 1.14.2014

9 ways real estate will change this year
“Each year, HSH.com details the important factors most likely to influence the mortgage and real estate markets in the coming year. While it seems we have made our way out of the turbulent times that have bounced the market around for the last few years, there is still plenty of uncertainty ahead.”

Minimum wage hike could mean a raise for all
“When New Jersey increased its minimum wage this year, Dolores Riley gave raises to all 16 employees at her childcare center. But it wasn’t because they were all making $7.25 an hour.”

Wells Fargo profit beats estimates; mortgage loans slump
“(Reuters) – Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) reported a better-than-expected 11 percent jump in fourth-quarter profit, though mortgage financing was at its slowest in five years, and the bank’s shares fell in morning trading.”

Lenders fear squeeze from mortgage rules
“Financial institutions are pressing Congress and federal regulators to scale back sweeping new mortgage rules for fear they could impede the housing market’s recovery.”

5 ways the jumbo mortgage market will change in 2014
” Big changes are coming to jumbo mortgages.

Wealthy home buyers signed up for these loans in droves last year because of their low rates and flexible repayment options. The total dollar amount of originated private jumbo mortgages—which exceed $417,000 in most parts of the country and $625,500 in pricey housing markets such as New York and San Francisco—was on track to be the highest since 2007.”

Friend or Foe? Mortgage Rules Show 2 Faces
“The home loan industry now has to adapt to new mortgage rules that offer borrowers much needed protection against lender abuses and reckless lending standards. But the changes may not please all borrowers.”

U.S. Posts Record December Surplus on Fannie Mae Payments
“The U.S. posted a record December budget surplus as higher payroll taxes, payments from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and a declining unemployment rate helped improve the government’s finances.”

Credit standards going easy on jumbo mortgages
“Despite overall originations hitting the lowest level since 2010, the past year witnessed a significant increase in the volume of home equity loans and lines of credit, in addition to originating the best-performing mortgages on record, the first report from Black Knight Financial Services, previously known as Lender Processing Services, found. For jumbo mortgages, however, it’s a completely different story.”

Fannie Mae launches second risk-sharing transaction
“Fitch Ratings released a pre-sale report expecting to rate the risk-sharing portion of the Fannie Mae Connecticut Avenue Securities at triple-B.”

Investors in PennyMac gain larger stake
“A group of investors acquired enough of a stake in PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) to prompt a series of new filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.”

Slump in retail sales and more economic predictions coming this week
“The Commerce Department will release its retail sales report for December at 8:30 a.m. ET Tuesday, but early warning signs show that it’s likely to show a holiday slump.”

How bad will QM hurt homeowners and home buyers?
“The House Financial Services Committee will hold Tuesday morning the second in a series of meetings on the effects of the Consumer Financial Protection Board’s Qualified Mortgage rule, a rule that only went into effect two business days prior to the scheduled hearing.”

Report: Delinquencies Dip, Lines of Credit Rise
“Home equity loans and lines of credit are on the rise, as delinquencies continue to plummet across the nation, according to recent research from Black Knight Financial Services. The data and analytics division of the company—formerly the LPS data and analytics division—released its November Mortgage Monitor Report, which found that total delinquencies are at extremely low levels in every product category.”

Wells Fargo Economists’ Outlook at Odds with Recent Home Price Data
“What’s ahead for housing in 2014? The economics team at Wells Fargo Securities is forecasting a pull-back in investor activity, and with the fundamentals underlying housing demand, job and income growth, and household formations making only modest strides in a relatively thin market, they say to look for modest gains in home sales and residential construction with price appreciation decelerating back into the mid to low single digits.”

GSE Forecasts ‘Continued but Measured Housing Recovery’ in 2014
“Recent trends in new home sales suggest the housing sector will double its contributions to the country’s economic growth in 2014—though the outlook for existing-home sales isn’t as bright.”

The Bullish Economic Story May Be On The Verge Of A Change
“The 10-year Treasury yield closed Monday at 2.82%, below the 2.88% level where it closed on Dec. 18, when the Federal Reserve announced it would begin tapering down its quantitative easing program.”

These Skinny Micro Housing Designs Would Let You Live Between Buildings
“With more and more people choosing to live in cities, there is less and less affordable housing available, meaning that some municipalities are trying out things like micro-housing or relaxed zoning laws to meet up with the demand.”

Berkshire County real estate seller using drones
“RICHMOND, Mass. (AP) — A Berkshire County real estate company is using a new tool to market its high-end properties — aerial drones.”

From offices to shopping centers, commercial real estate in high demand
“Coming off one of the strongest years on record, Houston’s commercial real estate market is poised for more growth in 2014, industry experts said today.”

China to Establish System for Tracking Real Estate Ownership
“SHANGHAI—China plans to establish a national system for tracking real-estate ownership and sales transactions, a key step in its effort to tame a property sector that threatens to price many Chinese out of the housing market.”

Progress has been slow in cleaning up mortgage mess
“After multiple enforcement actions, lawsuits and multibillion-dollar settlements, state and federal regulators are making sluggish progress in their efforts to prod banks to help mortgage borrowers.”

Richmond seeks partners for plan to seize mortgages using eminent domain
“After months of trying, members of the Richmond City Council have been unable to muster the supermajority of votes they need to enact a controversial plan to use eminent domain to seize underwater mortgages and slash the amounts that borrowers owe.”

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Real Estate News 12.30.2013

Minimum wage to rise in 13 states on Jan. 1
“Starting January 1, minimum wage workers in 13 states and four cities will see higher paychecks.”

U.S. housing markets to watch in 2014
“Texas and California led recovery of the market in 2013. What are the next hot spots to watch for? Here are five cities to keep an eye on.”

5 biggest housing comebacks of 2013
“Six years later, the U.S. housing crash has grown more distant as the market continues to recover from record foreclosures and spiraling home prices. Here are five regions that experienced the most pronounced recoveries in 2013.”

Many Americans feel economy isn’t improving
“Despite a recent string of positive economic news, Americans say they aren’t feeling the improvements.”

Unemployment benefits for 1.3 million expire
“Michelle Marshall is one of the 1.3 million long-term unemployed Americans who is losing her jobless benefits.”

Pending Home Sales Edge Up in November
“WASHINGTON (December 30, 2013) – Pending home sales stabilized in November with a slight gain, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Monthly increases in the South and West offset declines in the Northeast and Midwest.”

Is Mortgage Market Deconsolidation Temporary or Here to Stay?
“In 1998, the top 10 mortgage lenders held around 40 percent of the market. By 2010, their share increased to nearly 80 percent; since then, it’s dropped down to around 60 percent.”

Even in Buyer’s Market, Homeownership Expected to Decline
“Zillow expects conditions next year to be a bit friendlier to homebuyers—but that doesn’t mean we’ll necessarily see more owner-occupied housing, experts at the real estate marketplace say.”

2013 in Review: The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
“Mortgage industry commentators may argue (and they certainly have) about the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s (CFPB) performance over the last year, but one thing is certain: The bureau knows how to command headlines.”

Trulia Economist Sees 2014 as ‘Year of the Repeat Homebuyer’
“As prices continue rising in the new year—albeit at a slower pace—investors will begin to ease back from the purchase market, but repeat homebuyers will be there to pick up the slack, according to Trulia’s predictions for the housing market in 2014.”

Feature: New World Order
“The veterans of this business can remember when market conditions were “normal”—when REOs ran in the neighborhood of 150,000 a year, delinquency rates were just around 4 percent, and you only needed a credit score of 620 to qualify for a prime mortgage loan.”

Commentary: What’s in Store for Housing in 2014, Part 1
“Many economists and market observers have suggested the market is poised for continued growth as the recovery enters its third year, and there are positive elements in play that provide some reasons for optimism.”

Jobs, Population Growth, Low Prices Create Investment Opportunities
“Analysts at HomeVestors and Local Market Monitor say the formula for a nearly risk-free single-family investment opportunity is one part job growth, particularly in lower paying jobs, and one part population growth, mixed with relatively low home prices.”
The next article is from Christmas eve but I thought you may want to see it.

20 Cities with Biggest Foreclosure Discounts
“As the housing market continues to recover in 2014, finding a foreclosure deal is more important than ever to ensure you get the most bang for your buck and land a home with built-in equity. RealtyTrac has identified the top 20 U.S. cities with the deepest discounts still available on foreclosure homes, including several markets on both coasts, from the high end to the low end, and plenty in-between.”

Fannie Mae Reaches $591 Million Repurchase Agreement with Wells Fargo
“WASHINGTON, DC – Fannie Mae (FNMA/OTC) has reached a $591 million agreement with Wells Fargo to resolve repurchase requests on certain loans originated prior to 2009.  After adjustments for prior repurchases, Wells Fargo will pay Fannie Mae $541 million in the fourth quarter of 2013 and be released from repurchase liability for these loans, with certain exceptions. “

Fannie, Freddie give non-investor home buyers ‘first look’ period
“WASHINGTON — An important resource for first-time home buyers and others who find themselves in unfair competition with deep-pocket investors bearing cash just got better: The two biggest players in the mortgage market, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, are now giving non-investor shoppers 20-day exclusive rights to bid on and buy new listings they are selling.”

Nov. home sales fall to a 5-year low in Vegas
“The Las Vegas market turned into the comeback kid after investors flooded the city in the wake of the real estate bust.”

LPS: Home price increases slowed in October
“October proved to be a tepid month for home prices, with no state increasing more than a full percentage point, according to Lender Processing Services’ most recent U.S. Home Price Index report.”

Flagstar Bancorp reaches $10.8 million repurchase settlement
“Flagstar Bancorp (FBC), the holding company for Flagstar Bank, has entered into an agreement with Freddie Mac to resolve substantially all of the repurchase requests and obligations associated with loans originated between Jan. 1, 2000, and Dec. 31, 2008, reaching a total amount of $10.8 million, the company announced in a press release.”

New home sales and mortgage apps see growing divergence
“The November new home sales data from the U.S. Census Bureau includes “some surprisingly positive data points, and a continued divergence from the weekly purchasing applications trend as released by the MBA,” according to research from Compass Point Research & Trading.”

U.S. Stocks Little Changed as Home Sales Miss Estimates
“U.S. stocks were little changed, as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index headed toward its biggest annual gain since 1997, after data showed contracts to purchase previously owned U.S. homes rose less than forecast in November.”

YEAR IN REVIEW: Stabilizer sums business scene in 2013
“One word: Stabilizer.
With its twists and turns, moments of trepidation, transition and glory, 2013 was a year Inland Southern California’s retail giants, small business, manufacturing companies, banks and real estate industry gained surer footing.”

Where did all the single family homes go? Half of foreclosed homes still occupied and big investors not reselling properties. Investors purchase $1 trillion in real estate since 2011.
“The real estate market has slim pickings for traditional buyers.  Funny thing that we have to use the “traditional” preface since the market is overrun with a hoard of investors.  I am seeing this with my own two eyes.  You are seeing it as well.  In most ordinary cases a rise in prices would be accompanied with some sort of rise in supply.  Yet this is no ordinary situation.  Scouring over a few reports I found that nearly half of foreclosed homes are still occupied.  In places like California and Miami this number is closer to 60 percent.  When these homes finally get fully repossessed, they are likely going to big money investors that end up holding on to the property, removing it completely from the market.  There is little doubt that investors are a big part of the market.  Since 2011 they have purchased over $1 trillion in real estate.  With razor thin inventory, this is a big deal.”