Today’s Real Estate News 11.5.2013

Banks offering mortgages with only 5% down payments
“Good news for homebuyers who don’t have a lot of cash on hand: Banks are offering loans with down payments of just 5%.”

Why the jobs picture is brighter than you think
“FORTUNE — As the U.S. unemployment rate falls, skepticism grows about any real improvements in the job market.”

Bahrain’s Investcorp buys $250 mln worth of U.S. real estate assets
“Nov 5 (Reuters) – Bahrain-based Investcorp said on Tuesday that it has acquired a group of offices and retail properties in the United States for $250 million.”

UPDATE 1-U.S. homeownership rate holds near 18-year lows
“Nov 5 (Reuters) – Homeownership in the United States held near 18-year lows in the third quarter, suggesting the housing market was still struggling to overcome challenges brought on by the recession.”

Deals of the day- Mergers and acquisitions
“Nov 5 (Reuters) – The following bids, mergers, acquisitions and disposals were reported by 1100 GMT on Tuesday.”

Eminent Domain Battle Shifts to Another California City
“Sorohan, Mike–Nov. 5, 2013
Popping up like a Hydra, the latest battle over use of eminent domain to seize underwater mortgages has shifted to Pomona, Calif., a city of 150,000 residents outside Los Angeles.”

Few Banks Easing Mortgage Standards in Response to Higher Rates, Fed Says
“Most U.S. banks have maintained their existing lending standards on residential loans in recent months despite rising interest rates and softer demand for mortgages, a Federal Reserve survey found.”

Mortgage originations could fall 32 percent next year
“Mortgage originations in the U.S. could fall 32 percent next year from 2013 levels, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.”

How Bank-Defeated ‘Plain-Vanilla’ Requirements Live On
“Before there was much talk about “qualified mortgages,” “living wills” and the “Volcker Rule,” the two words that perhaps scared bankers the most were ‘plain vanilla.'”

Fed in no rush to cut bond buys, top policymakers say
“(Reuters) – The Federal Reserve should scale back its asset purchases only when the U.S. economy shows clearer signs of improvement and even then it should act slowly, one senior central banker said on Monday, while two others stressed there is no need to rush.”

Morgan Stanley Says AIG May Sue Over Mortgage-Linked Investments
“Morgan Stanley (MS), the sixth-largest U.S. bank by assets, said it may be sued by American International Group Inc. (AIG) over mortgage-backed securities that the insurer purchased before the financial crisis.”

National vacancy rate edges up 8.3% in 3Q
“National vacancy rates in the third quarter 2013 hit 8.3% for rental housing and 1.9% for homeowner housing, the Department of Commerce’s Census Bureau announced.”

Ally’s Net Income Declines 76% as Mortgage Costs Linger
“Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY), the auto finance firm majority-owned by U.S. taxpayers, said third-quarter profit fell 76 percent as the company settled U.S. claims for soured mortgages and stopped making new home loans.”

Will We Face A Mortgage Shortage In 2014?
“People assume that mortgages will always be available but what if that’s wrong? Could  there be a mortgage shortage in the near future, a time when financing shelves  are bare?”

Pennsylvania Housing Affordable
“Editor’s Note: In the October 2013 issue of the Foreclosure News Report, we asked Brian A. Hudson, the Executive Director and CEO of the Pennsylvania Housing Finance  Agency, to pen a “My Take” column and bring us up to speed on what the state is  doing to foster affordable housing. Here’s a short excerpt from Hudson’s  column.”

Analysts Say Double-Digit Appreciation Will Come to an End by 2014
“National home prices were up 10.1 percent year-over-year in the second quarter, but price appreciation is expected to fall out of the double-digits, reaching 5.4 percent by the beginning of next year, according to the CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indexes.”

Despite Bankruptcy, Detroit’s Housing Market Thrives
“The city that previously made national headlines for its failing economy and bankruptcy filing is now in the spotlight for its rapidly rebounding housing market. Detroit topped two lists of highest-performing housing markets in the past week—one from Realtor.com and one from Clear Capital.”

Activity from Homebuyers Picks Up in Aftermath of Shutdown
“Homebuyers shook off their fears and returned to the market in force following the re-opening of the government in October, according to data presented by Redfin’s Research Center.”

Today’s Real Estate News 10.21.2013

Summary:
CNBC shares Jamie Dimon’s, of JPMorgan, reaction to the bank’s settlement with the U.S. & that the Fed might not be tapering for months due to the government shutdown. CNN Money shares  “5 things to know about JPMorgan settlement.” Reuters reports that home sales in existing homes have fallen and home price appreciation is slowing. Bloomberg says the FHFA is holding banks accountable for their part in the burst of the housing bubble & it’s effects. According to the Review Journal, many layoffs can be attributed to slowing of the mortgage refinance boom. The Housing Wire states that investors are once again being attracted to RMBS, California received the most government aid in housing relief funding. Newsweek examines how much the government shutdown cost the U.S. Dr. Housing Bubble shares some great data in two different blog posts – 1. The continuing increase in renters & 2. What the 2014 California housing market may look like.  

‘We’re trying to get our problems behind us’: Dimon
“”We’re trying to get it resolved.” That’s what JPMorgan Chase Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon told CNBC on Monday, in reaction to news that the bank has reached a tentative $13 billion settlement with the U.S. Justice Department, the New York attorney general, and the Federal Housing Finance Agency over allegations of sales of shoddy mortgage securities.”

Fed’s Evans: Shutdown may delay taper by months
“The Fed may not begin tapering for months because the government shutdown has left the economic picture unclear, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans told CNBC on Monday.”

Five things to know about JPMorgan settlement
“The tentative deal that JPMorgan Chase reached over the weekend with the Justice Department will cost the bank $13 billion, a record penalty.”

U.S. existing home sales fall, price appreciation slows

“(Reuters) – U.S. home resales fell in September and prices cooled as higher mortgage rates took the edge off the housing market recovery.”

Federal Housing Chief Holds Banks to Account

“Two years ago, the Federal Housing Finance Agency sued 18 banks for losses on $200 billion in private-label mortgage bonds purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. That strategy is now paying off. JPMorgan Chase & Co. is negotiating a $13 billion settlement with the U.S. government that would feature a $4 billion payment to the FHFA. Today, Bloomberg News reports that Bank of America Corp. might pay the FHFA at least $6 billion for dodgy bonds issued before the crisis.”

FHFA Is Said to Seek at Least $6 Billion From BofA for MB

“A U.S. housing regulator is seeking at least $6 billion from Bank of America Corp. to settle civil claims the firm sold faulty mortgage bonds to government-backed finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, according to a person with direct knowledge of the discussions.”

Job layoffs as mortgage refinance boom slows

“A recent spike in interest rates has caused a decline in refinancing activity, a drop-off that has curtailed a two-year refinancing wave that started in 2011 and led to the nation’s largest banks shedding thousands of mortgage jobs.”

RMBS investors slowly gain steam in marketplace

“New and refinanced mortgages continue to move through the private-label residential mortgage-backed securities pipeline, attracting investors back into the space.”

California absorbs the most housing relief funds

“California received the largest portion of the Treasury’s Hardest Hit Fund as the state continued to recover from the large amount of unemployed and distressed homeowners impacted during the financial crisis.”

How the Shutdown Hammered the U.S. Economy

“How much has the government shutdown and the default threat cost us?”

Gen Renter: The continuing expansion of renters in the United States. A permanent generational shift.

“Never mistake luck with timing.  That is one lesson gamblers and so-called investors forget time and time again.  Even in baseball batting .300 is considered fantastic.  The rhetoric being uttered by some people is similar to what was being said only a few years ago.  Of course, the voices of the 5,000,000+ that went through foreclosure is largely drowned out similar to those that went all in with tech stocks right before the bust (where are the Pets.com investing geniuses?).  Not to quote an Alanis Morissette song but isn’t it ironic?  Suddenly folks that bought in 2011 or 2012 act as if they deserve a Ph.D. in economics.  Don’t mistake luck with investing acumen.  These people are caught up in the low rate, low inventory, and investor driven uptrend.  California is an excellent example of this.  Home prices are rising at astounding speeds pricing many out of the market.  It is no surprise that the number of renters in the state is surging as well (this is also a nationwide trend).  Investors dominate the market.  A cap rate of 4 percent may be reasonable when the Fed is artificially creating a negative interest rate environment.  This generational divide is going to continue and as usual, the US is going to undergo some dramatic changes including a growing renting class.”

30 years of booms and busts for California real estate: What does 2014 have in store for California real estate?

“For the first time in nearly two years the California housing market showed some brief signs of cooling.  The median price dipped and sales slowed down.  The mortgage rate turbulence of the summer is likely to show up in late fall since the process of buying a home with escrow takes a bit of time to register in the current data.  Although this is a current trend in terms of sales and prices we’ve also discussed why it is unlikely that California baby boomers will suddenly unload properties in mass.  These owners may have equity trapped in their home but the only way to unlock it is via selling the place or going with a reverse mortgage which is like raiding the bank before handing something over to your heirs.  California real estate has been in a perpetual cycle of booms and busts for nearly 30 years.  That is why it is interesting to see the 2014 forecast put out by the California Association of Realtors (C.A.R.).  The forecast is modest yet past history tells us a different story.”

Today’s Real Estate News 10.15.2013

Summary:

Today in real estate, the LA Times shows that Citigroup posts a $3.2-billion profit even with the mortgage decline in the market. The NY Times reports that while many want Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase Chairman & Chief Executive, fired, investors, analysts, board members and regulators don’t want him fired.  Central banks are preparing for a U.S. Default, should it occur. The Wall Street Journal reports that home prices & home sales are now slowing down in the “Bust-and-Boom Markets.” Lawmakers are asking financial institutions to be cooperative with federal employees who have been furloughed due to the government shutdown. The Housingwire informs us that multifamily loans are hitting the market and that Citigroup is preparing for a “refi burnout.”

Citigroup posts $3.2-billion profit amid slump in mortgages, trading
“NEW YORK — Citigroup Inc.’s third-quarter earnings disappointed Wall Street analysts as the bank reported a sharp slowdown in mortgage and bond-trading revenue.”

The Bloodlust of Pundits Swirls Around Jamie Dimon
“Jamie Dimon should be fired.

That seems to be the conclusion of some in the pundit class about JPMorgan Chase’s chairman and chief executive. Writers, editors and bloggers have made it clear that they want his scalp: “NOW Are We Allowed Talk About Firing Jamie Dimon?” the Huffington Post blared after news that the bank set aside $23 billion to pay legal fees and fines last week. “I have trouble wrapping my head around the positive aspects of paying a multibillion-dollar fine,” an article on TheStreet.com said of the prospect of an $11 billion settlement with the Justice Department.”

Central Banks Gaming Out U.S. Default as Deadline Nears

“Central banks have begun making contingency plans on how they would keep financial markets working if the U.S. defaults on the world’s benchmark debt.”

Home Sales, Prices Slowing in Bust-and-Boom Markets
“The sharp home-price rally in some of the hardest-hit housing markets is likely to fade in the coming months amid a pullback in investor purchases and steady increases in the number of homes listed for sale.”

Lawmakers call for banks to rescue federal employees
“Lawmakers urged financial institutions to work proactively with borrowers facing financial distress because of the government shutdown. For three weeks, federal employees have been out of the job without pay.”

Performing multifamily loans hit the market

“A great deal of activity is surfacing in the multifamily sector in the form of nonperforming loan sales this week.”

Citigroup prepares for refi burnout
“As investors anticipate the release of Citigroup’s (C) third-quarter earnings, analysts are predicting declining mortgage lending activity for the bank.”

Today’s Real Estate News 10.14.2013

Week 3: Small businesses reel from shutdown
“As the government shutdown moves into its third week, small businesses across the country are trying to figure out how — or if — they’ll be able make up the lost business.”

For sale by owner: Homeowners ditching brokers
“Bolstered by the housing recovery, a growing number of homeowners are going it alone when selling their homes hoping to save thousands of dollars in commissions.”

Homebuyers: To get the house, get there first
“Housing inventory is stiflingly tight in many locations, making it a challenge to find, much less land, your dream home.”

Shiller, two others win economics Nobel for ‘bubble’ warnings
“Robert Shiller, who became famous for calling the housing and Internet stock bubbles, was one of three Americans to win the Nobel in economics Monday.”

Saying goodbye to the California middle class. California least affordable state in the entire country as renting class expands.
“California for a generation has been a high cost of living state.  This is no surprising revelation.  Yet the tech boom in the 1990s set the state into a unique stratosphere of real estate.  Hundreds of thousands of jobs now depend on big tech companies including Facebook, Google, Apple, and other common names.  Changes like this have added to drive up in real estate values.  New data highlights that California’s metro areas are the least affordable for those looking to buy based on the families living in those areas.  Of course, investors are bringing outside money so that is one way to move around this new reality.  Unlike an Ohio or Nebraska, California real estate is global in nature.  The only problem today is the massive gap is pushing many middle class families out of reach from buying a piece of real estate.  It is becoming more challenging for families to purchase real estate in California and the data backs this up.”

14 American Housing Markets Drowning In Foreclosures
“One in every 998 U.S. homes received a foreclosure filing in the third quarter, according to the latest foreclosure data from RealtyTrac.”

US Default Seen Pushing Housing to the Brink
“Housing largely dodged a bullet on the government shut down that went into effect October 1, the pending default, however, is an entirely different matter. As the October 17 default deadline nears, knuckle in the housing industry are turning white.”

The 2 Families of Mortgage REITs
“Mortgage REITs are a very interesting sector, and although they only represent a small percentage of REITs, they’ve developed a very loyal following. Their increased use of leverage leads to very high yields that appeal to income seekers with a sizable appetite for risk. However, before jumping in to the sector, investors should realize that not all mortgage REITs are created equal. There are a wide variety of mortgage REITs, and the two major categories are separated by the types of mortgages the REITs invest in.”

J.P. Morgan Hiring for Compliance “SWAT Team”
“Facing a slew of costly regulatory issues, J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. is bringing in a SWAT team.”

Mortgage applications gain; buyers look past US shutdown
“Applications for U.S. home loans rose in the latest week as demand for refinancing outpaced purchases, data from an industry group showed on Wednesday.”

Gains to the Real Estate Lords: Since 2009 Landlord income up a stunning 85 percent. Interest income has gone negative because of Fed monetary policy. Big money selling into momentum.

“The recovery in real estate has largely gone to big institutional players. Recent data from the US Commerce Department shows that rental income grew the fastest compared to other asset classes since 2009. Of course as we have chronicled over the last few years, most of the distressed property buying has gone to the investor class. The gains in rental income only impact a small portion of the population but the growth has been astounding. Rental income is now up 85 percent since 2009. Even stock dividends up at 44 percent have not met the pace of change in rental income. The trend is reflective of the insatiable demand from Wall Street for rental property over the last few years. Right on time however is the small investor jumping in at a tipping point as inventories rise, big money slows down, and interest rates have an impact on the housing market. Some big funds are even selling into momentum.”

Read More

Share/Bookmark