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Real Estate News 1.13.2014

Out-of-state investors zero in on Twin Cities real estate
“Out-of-state real estate investors from Malaysia to Miami are spending billions on Twin Cities apartment complexes and commercial buildings, including some of the most iconic office towers on the downtown Minneapolis skyline.”

Darden Split Plan May Hinder Real Estate Deal, Activist Says
“Darden Restaurants Inc. (DRI)’s plan to split off Red Lobster could prevent the company from unlocking the $4 billion of value trapped in its real estate holdings, according to Barington Capital Group LP.”

The American Real Estate Investors Academy Now Offers Unsecured Lines Of Credit
“The American Real Estate Investors Academy is working with Aurelian Capital to bring unsecured credit lines to real estate investors. Membership in the Academy is not required.”

10 tips for homebuyers and sellers in 2014
“Goodness, is it 2006 again? At the dawn of 2014, it feels like it.”

A watchdog grows up: The inside story of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
“In late 2011, a quiet revolution took place at the corner of 17th and G streets NW.

About 500 federal workers were vacating the drab, 1970s-era headquarters of the Office of Thrift Supervision. The agency had just been scrapped for its role in the financial crisis, which in retrospect seemed almost inevitable: Its primary mission had been to keep banks solvent, and its budget depended on how many of them chose it as their regulator, leading to almost criminal complacence.”

Rising community association fees are squeezing homeowners on tight budgets
“When Brenda Batts purchased her condominium near the U Street corridor in 2006, she was planning to retire at age 65. Now 62, Batts, an office manager, fears she may not meet that goal, thanks to a nagging worry from when she purchased the unit, which assesses a monthly fee for common charges on top of her mortgage and property taxes.”

As mortgage banking industry dwindles, bidding wars over quality housing become common
“This is generally a slow time of year in the residential housing market, but according to Re/Max broker Rosalie Daniels, of Hamilton, bidding wars over housing are increasingly common.”

America’s Big Bank Earnings Announcements Will Be Highlighted By Tumbling Revenue
“Three of the four biggest commercial banks in the US are expected to report falling revenue in the week ahead as loan activity falls.”

Two lawsuits that could harm RMBS investors
“Investors in residential mortgage-backed securities are far from out of the woods when it comes to resolving financial risk from RMBS investments.”

3 ways the coming rate hikes can sink the housing market
“With few exceptions most are projecting interest rates will be edging up over the next 12 months, as the Federal Reserve tapers off its four-year-plus policy of printing $1 trillion a year to buy MBS and Treasurys.”

A calm picture of the economy emerges, but will it last?
“After months of clouded economic data in the wake of financial and congressional uncertainty, the economy is expected to see clearer skies ahead, analysts claim in a new report.”

Total Mortgage Services doubles over next 5 years
“Connecticut Governor Dannel Malloy and the state Department of Economic and Community Development will provide Total Mortgage Services with a $3.5 million loan to help the company establish its national headquarters with a new facility in Milford.”

Freddie Mac: Short Sales More Attainable Than Homeowners Think
“When a homeowner is unable to make their mortgage payments or owes more on the home than it’s worth, a short sale can be a viable option that avoids the negative implications of a foreclosure for both the homeowner and the mortgage-holder.”

Treasury Releases November Making Home Affordable Report
“Nearly 23,000 permanent loan modifications were completed under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) in November, according to a new report from the U.S. Treasury.”

Unemployment Down: Is The Fed In Trouble?
“The latest news on the unemployment front is good for just about everyone: The  government says 203,000 jobs were added to the economy in November and that the unemployment rate is down from 7.0 percent to 6.7 percent.”

The bubble that is California: A flood of rentals in lower priced markets, inventory creeping back up, and investors appetites waning.
“California can be viewed as a microcosm of what is occurring across the United States.  Few markets are propped up by a smaller affluent population while most, are pushed outward or to rentals as incomes go stagnant.  People for the most part only pay attention to what is immediately around them.  When the crisis hit in 2007 many were caught off guard although the warning signs were all over the place.  As 2014 starts, we are now seeing a definite slowdown in housing even in higher priced areas.  Inventory appears to be coming back online but sales are very weak since people are asking for peak prices and drinking the housing Kool-Aid with gusto.  The median sales price in SoCal has stayed put since June but sales have fallen steadily.  Across the state, with more rentals from investors prices are soft and unlikely to rise given that many Californians have not seen any real income gains over the last decade.  For the most part, many are stuck in a bubble thinking things will remain the way they are simply by sheer momentum.”

2014: Private Forces Move to the Fore
“Waning Fiscal Drag and Easing Policy Concerns Expected to Boost Economic Growth this Year”

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Today’s Real Estate News 10.21.2013

Summary:
CNBC shares Jamie Dimon’s, of JPMorgan, reaction to the bank’s settlement with the U.S. & that the Fed might not be tapering for months due to the government shutdown. CNN Money shares  “5 things to know about JPMorgan settlement.” Reuters reports that home sales in existing homes have fallen and home price appreciation is slowing. Bloomberg says the FHFA is holding banks accountable for their part in the burst of the housing bubble & it’s effects. According to the Review Journal, many layoffs can be attributed to slowing of the mortgage refinance boom. The Housing Wire states that investors are once again being attracted to RMBS, California received the most government aid in housing relief funding. Newsweek examines how much the government shutdown cost the U.S. Dr. Housing Bubble shares some great data in two different blog posts – 1. The continuing increase in renters & 2. What the 2014 California housing market may look like.  

‘We’re trying to get our problems behind us’: Dimon
“”We’re trying to get it resolved.” That’s what JPMorgan Chase Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon told CNBC on Monday, in reaction to news that the bank has reached a tentative $13 billion settlement with the U.S. Justice Department, the New York attorney general, and the Federal Housing Finance Agency over allegations of sales of shoddy mortgage securities.”

Fed’s Evans: Shutdown may delay taper by months
“The Fed may not begin tapering for months because the government shutdown has left the economic picture unclear, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans told CNBC on Monday.”

Five things to know about JPMorgan settlement
“The tentative deal that JPMorgan Chase reached over the weekend with the Justice Department will cost the bank $13 billion, a record penalty.”

U.S. existing home sales fall, price appreciation slows
“(Reuters) – U.S. home resales fell in September and prices cooled as higher mortgage rates took the edge off the housing market recovery.”

Federal Housing Chief Holds Banks to Account
“Two years ago, the Federal Housing Finance Agency sued 18 banks for losses on $200 billion in private-label mortgage bonds purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. That strategy is now paying off. JPMorgan Chase & Co. is negotiating a $13 billion settlement with the U.S. government that would feature a $4 billion payment to the FHFA. Today, Bloomberg News reports that Bank of America Corp. might pay the FHFA at least $6 billion for dodgy bonds issued before the crisis.”

FHFA Is Said to Seek at Least $6 Billion From BofA for MB
“A U.S. housing regulator is seeking at least $6 billion from Bank of America Corp. to settle civil claims the firm sold faulty mortgage bonds to government-backed finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, according to a person with direct knowledge of the discussions.”

Job layoffs as mortgage refinance boom slows
“A recent spike in interest rates has caused a decline in refinancing activity, a drop-off that has curtailed a two-year refinancing wave that started in 2011 and led to the nation’s largest banks shedding thousands of mortgage jobs.”

RMBS investors slowly gain steam in marketplace
“New and refinanced mortgages continue to move through the private-label residential mortgage-backed securities pipeline, attracting investors back into the space.”

California absorbs the most housing relief funds
“California received the largest portion of the Treasury’s Hardest Hit Fund as the state continued to recover from the large amount of unemployed and distressed homeowners impacted during the financial crisis.”

How the Shutdown Hammered the U.S. Economy
“How much has the government shutdown and the default threat cost us?”

Gen Renter: The continuing expansion of renters in the United States. A permanent generational shift.
“Never mistake luck with timing.  That is one lesson gamblers and so-called investors forget time and time again.  Even in baseball batting .300 is considered fantastic.  The rhetoric being uttered by some people is similar to what was being said only a few years ago.  Of course, the voices of the 5,000,000+ that went through foreclosure is largely drowned out similar to those that went all in with tech stocks right before the bust (where are the Pets.com investing geniuses?).  Not to quote an Alanis Morissette song but isn’t it ironic?  Suddenly folks that bought in 2011 or 2012 act as if they deserve a Ph.D. in economics.  Don’t mistake luck with investing acumen.  These people are caught up in the low rate, low inventory, and investor driven uptrend.  California is an excellent example of this.  Home prices are rising at astounding speeds pricing many out of the market.  It is no surprise that the number of renters in the state is surging as well (this is also a nationwide trend).  Investors dominate the market.  A cap rate of 4 percent may be reasonable when the Fed is artificially creating a negative interest rate environment.  This generational divide is going to continue and as usual, the US is going to undergo some dramatic changes including a growing renting class.”

30 years of booms and busts for California real estate: What does 2014 have in store for California real estate?
“For the first time in nearly two years the California housing market showed some brief signs of cooling.  The median price dipped and sales slowed down.  The mortgage rate turbulence of the summer is likely to show up in late fall since the process of buying a home with escrow takes a bit of time to register in the current data.  Although this is a current trend in terms of sales and prices we’ve also discussed why it is unlikely that California baby boomers will suddenly unload properties in mass.  These owners may have equity trapped in their home but the only way to unlock it is via selling the place or going with a reverse mortgage which is like raiding the bank before handing something over to your heirs.  California real estate has been in a perpetual cycle of booms and busts for nearly 30 years.  That is why it is interesting to see the 2014 forecast put out by the California Association of Realtors (C.A.R.).  The forecast is modest yet past history tells us a different story.”